Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. · SHG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Shinhan Q2: Strong fee income offsets rising credit costs

Shinhan’s Q2 showed support from noninterest income and a stronger CET1 ratio, but higher credit costs and a cautious H2 cost outlook temper the earnings picture. The call’s balance is constructive on income and capital, yet cautious on credit quality and external conditions.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $29.89B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.27 Consensus $2.23
EPS surprise +91.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.46B Consensus $2.72B
Revenue surprise +137.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.2% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.8% Up to 20 sessions
SHGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the Q2 account emphasizes stronger securities and FX-related noninterest income and an improved CET1 ratio, while credit costs remain a central concern. Management described an H2 credit-cost outlook in the mid-to-high 40-basis-point range and continued its buyback program.

Guidance delta

Guidance was characterized as maintained. Management’s H2 credit-cost outlook is mid-to-high 40 basis points; it also said it plans to increase corporate loan growth in H2 while monitoring margins.

Key takeaways

  • Net income rose 4.1% quarter over quarter, with CET1 improving to 13.59%, according to the transcript analysis.
  • Noninterest income increased 34.7% quarter over quarter, led by securities and FX derivative gains.
  • Higher credit costs and delayed economic recovery remain important offsets; the H2 credit-cost outlook is mid-to-high 40 basis points.
  • The share buyback program continues, with KRW800 billion planned across the year, including KRW600 billion in H2 and KRW200 billion in early 2026.

Management priorities

  • Continue the share buyback and cancellation program.
  • Pursue H2 corporate loan growth while monitoring margins and credit costs.
  • Advance digital, sustainability, and co-prosperity finance initiatives.
  • Develop SME products through the Jeju Bank partnership and monitor stablecoin regulation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SHG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 actual $13B, None Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, match Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3.9T Q1 '27 estimate $4.3T Q2 '27 estimate $4.5T Q3 '27 estimate $4.6T
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy2 ratings
Bullish2100.0%
Neutral00.0%
Bearish00.0%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 30, 2018
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 30, 2018

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. is a prominent financial services provider that operates both within South Korea and globally. The company's diverse activities are organized into six primary divisions: Banking, Credit Card services, Securities, Life Insurance, Credit, and other specialized financial offerings. For individual clients, Shinhan offers a comprehensive suite of retail banking solutions. These include various deposit account types—demand, savings, and fixed—along with checking accounts. The group also provides personal lending options such as mortgages, home equity loans, and other consumer credit. Furthermore, it facilitates electronic banking, ATM access, bill payment, payroll and check processing, foreign currency exchange, and international money transfer services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T03:30:45.222177+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.