TE Connectivity plc · TEL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025

TE Connectivity: AI and energy demand drive record Q3

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: AI and energy demand, expanding industrial margins and localized production strengthen the growth outlook, while execution, tariffs and automotive weakness remain important offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $62.58B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.08
EPS surprise +9.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.53B Consensus $4.32B
Revenue surprise +4.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +12.0% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +11.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.2% Up to 20 sessions
TELSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis points to stronger AI expectations, rising capex for AI capacity, industrial margins above 20%, and a greater emphasis on localized production and bolt-on acquisitions.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained maintained; Q4 was still described as supporting double-digit sales and EPS growth.

Key takeaways

  • AI, energy grid hardening and data connectivity were identified as the main growth engines.
  • Industrial margins expanded to above 20% after footprint reductions.
  • Management plans higher capex focused on AI capacity and flex manufacturing.
  • More than 70% of production was described as localized, supporting customer response and tariff mitigation.
  • Strong free cash flow supports shareholder returns and further acquisitions.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI and high-speed connectivity capacity.
  • Continue capex increases and localized production.
  • Pursue bolt-on acquisitions in Energy and Industrial.
  • Use the November 20 Investor Day to showcase products.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TEL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.72 Q1 '24 actual $1.84, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.83 Q2 '24 actual $1.86, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.86 Q3 '24 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.94 Q4 '24 actual $1.95, match Q3 '25 estimate $2.08 Q3 '25 actual $2.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.29 Q4 '25 actual $2.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.55 Q1 '26 actual $2.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.69 Q2 '26 actual $2.73, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $2.94, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.07 Q1 '27 estimate $3.00 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12 Q3 '27 estimate $3.37
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1448.3%
Neutral1551.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$216.47Current
$123Low
$210.81Average
$300High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $216.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSJoseph Spak$253$219.51 +16.9%Oct 7, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$288$218.93 +33.0%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$243$213.48 +12.3%Sep 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$220$204.63 +1.6%Sep 11, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$241$198.43 +11.3%Jul 23, 2026
See 50 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TE Connectivity plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia–Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through two reportable segments, Transportation Solutions and Industrial Solutions. It provides antennas, application tooling, cable assemblies, connectors, electromagnetic compatibility/electromagnetic interference solutions, energy and power, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, identification and labeling, medical components, passive components, relays and contactors, sensors, switches, terminals and splices, wires and cables, and wire protection and management solutions.…

Historical context

All TEL earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T11:50:43.744443+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T11:50:43.741689+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.