Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish936.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish28.0%
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · SMCI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026
Super Micro raises guidance as AI demand drives record revenue
The supplied analysis supports a constructive demand case for Super Micro: AI infrastructure demand drove record growth, guidance was raised, and DCBBS plus manufacturing expansion are intended to improve scale and profitability. The counterweight is that margin recovery, supply availability and customer concentration still require monitoring.
Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology
$26.81B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$0.69
Consensus $0.49
EPS surprise
+40.8%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$12.68B
Consensus $10.42B
Revenue surprise
+21.7%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
+13.8%
Event window
SPY move
-0.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
+14.3%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.6×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-4.5%
Up to 20 sessions
SMCISPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about SMCI FY2026 Q2
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did SMCI rise 13.8% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?What changed in SMCI's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q2?Give me the bull and bear case for SMCI after FY2026 Q2 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior analysis, the company moved from strong orders and a raised outlook to record Q2 revenue, a higher FY2026 revenue target of at least $40 billion, and a stated expectation for modest near-term gross-margin recovery. DCBBS also advanced from a strategic growth driver to a reported 4% of first-half profit, with a double-digit contribution targeted by year-end 2026.
Guidance delta
Raised: FY2026 revenue guidance to at least $40 billion and Q3 guidance to $12.3 billion, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
Key takeaways
- Record Q2 revenue growth was driven by AI infrastructure demand.
- Gross-margin pressure persisted amid customer mix, component shortages and freight costs.
- DCBBS contributed 4% of first-half profit and is expected to reach a double-digit profit contribution by year-end 2026.
- Global manufacturing expansion and new pre-configured server platforms remain central to the plan.
Management priorities
- Scale DCBBS with additional subsystems.
- Roll out X14 and H14 pre-configured servers.
- Expand production across Taiwan, Malaysia, the Netherlands and the Middle East.
- Invest in design-for-manufacturing and automation while collaborating with NVIDIA and AMD.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$41.91Current
$25Low
$44.67Average
$100High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJS Securities | Market Perform | Market Underperform | Upgrade | May 6, 2026 |
| Northland Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Mar 24, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Underweight | Upgrade | Mar 21, 2025 |
| CFRA | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Negative | Negative | Maintain | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Northland Capital Markets | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 25, 2024 |
| Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 27, 2019 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 18, 2017 |
| Roth Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 5, 2016 |
| Pacific Crest | Equal Weight | Sector Weight | Maintain | Jul 28, 2016 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 19, 2016 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 19, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 15, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 15, 2016 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 28, 2013 |
| Wunderlich | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 28, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $37.61 | +0.2% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $48 | $35.78 | +14.5% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $35.68 | +0.2% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Wedbush | Matt Bryson | $40 | $35.82 | -4.6% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $35 | $31.6 | -16.5% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $31.6 | -6.9% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $31.68 | -14.1% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Kevin Cassidy | $45 | $25.5 | +7.4% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $46 | $25.5 | +9.8% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $44 | $46.09 | +5.0% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $36 | $33.52 | -14.1% | May 12, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $31.9 | +7.4% | May 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $27.83 | -28.4% | May 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $33 | $29.67 | -21.3% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $29.67 | -4.6% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $38 | $29.67 | -9.3% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $30.12 | -38.0% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $31 | $30.22 | -26.0% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Jim Kelleher | $64 | $42.48 | +52.7% | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $43.76 | +50.3% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $34 | $43.58 | -18.9% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $51 | $43.86 | +21.7% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| KGI Securities | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $47.4 | +43.2% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $47.92 | +59.9% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $30 | $47.92 | -28.4% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $53 | $47.92 | +26.5% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $40 | $44.79 | -4.6% | May 19, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Nehal Chokshi | $59 | $32.94 | +40.8% | May 7, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $34 | $32.32 | -18.9% | May 6, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $37.05 | +67.0% | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $42.95 | +40.8% | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $25 | $26.78 | -40.3% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $28 | $26.78 | -33.2% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $45 | $33.07 | +7.4% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $100 | $46.44 | +138.6% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $60 | $43.94 | +43.2% | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $45 | $44.91 | +7.4% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $43.8 | $44.18 | +4.5% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $37.5 | $41.99 | -10.5% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $67.5 | $49.14 | +61.1% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ruplu Bhattacharya | $70 | $61.69 | +67.0% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $69.3 | $61.69 | +65.4% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $80 | $73.83 | +90.9% | May 1, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $96 | $72.55 | +129.1% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $150 | $88.28 | +257.9% | Apr 16, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Jim Kelleher | $135 | $115.38 | +222.1% | Mar 6, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Matt Bryson | $25 | $41.62 | -40.3% | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Mehdi Hosseini | $30 | $27.4 | -28.4% | Aug 10, 2023 |
| Susquehanna | Mehdi Hosseini | $8.8 | $6.42 | -79.0% | Aug 12, 2022 |
Track every rating change on SMCI the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSuper Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company provides liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, and WIO and rackmount systems; embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems; and MicroCloud server systems. It also offers workstations and networking devices; and modular server subsystems and accessories, including server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories.…
Historical context
All SMCI earningsTechnology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
| SAIL SailPoint, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | -1.2% | SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption |
| CIEN Ciena Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.0% | -10.4% | Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog |
| DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.4% | +3.7% | DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook |
| IOT Samsara Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +25.0% | +3.7% | Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
- AZOFY2026 Q4 · September 22, 2026+3.6% EPS+3.3% move
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
Get the SMCI recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T18:20:53.762945+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T18:20:53.760121+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.