TE Connectivity plc · TEL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025
TE Connectivity: AI and energy demand drive record Q3
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: AI and energy demand, expanding industrial margins and localized production strengthen the growth outlook, while execution, tariffs and automotive weakness remain important offsets.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis points to stronger AI expectations, rising capex for AI capacity, industrial margins above 20%, and a greater emphasis on localized production and bolt-on acquisitions.
Guidance delta
Guidance sentiment remained maintained; Q4 was still described as supporting double-digit sales and EPS growth.
Key takeaways
- AI, energy grid hardening and data connectivity were identified as the main growth engines.
- Industrial margins expanded to above 20% after footprint reductions.
- Management plans higher capex focused on AI capacity and flex manufacturing.
- More than 70% of production was described as localized, supporting customer response and tariff mitigation.
- Strong free cash flow supports shareholder returns and further acquisitions.
Management priorities
- Expand AI and high-speed connectivity capacity.
- Continue capex increases and localized production.
- Pursue bolt-on acquisitions in Energy and Industrial.
- Use the November 20 Investor Day to showcase products.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 23, 2026 |
| HSBC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 13, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 17, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 30, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jan 25, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 20, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 9, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 26, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 3, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jun 30, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 10, 2022 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 30, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 29, 2020 |
| Citi | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 9, 2019 |
| Cross Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 16, 2019 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 17, 2019 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 2, 2016 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 23, 2015 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 11, 2014 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | May 16, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $214.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Joseph Spak | $253 | $219.51 | +18.1% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Industrial Alliance Securities | Analyst unavailable | $288 | $218.93 | +34.4% | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $243 | $213.48 | +13.4% | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $204.63 | +2.7% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Joseph Spak | $241 | $198.43 | +12.5% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Luke Junk | $225 | $200.94 | +5.0% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $217.64 | +7.3% | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Guy Hardwick | $300 | $210.38 | +40.0% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $261 | $218 | +21.8% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $226 | $221.01 | +5.5% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $234 | $221.01 | +9.2% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $286 | $221.01 | +33.5% | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Mark Delaney | $270 | $234.33 | +26.0% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $272 | $234.33 | +26.9% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $285 | $231.68 | +33.0% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $225.49 | +26.0% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Barclays | Guy Hardwick | $302 | $231.35 | +40.9% | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $244 | $231 | +13.9% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Colin Langan | $249 | $231 | +16.2% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Mark Delaney | $306 | $231 | +42.8% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $304 | $237.3 | +41.9% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $283 | $237.22 | +32.1% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $225.97 | +12.0% | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $239 | $214.49 | +11.5% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $297 | $214.49 | +38.6% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $277 | $246.87 | +29.3% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $255 | $244.56 | +19.0% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $246.76 | +30.7% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $238 | $222.46 | +11.1% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Barclays | Guy Hardwick | $249 | $222.07 | +16.2% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $260 | $223.54 | +21.3% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Mark Delaney | $263 | $217.04 | +22.7% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Luke Junk | $222 | $205.98 | +3.6% | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Luke Junk | $232 | $205.29 | +8.3% | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $165 | $149.95 | -23.0% | Dec 16, 2024 |
| HSBC | Stephen Bersey | $137 | $151.79 | -36.1% | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Asiya Merchant | $160 | $154.53 | -25.3% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| HSBC | Stephen Bersey | $162 | $151.4 | -24.4% | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Amit Daryanani | $175 | $150 | -18.3% | May 24, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Leiker | $165 | $151.69 | -23.0% | May 21, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Luke Junk | $158 | $140 | -26.3% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Sheerin | $150 | $140 | -30.0% | Apr 24, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Saree Boroditsky | $180 | $144.78 | -16.0% | Apr 9, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $123.88 | -42.6% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $140 | $127.79 | -34.7% | Jun 10, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $124.56 | -26.3% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $151 | $123.3 | -29.5% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Amit Daryanani | $183 | $143.48 | -14.6% | Feb 20, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Jim Suva | $155 | $140.42 | -27.7% | Jan 30, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Sheerin | $170 | $160.8 | -20.7% | Dec 31, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Rod Lache | $190 | $160.04 | -11.3% | Nov 9, 2021 |
| UBS | Christopher Snyder | $175 | $144.26 | -18.3% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Joseph C Giordano | $160 | $149.2 | -25.3% | Aug 23, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Christopher Glynn | $155 | $146.04 | -27.7% | Jul 30, 2021 |
| Benchmark Co. | David Williams | $145 | $132.91 | -32.3% | Apr 23, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationTE Connectivity plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the AsiaPacific, and the Americas. The company operates through two reportable segments, Transportation Solutions and Industrial Solutions. It provides antennas, application tooling, cable assemblies, connectors, electromagnetic compatibility/electromagnetic interference solutions, energy and power, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, identification and labeling, medical components, passive components, relays and contactors, sensors, switches, terminals and splices, wires and cables, and wire protection and management solutions.…
Historical context
All TEL earningsTechnology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACN Accenture plc | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.5% | +15.8% | Accenture: AI demand supports strong Q4, while pricing and geopolitics remain risks |
| JBL Jabil Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.1% | -10.0% | Jabil enters FY2027 with AI-led growth and capacity risks |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +5.4% | +0.0% | Micron: Strong AI Memory Demand, Higher Capex, and HBM4E Ahead |
| SNX TD Synnex Corp | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +20.9% | -9.9% | TD SYNNEX: AI-led growth accelerates, but mix and cash flow matter |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T11:50:43.744443+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T11:50:43.741689+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.