Stellantis N.V. · STLA · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Stellantis returns to profitability as shipments and market share rise

The quarter provided evidence supporting a recovery narrative: higher shipments, regional market-share gains, a return to profitability and ongoing product launches. The case remains conditional because free cash flow is negative and margin recovery must withstand commodity, tariff, regulatory and execution pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $13.44B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.25 Consensus $0.15
EPS surprise +67.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $44.06B Consensus $44.32B
Revenue surprise -0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.5% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move -6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.6% Up to 20 sessions
STLASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Stellantis moved from a reported shipment and revenue rebound to a Q1 2026 return to profitability, with 12% shipment growth, broader market-share gains and unchanged 2026 guidance. Management also highlighted new 2026 launches and continued VCP cost discipline.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 revenue, margin and cash-flow guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management described a return to profitability alongside 12% year-over-year shipment growth to 1.4 million units.
  • Market-share gains were reported across regions, including a 20% U.S. sales increase for Ram.
  • New launches, the VCP cost program and disciplined capex are intended to support margin improvement.
  • Free cash flow improved but remained negative, while 2026 guidance was unchanged.

Management priorities

  • Ramp new 2026 products including Ram SRT TRX, Jeep Recon BEV and Jeep Grand Wagoneer REEV.
  • Continue the global VCP cost-management program and keep capex disciplined.
  • Use hybrid, EV and refreshed models to support volume, market share and margins.
  • Detail the strategic roadmap and capital allocation at the planned Investor Day.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STLA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $100B, None Q2 '24 estimate $44B Q2 '24 actual $91B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $74B Q4 '24 actual $74B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $44B Q2 '25 actual $44B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $93B Q4 '25 actual $93B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $46B Q4 '26 estimate $37B Q1 '27 estimate $44B Q2 '27 estimate $44B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold16 ratings
Bullish743.8%
Neutral956.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$4.64Current
$4Low
$11.08Average
$20.66High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Freedom Broker Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 10, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $4.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$5.2$5.4 +12.1%Sep 14, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$7.5$5.75 +61.6%Jul 31, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Potter$4$5.69 -13.8%Jul 27, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$9$7.62 +94.0%May 22, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsDmitriy Pozdnyakov$8$7.54 +72.4%Mar 2, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Stellantis N.V. engages in the designing, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, and mobility services worldwide. It provides luxury and premium vehicles; global sport utility vehicles; American and European brand vehicles, as well as parts and accessories. The company also provides contract services; retail and dealer financing services; and vehicle leasing and rental services, as well as engages in after-market parts and service businesses and data businesses.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T11:05:33.938073+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T22:30:43.527951+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T22:30:43.525196+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.