SBA Communications Corporation · SBAC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
SBA Communications Raises AFFO Guidance as Edge Computing Develops
The Q3 picture is constructive but not unambiguous: AFFO guidance was raised and EPS exceeded consensus, while revenue came in below consensus. Longer-term growth arguments around spectrum-related leasing and edge deployments remain dependent on auction timing and adoption.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with Q2, when full-year leasing revenue and AFFO guidance were modestly increased, management again raised AFFO guidance. The current analysis describes capex as stable and cites early edge-computing deployments, while the tower-build program continues.
Guidance delta
AFFO guidance was raised. The supplied analysis does not state the revised range or amount.
Key takeaways
- Management raised AFFO guidance and characterized the quarter as strong, though revenue was below consensus.
- The company points to spectrum-driven leasing and early edge-computing deployments as potential growth sources; their contribution depends on timing and adoption.
- Management cited $430 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with leverage described as 6.4x net debt/EBITDA.
- The current analysis describes capex as stable and the tower-build program as continuing.
Management priorities
- Prepare for the upper C-band auction in 2027 and subsequent spectrum deployments.
- Scale edge-computing sites across the tower portfolio.
- Maintain the tower-build program, described as approximately 210 new towers per quarter.
- Complete the remaining Peru asset divestiture and continue portfolio optimization.
- Pursue strategic land buyouts and potential share repurchases when valuation opportunities arise.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Jul 17, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 20, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 4, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 1, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 27, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Citizens Capital Markets | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 14, 2024 |
| MoffettNathanson | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Mar 30, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 22, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 22, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 25, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 30, 2022 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 24, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 15, 2019 |
| Moffett Nathanson | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 8, 2019 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 22, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 29, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2016 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2016 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 5, 2015 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 18, 2015 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 6, 2014 |
| Pacific Crest | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 5, 2014 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2014 |
| Evercore Partners | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 5, 2014 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 3, 2012 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 3, 2012 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 3, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 2, 2012 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 30, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $184.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Madison Rezaei | $208 | $183.09 | +12.5% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $271 | $160.74 | +46.6% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $207 | $162.81 | +12.0% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $177.76 | +10.9% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Brendan Lynch | $208 | $182.43 | +12.5% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $238 | $175.01 | +28.7% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Cameron McVeigh | $215 | $179.54 | +16.3% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $210 | $185.04 | +13.6% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $180.95 | +10.9% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $245 | $217.91 | +32.5% | May 5, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Maher Yaghi | $230 | $219.37 | +24.4% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $244 | $214.2 | +32.0% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $218.46 | +21.7% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $260 | $189.25 | +40.6% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $233 | $193.52 | +26.0% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $193.11 | +10.9% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $212 | $194.27 | +14.7% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $237 | $197.66 | +28.2% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Ari Klein | $210 | $193.52 | +13.6% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $215 | $196.26 | +16.3% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $275 | $191.37 | +48.8% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Ric Prentiss | $265 | $219.16 | +43.4% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $219.16 | +51.5% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Greg Miller | $250 | $196.83 | +35.2% | Jan 27, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Ari Klein | $230 | $201.06 | +24.4% | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Williams Trading | Gregory Williams | $261 | $239.94 | +41.2% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Jonathan Petersen | $225 | $239.94 | +21.7% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Brandon Nispel | $280 | $236.38 | +51.5% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matt Niknam | $240 | $217.07 | +29.8% | Aug 14, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Ari Klein | $245 | $217.94 | +32.5% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $220 | $212.83 | +19.0% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Jonathan Atkin | $235 | $197.22 | +27.1% | May 9, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matthew Niknam | $230 | $189.12 | +24.4% | May 2, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Brandon Nispel | $227 | $201.89 | +22.8% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $230 | $201.89 | +24.4% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | Brendan Lynch | $255 | $195.06 | +37.9% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| MoffettNathanson | Nick Del Deo | $262 | $213.4 | +41.7% | Apr 8, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ari Klein | $260 | $241.83 | +40.6% | Jul 13, 2023 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $305.78 | +89.3% | Jan 13, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $336 | $304.82 | +81.8% | Jan 12, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $334 | $296.48 | +80.7% | Nov 23, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $341 | $297.98 | +84.5% | Nov 14, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $366 | $311.23 | +98.0% | Sep 16, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $380 | $338.95 | +105.6% | Aug 26, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $390 | $347.64 | +111.0% | Aug 8, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $340.7 | +121.8% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $408 | $332.85 | +120.7% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $361 | $319.53 | +95.3% | Jul 20, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $355 | $313.51 | +92.0% | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $381 | $323.47 | +106.1% | Jul 12, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Jonathan Petersen | $347 | $330.46 | +87.7% | Jul 5, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Simon Flannery | $389 | $292.04 | +110.4% | Jun 19, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $385 | $365.5 | +108.3% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $405 | $369.96 | +119.1% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $371.89 | +121.8% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $378 | $360.91 | +104.5% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matthew Niknam | $365 | $326.03 | +97.4% | Mar 3, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | David Barden | $425 | $379.04 | +129.9% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| UBS | Batya Levi | $400 | $356.96 | +116.4% | Nov 2, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Michael Rollins | $404 | $357.88 | +118.5% | Aug 19, 2021 |
| Truist Financial | Gregory P Miller | $400 | $344.12 | +116.4% | Aug 3, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSBA Communications Corporation stands as a premier owner, operator, and provider of crucial wireless communication infrastructure across North, Central, and South America, in addition to South Africa. Guided by its mission to 'Build Better Wireless,' the company primarily earns revenue from two core business areas: the leasing of antenna space and providing comprehensive site development services. Its central activity revolves around renting out capacity on its shared communication towers to various wireless service providers through long-term contractual agreements. For further details, please visit www.sbasite.com.
Historical context
All SBAC earningsReal Estate peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Realty Income Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +5.7% | +1.1% | Realty Income raises 2026 AFFO outlook as Europe and credit broaden investment mix |
| CUBE CubeSmart | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.3% | +4.0% | CubeSmart returns to positive NOI and FFO growth in Q3 |
| GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -11.5% | -1.3% | GLPI Keeps Guidance, Advances Development Despite Bally’s Risks |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.9% | -1.1% | Federal Realty raises 2026 FFO outlook as leasing stays strong |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +128.3% | +3.0% | Weyerhaeuser: Timberlands Strengthen as Growth Projects Advance |
Latest beats and misses
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Missed on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T04:07:10.517368+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T07:00:50.062372+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T07:00:50.058881+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.