SAP SE · SAP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

SAP sustains cloud momentum while scaling its AI platform

SAP’s Q2 analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: cloud momentum and expanding AI capabilities provide operating-growth support, while margin realization, cost control, acquisition integration and second-half deceleration remain the key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $271.06B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.85 Consensus $2.00
EPS surprise -7.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.24B Consensus $11.30B
Revenue surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +9.3% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +9.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +36.7% Up to 20 sessions
SAPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, cloud growth remained strong while the AI strategy became more concrete through the Autonomous Enterprise platform, Joule Studio, Joule Work and AI Agent Hub. Management also highlighted acquisitions focused on data and AI, plus token consumption as a measurable R&D cost driver.

Guidance delta

Full-year guidance was maintained, with a modest operating-profit outlook adjustment for recent acquisitions.

Key takeaways

  • Cloud backlog grew 26% and cloud revenue grew 24%, supporting continued cloud-transition momentum.
  • Management highlighted adoption of the Autonomous Enterprise platform, including Joule Studio, Joule Work and AI Agent Hub.
  • Recent acquisitions target data and AI capabilities, while management expects AI productivity to support margin improvement.

Management priorities

  • Commercialize Joule Work and expand the AI assistant portfolio
  • Advance ERP migration assistants and the Autonomous Enterprise suite
  • Scale RISE and GROW cloud migrations while hiring and upskilling AI talent

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SAP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.01 Q2 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.22 Q3 '24 actual $1.23, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.63 Q2 '25 actual $1.70, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.69 Q3 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.77 Q4 '25 actual $1.89, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.92 Q1 '26 actual $2.01, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.00 Q2 '26 actual $1.85, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2.03 Q3 '26 actual $2.12, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.05 Q1 '27 estimate $1.99 Q2 '27 estimate $2.00 Q3 '27 estimate $2.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2251.2%
Neutral1432.5%
Bearish716.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$232.73Current
$66Low
$228.39Average
$718High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeMar 24, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $232.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$243$217.85 +4.4%Oct 13, 2026
BMO CapitalKeith Bachman$235$210.49 +1.0%Oct 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$260$210.74 +11.7%Sep 22, 2026
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$265$206.33 +13.9%Sep 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$242$160 +4.0%Jul 27, 2026
See 26 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SAP SE, founded in Walldorf, Germany, in 1972, is a global provider of diverse software applications, technology, and services. The company's core enterprise resource planning (ERP) platform, SAP S/4HANA, offers robust functionalities for finance, risk management, project execution, procurement, manufacturing, supply chain optimization, asset management, and research and development. For human resources, SAP delivers SuccessFactors solutions, which encompass HR and payroll, talent and employee experience management, and comprehensive people and workforce analytics. Additionally, SAP provides spend management tools designed to handle direct and indirect expenditures, travel and expense reporting, and external workforce administration.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-24T17:03:34.622039+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T02:20:42.294815+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T02:20:42.291964+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.