Molson Coors Beverage Company · TAP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Molson Coors Reaffirms FY2026 Guidance Despite Q2 Volume Pressure
The quarter provides mixed evidence for a resilient-demand thesis: innovation, premiumization and Monaco are positive offsets, but Q2 volume pressure and macro sensitivity remain material constraints.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shows Q2 volume pressure and a 3.6% constant-currency net-sales decline, while guidance remained maintained. Monaco integration is now described as ahead of expectations, and the company outlined a $650 million global capex program including supply-chain modernization.
Guidance delta
FY2026 guidance was reaffirmed, unchanged from the prior quarter.
Key takeaways
- Q2 volumes and constant-currency net sales declined amid macro pressure, but management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance.
- Keystone Light Apple, Peroni and other innovations supported share gains, while premiumization and beyond-beer brands remain growth priorities.
- Monaco integration is ahead of expectations; cost savings and supply-chain upgrades are intended to offset inflation and support execution.
Management priorities
- Expand Monaco nationally and continue beyond-beer and flavor innovation.
- Invest in supply-chain modernization while executing cost savings.
- Maintain brand marketing, dividends, share repurchases and disciplined balance-sheet management.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 30, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Feb 25, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 6, 2023 |
| Roth MKM | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 4, 2023 |
| CFRA | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 2, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Feb 22, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Bryan Garnier | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 1, 2022 |
| Redburn Partners | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Jul 13, 2022 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 6, 2020 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 20, 2020 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 26, 2019 |
| Redburn | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Oct 11, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 15, 2019 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Aug 2, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 17, 2018 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 17, 2018 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 8, 2018 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 4, 2017 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 23, 2015 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2014 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2014 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 16, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $37.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $43.04 | +19.8% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $41.18 | +9.2% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $40.86 | +6.5% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $39.27 | +9.2% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Eric Serotta | $46 | $41.46 | +22.5% | May 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $42.14 | +9.2% | May 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $42 | $42.74 | +11.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $44.54 | +14.5% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $49.21 | +38.4% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $48.17 | +19.8% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $50.81 | +19.8% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $50.81 | +54.4% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $53.22 | +43.8% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $49 | $49.05 | +30.5% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $50.64 | +6.5% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $49.64 | +33.1% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $45.47 | +33.1% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $46.45 | +33.1% | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $50 | $44.67 | +33.1% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $44.83 | +73.1% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Kaumil Gajrawala | $48 | $43.67 | +27.8% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $43.31 | +43.8% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $49 | $45.85 | +30.5% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $52 | $45.76 | +38.4% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | William Kirk | $71 | $56.95 | +89.0% | May 20, 2025 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $61 | $60.96 | +62.4% | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $74 | $60.03 | +97.0% | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $59 | $52.1 | +57.1% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $57 | $53.07 | +51.8% | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $47 | $53.98 | +25.1% | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Trevor Stirling | $61 | $51.24 | +62.4% | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $68 | $57.26 | +81.0% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | Lauren Lieberman | $67 | $67.81 | +78.4% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $75 | $66.63 | +99.7% | Apr 9, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $69 | $67.24 | +83.7% | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $49.58 | +59.7% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $50 | $54.5 | +33.1% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Bryan Garnier & Co Ltd | Nikolaas Faes | $54 | $51.67 | +43.8% | Sep 1, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $54 | $55.38 | +43.8% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Vivien Azer | $55 | $55.86 | +46.4% | Jun 24, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $51 | $54.25 | +35.8% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| MKM Partners | William Kirk | $64 | $49.05 | +70.4% | Feb 24, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Vivien Azer | $50 | $44.5 | +33.1% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Bonnie Herzog | $42 | $43.42 | +11.8% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI | Robert Ottenstein | $55 | $43.42 | +46.4% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Guggenheim | Laurent Grandet | $75 | $48.31 | +99.7% | Jul 29, 2021 |
| Bernstein | Trevor Stirling | $74 | $56.47 | +97.0% | May 24, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationMolson Coors Beverage Company is a global entity engaged in the production, marketing, and sale of a diverse range of beer and other malt-based beverages. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company's product lineup also features flavored malt beverages, craft beers, and convenient ready-to-drink selections. Founded in 1774, the firm, headquartered in Golden, Colorado, was previously known as Molson Coors Brewing Company before officially adopting its current name, Molson Coors Beverage Company, in January 2020.
Historical context
All TAP earningsConsumer Defensive peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KR The Kroger Co. | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +2.8% | +2.7% | Kroger: Strong digital growth offsets softer sales outlook |
| CPB Campbell Soup Company | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.1% | -7.0% | Campbell’s leans on savings and innovation amid pressured demand |
| BF-A Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | — | Brown-Forman holds FY27 outlook as RTD innovation offsets barrel pressure |
| BF-B Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | — | Brown-Forman maintains FY27 outlook as innovation offsets pressure |
| DG Dollar General Corporation | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +23.4% | +2.5% | Dollar General Raises FY2026 Outlook After Strong Q2 |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +134.8% | -3.9% | Dollar Tree: Strong Q2 execution, but guidance held steady |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
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- ADBEFY2026 Q3 · September 10, 2026+0.8% EPS+1.4% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- CASYFY2027 Q1 · September 8, 2026+8.7% EPS-14.2% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T20:20:32.484215+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T10:50:52.222015+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T10:50:52.219141+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.