AT&T Inc. · T · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

AT&T: Fiber momentum and cost actions support a maintained outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: fiber and postpaid momentum, alongside cost actions, strengthen AT&T's trajectory, while tariffs, churn, and legacy wireline pressure could limit the benefit. Management's outlook was maintained, not raised.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $154.11B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.52
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $30.39B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds that fiber deployment was ahead of schedule, tariff announcements pulled handset upgrades forward, and FCC orders had cleared about 25% of wire-center applications. The company also commenced its $10 billion repurchase program in Q2.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance sentiment; the supplied analysis does not specify a numerical guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q1 service revenue grew 2% and adjusted EBITDA rose 4.4%.
  • Fiber deployment was ahead of schedule, with a target to exceed 30 million locations before mid-year.
  • AT&T began a $10 billion share-repurchase program in Q2.
  • Tariff exposure and legacy wireline pressure remain important risks.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate fiber deployment and expand 5G modernization.
  • Increase converged fiber-and-mobility customer penetration.
  • Execute cost actions and wire-center legacy-service reductions.
  • Launch and continue the authorized share-repurchase program.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.55 Q4 '23 actual $0.54, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.54 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.57 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.57 Q3 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.54, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.54 Q3 '25 actual $0.54, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.55 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.59 Q2 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q4 '26 estimate $0.53 Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$22.9Current
$18Low
$27.32Average
$44High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $22.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$26.5$24.88 +15.7%Oct 9, 2026
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$36$24.74 +57.2%Oct 7, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$27.5$24.34 +20.1%Oct 2, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$30$25.42 +31.0%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$27$23.04 +17.9%Jul 23, 2026
See 82 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

All T earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-09T00:03:27.736600+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T14:10:42.137136+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T14:10:42.134226+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.