Simon Property Group, Inc. · SPG · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

SPG: Occupancy and leasing momentum support maintained outlook

The quarter supports a constructive operating case for SPG: high occupancy, leasing activity, NOI growth and development projects point to continued business momentum. The evidence is less conclusive on the durability of that growth because guidance was maintained and management still faces construction-cost, consumer-spending, lease-expiration and OPI risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $64.67B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.84 Consensus $1.57
EPS surprise +80.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.48B Consensus $1.33B
Revenue surprise +11.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.2% Up to 20 sessions
SPGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Occupancy improved to 96.2%, NOI grew 5.4% year over year, and management highlighted approximately 1,200 signed leases covering 4 million square feet. The dividend rose to $2.10 per share, ShopSimon was emphasized as an omnichannel initiative, and full-year FFO guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year FFO guidance; the quarter added operating momentum but did not change the stated outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Occupancy reached 96.2% while NOI grew 5.4% year over year.
  • Management cited about 1,200 signed leases covering 4 million square feet.
  • The development and redevelopment pipeline is roughly $4 billion, including $1 billion in residential mixed-use projects.
  • The dividend increased to $2.10 per share, while ShopSimon supports the omnichannel strategy.

Management priorities

  • Advance the roughly $4 billion development and redevelopment pipeline
  • Continue outlet expansion and mixed-use residential development
  • Build ShopSimon and the associated loyalty and marketing programs
  • Sustain leasing momentum and high occupancy

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SPG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1642.1%
Neutral2052.6%
Bearish25.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$200.84Current
$115Low
$195.9Average
$285High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 33 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $200.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$205$199.51 +2.1%Oct 9, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$222$199.61 +10.5%Oct 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$208$204.82 +3.6%Sep 28, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$216$205.29 +7.6%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$221$205.42 +10.0%Sep 17, 2026
See 59 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG) is a prominent S&P 100 real estate investment trust that specializes in owning and developing a portfolio of world-class shopping, dining, entertainment, and mixed-use destinations. These significant properties, strategically located across North America, Europe, and Asia, serve as vital community hubs, attracting millions of visitors daily and contributing billions in annual revenue.

Historical context

All SPG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T12:00:46.626155+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T12:00:46.623388+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.