Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

SYF record Q1 volume, EPS beat; 2026 guidance held at $9.10-$9.50

Synchrony's diversified partner and co-brand network, growing Pay Later and CareCredit franchise, and an improving credit backdrop support management's maintained 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50. Record first-quarter purchase volume and a fresh $6.5B buyback reinforce the earnings-and-capital-return case, while a higher payment rate, macro uncertainty, and Basel III capital rule changes are the principal offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.70B Consensus $3.79B
Revenue surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.6% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Synchrony reported record Q1 purchase volume of $43B, up 6% YoY, and net earnings of $805M with EPS of $2.27 - a ~3.2% beat versus the $2.20 consensus - alongside a 24.5% return on tangible common equity. Revenue of $3.70B came in about 2.4% below the $3.79B estimate. Credit strengthened as the net charge-off rate fell to 5.42%, while the payment rate rose to 16.3%, a level management does not regard as a permanent shift. Management maintained its 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50 and replaced the expiring repurchase program with a new $6.5B open-ended authorization.

Guidance delta

maintained

Key takeaways

  • Record $43B quarterly purchase volume, up 6% YoY, driven by partner expansions and higher discretionary spending
  • EPS of $2.27 beat the $2.20 consensus; net earnings of $805M with a 24.5% return on tangible common equity
  • Credit improved as the net charge-off rate fell to 5.42%, while the payment rate rose to 16.3% - a level management does not view as permanent
  • A new $6.5B open-ended share-repurchase program replaced the expiring prior authorization
  • Management maintained 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50 and its mid-single-digit loan growth outlook

Management priorities

  • Accelerate partner acquisition and deepen existing relationships (Harbor Freight, Indian Motorcycle, Miracle-Ear, Walmart)
  • Scale AI and cloud initiatives through the AgenTek commerce platform to drive operating leverage with flat headcount
  • Expand CareCredit acceptance into retail and pet-insurance channels
  • Continue share repurchases while monitoring capital buffers ahead of Basel III
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions such as Ally Lending and Allegro

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2561.0%
Neutral1536.6%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.52Current
$40Low
$72.72Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$90$80.02 +22.4%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$77.56 +18.3%Aug 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$104$71.88 +41.5%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$80$72.21 +8.8%Jul 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$90$72.21 +22.4%Jul 22, 2026
See 61 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

All SYF earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T16:51:11.428646+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T16:51:11.425803+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.