RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · RNR · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

RenaissanceRe posts record Q3 operating EPS as rate pressure looms

RenaissanceRe’s record operating EPS, strong property catastrophe margins, and growing fee contribution demonstrate current earnings power. The test ahead is whether margin-first underwriting and capital-partner income can cushion expected rate pressure without weakening underwriting quality.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $14.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $15.62 Consensus $9.97
EPS surprise +56.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.19B Consensus $2.33B
Revenue surprise +36.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.9% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +6.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
RNRSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with Q2, Q3 analysis highlights record operating EPS, a larger property catastrophe book, and capital-partner fees that tripled to more than $300 million over the trailing four quarters. Management also now anticipates roughly 10% rate declines in 2026; it expects disciplined underwriting to preserve strong margins.

Guidance delta

Management maintained a confident outlook, while anticipating roughly 10% rate declines in 2026. It plans a margin-first underwriting approach, continued property catastrophe growth, and ongoing share repurchases; no formal numerical earnings guidance is stated in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Operating EPS reached a record $15.62; operating ROE was 28%, and tangible book value per share rose 10%.
  • Property catastrophe gross written premium grew to $3.3 billion, with an approximately 50% margin.
  • Capital-partner fee income and investment income contribute to returns; management expects modest rate pressure in 2026.

Management priorities

  • Maintain margin-first underwriting while growing property catastrophe exposure.
  • Continue share repurchases as a primary use of excess cash.
  • Use joint ventures and explore third-party capital structures for longer-tail lines.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RNR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $10.70 Q2 '24 actual $12.41, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7.89 Q3 '24 actual $10.23, beat Q2 '25 estimate $10.28 Q2 '25 actual $12.29, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9.97 Q3 '25 actual $15.62, beat Q4 '25 estimate $10.42 Q4 '25 actual $13.34, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11.28 Q1 '26 actual $13.75, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11.72 Q2 '26 actual $12.92, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10.56 Q3 '26 actual $12.71, beat Q4 '26 estimate $10.21 Q1 '27 estimate $11.90 Q2 '27 estimate $12.23 Q3 '27 estimate $7.78
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish828.6%
Neutral1864.3%
Bearish27.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$350.08Current
$256Low
$316.91Average
$391High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $350.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$352$339.32 +0.5%Nov 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$319$331.38 -8.9%Oct 12, 2026
RBC CapitalRowland Mayor$365$326.29 +4.3%Sep 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$350$328.98 -0.0%Jul 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$349$328.39 -0.3%Jul 27, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance and insurance products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Property, and Casualty and Specialty segments. The Property segment writes property catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance contracts to insure insurance and reinsurance companies against natural and man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, earthquakes, typhoons, and tsunamis, as well as winter storms, freezes, floods, fires, windstorms, tornadoes, explosions, and acts of terrorism; and other property class of products, such as proportional reinsurance, property per risk, property reinsurance, binding facilities, and regional U.S.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T14:50:43.907437+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T14:50:43.904547+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.