AT&T Inc. · T · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
AT&T Q1: record fiber/fixed-wireless adds, ~12% EPS growth, Lumen closed early
AT&T's Q1 2026 results reinforce that its pivot to advanced connectivity is delivering: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions, first flat business service revenue, EPS up nearly 12%, and the Lumen fiber acquisition closed ahead of schedule. The forward case rests on disciplined capital deployment - roughly 8 million fiber locations added in 2026, closing the EchoStar spectrum deal, and returning $45 billion-plus to shareholders through 2028 - balanced against elevated capex and integration risk.
Earnings scorecard
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What changed
After a strong Q4 2025 (1.5 million postpaid adds, 1 million fiber adds, $1 billion cost savings delivered in 2025), AT&T's first quarter of 2026 kept the momentum: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions with 584,000 advanced Internet adds (best-ever first quarter), the Lumen transaction closed ahead of schedule adding 1.1 million fiber customers and 4 million-plus fiber locations, business service revenue flat year-over-year for the first time, and EPS up nearly 12%. The EchoStar spectrum acquisition was announced for closure ahead. Capex rose to $5.1 billion as fiber rollout accelerates, while free cash flow still hit the high end of guidance.
Guidance delta
Maintained. AT&T reaffirmed its low single-digit service-revenue growth outlook and its 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth guidance, unchanged from prior guidance.
Key takeaways
- Record fiber and fixed-wireless customer net adds drove higher convergence rates, led by 584,000 advanced Internet net adds in the quarter - the best-ever first quarter
- Advanced Connectivity segment stabilized, with business service revenues flat year-over-year for the first time
- Free cash flow hit the high end of guidance despite a roughly $600 million decline from higher capex
- EPS rose nearly 12% year-over-year
- Management reaffirmed low single-digit service-revenue growth and 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth
Management priorities
- Add roughly 8 million fiber locations in 2026, expanding metro coverage
- Iterate and expand OneConnect with new plan variants through the year
- Close the EchoStar spectrum transaction and integrate the spectrum into the network
- Complete the equity investment to acquire remaining Lumen fiber assets in H2 2026
- Return $45 billion-plus to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases through 2028
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 24, 2025 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Tigress Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 29, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Apr 24, 2025 |
| MoffettNathanson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 28, 2024 |
| HSBC | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 5, 2023 |
| LightShed Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 26, 2023 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 21, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jul 22, 2022 |
| Daiwa Capital | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 23, 2021 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 21, 2021 |
| Redburn Partners | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jun 25, 2021 |
| New Street Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 21, 2021 |
| DZ Bank | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Apr 24, 2020 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 3, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2020 |
| Moffett Nathanson | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Nov 19, 2019 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 1, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2018 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 7, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Hilliard Lyons | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 26, 2018 |
| Independent Research | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Oct 25, 2016 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 24, 2016 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 24, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 5, 2016 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 7, 2016 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 27, 2015 |
| BMO Capital | Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 30, 2013 |
| FBR Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 24, 2013 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Dec 3, 2012 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 14, 2012 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 14, 2012 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 14, 2012 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 14, 2012 |
| Hudson Square | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 13, 2012 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 29, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 25, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $25.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $25.42 | +18.2% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Sean Diffley | $27 | $23.04 | +6.4% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $23.04 | -21.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $23.04 | +14.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $23.04 | +18.2% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $29.25 | $21.44 | +15.2% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Laurent Yoon | $25 | $21.44 | -1.5% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $21.06 | -5.5% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Steven Cahall | $18 | $21.06 | -29.1% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $21.26 | -1.5% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Sam McHugh | $28 | $28.03 | +10.3% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Arete Research | Andrew Beale | $28 | $27.71 | +10.3% | Mar 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $31 | $29.21 | +22.1% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $32 | $24.85 | +26.1% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Bryan Kraft | $33 | $24.98 | +30.0% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $24.76 | +14.2% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $23.59 | +6.4% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $23.73 | +18.2% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $23.74 | +2.4% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Maher Yaghi | $29.5 | $24.05 | +16.2% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Arete Research | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $24.72 | -21.2% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $24.26 | +14.2% | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $24.5 | +18.2% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Brandon Nispel | $30 | $25.18 | +18.2% | Nov 11, 2025 |
| UBS | John Hodulik | $31 | $24.68 | +22.1% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $24.69 | +18.2% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $33 | $25.55 | +30.0% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Barclays | Kannan Venkateshwar | $28 | $25.55 | +10.3% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $30.25 | $27.06 | +19.2% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $28.24 | +18.2% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $29.3 | +30.0% | Sep 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $32 | $29.58 | +26.1% | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $32 | $29.08 | +26.1% | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $30 | $27.68 | +18.2% | Apr 24, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $26.84 | +10.3% | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $28.5 | $27.72 | +12.3% | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Tigress Financial | Ivan Feinseth | $32 | $24.25 | +26.1% | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Natthew Niknam | $28 | $23.84 | +10.3% | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $19 | $22.08 | -25.2% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $26 | $22.22 | +2.4% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Timothy Horan | $24 | $22.49 | -5.5% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $24 | $22.49 | -5.5% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Jonathan Atkin | $34.73 | $16.98 | +36.8% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $25 | $22.49 | -1.5% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | David Barden | $24 | $21.86 | -5.5% | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Michael Rollins | $24 | $21.71 | -5.5% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Raymond James | James Schneider | $22 | $19.34 | -13.3% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Michael Rollins | $21 | $19.2 | -17.3% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Tim Horan | $23 | $19.2 | -9.4% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | James Schneider | $22 | $19.1 | -13.3% | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Maher Yaghi | $23 | $18.5 | -9.4% | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Natthew Niknam | $26 | $18.75 | +2.4% | Jun 28, 2024 |
| UBS | John Hodulik | $24 | $18.02 | -5.5% | Jun 18, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Maher Yaghi | $22.5 | $16.58 | -11.4% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Jon Atkin | $18 | $16.81 | -29.1% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | John Janedis | $21 | $17.17 | -17.3% | Mar 5, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Maher Yaghi | $22 | $17.29 | -13.3% | Jan 26, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $44 | $16.68 | +73.3% | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Timothy Horan | $21 | $17.19 | -17.3% | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Jeff Fan | $18.5 | $15.64 | -27.1% | Oct 20, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Michael Rollins | $16 | $13.89 | -37.0% | Jul 18, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Frank Louthan | $25 | $18.22 | -1.5% | Apr 21, 2023 |
| MoffettNathanson | Craig Moffett | $30.96 | $13.48 | +22.0% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $20 | $18.49 | -21.2% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Frank Louthan | $24 | $16.92 | -5.5% | Oct 21, 2022 |
| Barclays | Kannan Venkateshwar | $20 | $18.92 | -21.2% | Jul 22, 2022 |
| Tigress Financial | Ivan Feinseth | $28 | $18.88 | +10.3% | Jun 16, 2022 |
| Barclays | Kannan Venkateshwar | $22 | $19.3 | -13.3% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $19.52 | -21.2% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Frank Louthan | $26 | $19.54 | +2.4% | Apr 17, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $22 | $19.54 | -13.3% | Apr 15, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Frank Louthan | $32 | $19.56 | +26.1% | Apr 12, 2022 |
| MoffettNathanson | Craig Moffett | $19 | $18.23 | -25.2% | Apr 10, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $28 | $18.06 | +10.3% | Mar 3, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $26 | $24.12 | +2.4% | Jan 27, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | David Barden | $36 | $26.48 | +41.8% | Jan 25, 2022 |
| Tigress Financial | Ivan Feinseth | $41 | $27.02 | +61.5% | Jan 20, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Michael Rollins | $29 | $26.34 | +14.2% | Jan 11, 2022 |
| Daiwa | Jonathan Kees | $26 | $24.37 | +2.4% | Dec 23, 2021 |
| LightShed Partners | Walter Piecyk | $36 | $26.54 | +41.8% | Sep 8, 2021 |
| Redburn Partners | Stephen Malcolm | $23 | $27.28 | -9.4% | Jun 25, 2021 |
| Scotiabank | Jeff Fan | $31 | $27.44 | +22.1% | Jun 16, 2021 |
| New Street | Jonathan Chaplin | $35 | $28.33 | +37.9% | May 21, 2021 |
| Bernstein | Peter Supino | $33 | $29.65 | +30.0% | Apr 23, 2021 |
Track every rating change on T the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGlobally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…
Historical context
All T earningsLatest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.342398+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.339660+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.