Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. · SHG · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Shinhan Q1 Earnings: Strong Fees, Higher Credit Risk

Shinhan’s Q1 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: earnings growth, strong non-interest income, and capital-market activity supported returns while CET1 stayed above 13%. The main counterweight is credit quality, including higher credit costs and group NPL coverage around 110%, so the longer-term case depends on sustaining fee growth without a material deterioration in asset quality.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $30.30B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.33 Consensus $2.27
EPS surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.84B Consensus $2.84B
Revenue surprise +0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.1% Up to 20 sessions
SHGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter showed stronger non-interest income and brokerage activity, a formalized Value Up 3.0 Plus framework, and CET1 of 13.19%. Credit costs and NPL coverage remain the principal areas of scrutiny, while guidance sentiment stayed maintained.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained. The Value Up 3.0 Plus framework targets ROE above 10%, total shareholder return above 50%, a CET1 buffer above 13%, and annual dividend growth above 10%, with continued buybacks.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 net income rose 9% year over year to KRW 1,622.6 billion, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Non-interest income increased 26.5%, with brokerage fees identified as a key driver.
  • CET1 remained robust at 13.19%, while credit costs rose and group NPL coverage was around 110%.
  • The shareholder-return framework emphasizes ROE above 10%, a CET1 buffer above 13%, dividend growth above 10% annually, and ongoing buybacks.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate securities-business growth and sustain high ROE.
  • Improve credit-card profitability through cost efficiency.
  • Maintain capital efficiency, digital transformation, and the CET1 buffer while expanding shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SHG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $9.6T, None Q2 '24 actual $13B, None Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, match Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3.9T Q1 '27 estimate $4.5T Q2 '27 estimate $4.5T
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy2 ratings
Bullish2100.0%
Neutral00.0%
Bearish00.0%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 30, 2018
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 30, 2018

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. is a prominent financial services provider that operates both within South Korea and globally. The company's diverse activities are organized into six primary divisions: Banking, Credit Card services, Securities, Life Insurance, Credit, and other specialized financial offerings. For individual clients, Shinhan offers a comprehensive suite of retail banking solutions. These include various deposit account types—demand, savings, and fixed—along with checking accounts. The group also provides personal lending options such as mortgages, home equity loans, and other consumer credit. Furthermore, it facilitates electronic banking, ATM access, bill payment, payroll and check processing, foreign currency exchange, and international money transfer services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-24T00:04:13.706863+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T10:00:44.160119+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.