AT&T Inc. · T · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

AT&T Q1: record fiber/fixed-wireless adds, ~12% EPS growth, Lumen closed early

AT&T's Q1 2026 results reinforce that its pivot to advanced connectivity is delivering: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions, first flat business service revenue, EPS up nearly 12%, and the Lumen fiber acquisition closed ahead of schedule. The forward case rests on disciplined capital deployment - roughly 8 million fiber locations added in 2026, closing the EchoStar spectrum deal, and returning $45 billion-plus to shareholders through 2028 - balanced against elevated capex and integration risk.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $174.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.57 Consensus $0.55
EPS surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $31.51B Consensus $31.25B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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What changed

After a strong Q4 2025 (1.5 million postpaid adds, 1 million fiber adds, $1 billion cost savings delivered in 2025), AT&T's first quarter of 2026 kept the momentum: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions with 584,000 advanced Internet adds (best-ever first quarter), the Lumen transaction closed ahead of schedule adding 1.1 million fiber customers and 4 million-plus fiber locations, business service revenue flat year-over-year for the first time, and EPS up nearly 12%. The EchoStar spectrum acquisition was announced for closure ahead. Capex rose to $5.1 billion as fiber rollout accelerates, while free cash flow still hit the high end of guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained. AT&T reaffirmed its low single-digit service-revenue growth outlook and its 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth guidance, unchanged from prior guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Record fiber and fixed-wireless customer net adds drove higher convergence rates, led by 584,000 advanced Internet net adds in the quarter - the best-ever first quarter
  • Advanced Connectivity segment stabilized, with business service revenues flat year-over-year for the first time
  • Free cash flow hit the high end of guidance despite a roughly $600 million decline from higher capex
  • EPS rose nearly 12% year-over-year
  • Management reaffirmed low single-digit service-revenue growth and 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth

Management priorities

  • Add roughly 8 million fiber locations in 2026, expanding metro coverage
  • Iterate and expand OneConnect with new plan variants through the year
  • Close the EchoStar spectrum transaction and integrate the spectrum into the network
  • Complete the equity investment to acquire remaining Lumen fiber assets in H2 2026
  • Return $45 billion-plus to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases through 2028

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.54 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.57 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.57 Q3 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.54, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.54 Q3 '25 actual $0.54, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.55 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.59 Q2 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q4 '26 estimate $0.52 Q1 '27 estimate $0.60 Q2 '27 estimate $0.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$25.39Current
$18Low
$26.98Average
$36High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $25.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$30$25.42 +18.2%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$27$23.04 +6.4%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$23.04 -21.2%Jul 23, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$29$23.04 +14.2%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$30$23.04 +18.2%Jul 22, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.342398+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.339660+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.