Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

SYF record Q1 volume, EPS beat; 2026 guidance held at $9.10-$9.50

Synchrony's diversified partner and co-brand network, growing Pay Later and CareCredit franchise, and an improving credit backdrop support management's maintained 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50. Record first-quarter purchase volume and a fresh $6.5B buyback reinforce the earnings-and-capital-return case, while a higher payment rate, macro uncertainty, and Basel III capital rule changes are the principal offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.70B Consensus $3.79B
Revenue surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.6% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Synchrony reported record Q1 purchase volume of $43B, up 6% YoY, and net earnings of $805M with EPS of $2.27 - a ~3.2% beat versus the $2.20 consensus - alongside a 24.5% return on tangible common equity. Revenue of $3.70B came in about 2.4% below the $3.79B estimate. Credit strengthened as the net charge-off rate fell to 5.42%, while the payment rate rose to 16.3%, a level management does not regard as a permanent shift. Management maintained its 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50 and replaced the expiring repurchase program with a new $6.5B open-ended authorization.

Guidance delta

maintained

Key takeaways

  • Record $43B quarterly purchase volume, up 6% YoY, driven by partner expansions and higher discretionary spending
  • EPS of $2.27 beat the $2.20 consensus; net earnings of $805M with a 24.5% return on tangible common equity
  • Credit improved as the net charge-off rate fell to 5.42%, while the payment rate rose to 16.3% - a level management does not view as permanent
  • A new $6.5B open-ended share-repurchase program replaced the expiring prior authorization
  • Management maintained 2026 EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.50 and its mid-single-digit loan growth outlook

Management priorities

  • Accelerate partner acquisition and deepen existing relationships (Harbor Freight, Indian Motorcycle, Miracle-Ear, Walmart)
  • Scale AI and cloud initiatives through the AgenTek commerce platform to drive operating leverage with flat headcount
  • Expand CareCredit acceptance into retail and pet-insurance channels
  • Continue share repurchases while monitoring capital buffers ahead of Basel III
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions such as Ally Lending and Allegro

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.93 Q4 '23 actual $1.03, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.34 Q1 '24 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.35 Q2 '24 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.82 Q2 '25 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $2.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.38 Q4 '26 estimate $2.17 Q1 '27 estimate $2.52 Q2 '27 estimate $2.43

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2561.0%
Neutral1536.6%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.52Current
$40Low
$72.72Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2026
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 22, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 2, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 29, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainSep 25, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2025
Compass Point Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 28, 2025
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 17, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainOct 17, 2024
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 18, 2024
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainMar 6, 2024
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 24, 2024
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 24, 2024
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJan 16, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 18, 2023
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainAug 30, 2021
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 14, 2020
CFRA Strong Sell SellMaintainApr 3, 2020
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 30, 2019
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainMar 14, 2018
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 3, 2017
Wedbush Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 7, 2016
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 11, 2016
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainJan 13, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 23, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 23, 2015
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2015
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 20, 2015
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 6, 2015
BTIG Research Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 20, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$90$80.02 +22.4%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$77.56 +18.3%Aug 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$104$71.88 +41.5%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$80$72.21 +8.8%Jul 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$90$72.21 +22.4%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$88$72.21 +19.7%Jul 22, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$97$72.44 +31.9%Jul 13, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$81$72 +10.2%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialBrian Foran$82$78.69 +11.5%Apr 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$84$77.63 +14.3%Apr 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid George$83$71.11 +12.9%Feb 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$82$74.82 +11.5%Feb 4, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$84$73.17 +14.3%Jan 29, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$85$74.49 +15.6%Jan 28, 2026
Compass PointDominick Gabriele$96$73 +30.6%Jan 28, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$93$73 +26.5%Jan 28, 2026
BTIGVincent Caintic$96$73 +30.6%Jan 27, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$91$79.53 +23.8%Jan 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$86$86.89 +17.0%Jan 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$97$87.47 +31.9%Jan 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$98$87.16 +33.3%Jan 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$101$86.74 +37.4%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$100$86.94 +36.0%Jan 5, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$92$85.6 +25.1%Dec 22, 2025
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$95$83.39 +29.2%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$86$83.88 +17.0%Dec 16, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$82$80.4 +11.5%Dec 5, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$78$71.83 +6.1%Oct 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$85$72.32 +15.6%Oct 16, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$81$70.99 +10.2%Oct 10, 2025
UBSErika Najarian$79$70.48 +7.5%Oct 7, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$83$71.23 +12.9%Oct 6, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$84$73.32 +14.3%Sep 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$82$74.54 +11.5%Sep 29, 2025
BarclaysTerry Ma$80$70.66 +8.8%Jul 23, 2025
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$76$64.74 +3.4%Jun 24, 2025
Truist FinancialBrian Foran$68$59.84 -7.5%Jun 13, 2025
Morgan StanleyJeff Adelson$40$56.52 -45.6%Oct 17, 2024
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$62$56.52 -15.7%Oct 17, 2024
Robert W. BairdBrennan Crowley$62$56.52 -15.7%Oct 17, 2024
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$60$56.52 -18.4%Oct 17, 2024
Deutsche BankMark DeVries$68$56.52 -7.5%Oct 17, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesMihir Bhatia$61$55.47 -17.0%Oct 16, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesMihir Bhatia$54$45.76 -26.6%Aug 9, 2024
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$53$52.22 -27.9%Jul 18, 2024
BarclaysTerry Ma$49$52.22 -33.4%Jul 18, 2024
Compass PointDavid Rochester$56$50.72 -23.8%Jul 16, 2024
JMP SecuritiesDavid Scharf$60$50.72 -18.4%Jul 16, 2024
Robert W. BairdBrennan Crowley$56$44.23 -23.8%Jun 27, 2024
Goldman SachsRyan Nash$51$44 -30.6%Jun 10, 2024
Capital One FinancialJames Fotheringham$41$44.34 -44.2%Apr 25, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Fotheringham$41$45.02 -44.2%Apr 25, 2024
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$47$45.02 -36.1%Apr 25, 2024
Wolfe ResearchBill Carcache$50$41.21 -32.0%Apr 4, 2024
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$45$40.7 -38.8%Apr 19, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$52$40.8 -29.3%Apr 19, 2022
Wolfe ResearchBill Carcache$38$35.65 -48.3%Apr 7, 2022
Piper SandlerKevin Barker$49$35.77 -33.4%Apr 6, 2022
JMP SecuritiesDavid Scharf$50$42.38 -32.0%Jan 31, 2022
StephensVincent Caintic$54$42.38 -26.6%Jan 31, 2022
Seaport GlobalBill Ryan$54$42.38 -26.6%Jan 31, 2022
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$60$41.21 -18.4%Jan 28, 2022
BarclaysMark Devries$64$48.06 -12.9%Jan 10, 2022
JefferiesJohn Hecht$60$46.68 -18.4%Jan 5, 2022
CitigroupArren Cyganovich$59$46.22 -19.7%Oct 29, 2021
UBSEric Wasserstrom$49$46.83 -33.4%Jul 14, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T16:51:11.428646+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T16:51:11.425803+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.