Raymond James Financial, Inc. · RJF · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026

Raymond James posts sixth straight year of record earnings

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: Raymond James reported another year of record results, strong Private Client Group asset growth and record investment-banking revenue. The main counterweights are rate-sensitive margins, fixed-income weakness, capital-allocation questions and execution around technology and potential acquisitions.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $30.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.59 Consensus $3.26
EPS surprise +10.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.27B Consensus $4.20B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
RJFSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted a sixth consecutive year of record results, a new Raimond AI assistant, record annual investment-banking revenue and plans to resume quarterly share repurchases. The prior quarter emphasized the broader rollout of Raymond and Clark Capital integration; the current analysis shifts attention to Raimond, GreensLedge and FY2027 execution.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained, with management optimistic about FY2027 while acknowledging macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • Private Client Group assets under administration reached $1.87 trillion, with $98 billion of net new assets cited in the supplied analysis.
  • Capital Markets delivered record annual investment-banking revenue of $1.1 billion.
  • Technology spending remains above $1.1 billion annually, including AI tools intended to improve adviser productivity.
  • Management plans to resume share repurchases at $400 million per quarter, supported by the balance-sheet position described in the analysis.

Management priorities

  • Continue recruiting advisers and growing Private Client Group net new assets.
  • Accelerate AI and technology deployments, including expanded use of Raimond.
  • Build the investment-banking pipeline and affordable-housing investment business.
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions that fit cultural and revenue-growth criteria.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RJF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $2.32 Q3 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.41 Q4 '24 actual $2.95, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.37 Q3 '25 actual $2.18, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.83 Q4 '25 actual $3.11, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.83 Q1 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.76 Q2 '26 actual $2.83, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.93 Q3 '26 actual $3.14, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.26 Q4 '26 actual $3.59, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3.35 Q2 '27 estimate $3.50 Q3 '27 estimate $3.67 Q4 '27 estimate $3.91
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold27 ratings
Bullish1244.4%
Neutral1555.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$157.42Previous close
$123Low
$160.94Average
$205High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 9, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 1, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainApr 6, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 23, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2025
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 22, 2025
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 3, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 8, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 27, 2023
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 28, 2022
Compass Point Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 1, 2020
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2018
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2018
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform Market PerformUpgradeFeb 27, 2018
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2017
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 22, 2016
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 15, 2015
S&P Capital IQ Strong Buy BuyUpgradeJul 9, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $157.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialDavid Smith$166$156.58 +5.5%Oct 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$197$159.53 +25.1%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$179$159.53 +13.7%Oct 7, 2026
Wells FargoDaniel Welden$172$159.76 +9.3%Oct 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$160$178.17 +1.6%Sep 1, 2026
Truist FinancialDavid Smith$188$178.17 +19.4%Sep 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$184$172.75 +16.9%Jul 27, 2026
Raymond JamesMichael Cho$179$164.91 +13.7%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesBrennan Hawken$175$165.16 +11.2%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$205$168.01 +30.2%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$174$169.45 +10.5%Jul 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$192$169.9 +22.0%Jul 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$200$165.35 +27.0%Jul 9, 2026
UBSMichael Brown$175$166.58 +11.2%Jul 8, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$155$143.22 -1.5%May 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$156.16 +5.5%Apr 23, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$172$155.91 +9.3%Apr 23, 2026
Raymond JamesMichael Cyprys$171$145.35 +8.6%Apr 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$156$148.14 -0.9%Apr 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$165$147.82 +4.8%Apr 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$158$147.82 +0.4%Apr 8, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$198$165.86 +25.8%Feb 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$191$169.02 +21.3%Jan 28, 2026
Raymond JamesMichael Cyprys$187$163.01 +18.8%Dec 22, 2025
UBSMichael Brown$176$166.94 +11.8%Dec 11, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$196$165.79 +24.5%Dec 10, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$194$164.98 +23.2%Oct 23, 2025
Raymond JamesBrennan Hawken$182$166.04 +15.6%Oct 23, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$181$166.04 +15.0%Oct 23, 2025
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$190$162.06 +20.7%Oct 23, 2025
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$185$165.15 +17.5%Oct 9, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$178$167.64 +13.1%Oct 7, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$173$165.9 +9.9%Oct 2, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$184$168.6 +16.9%Oct 1, 2025
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$180$159.31 +14.3%Jul 14, 2025
Raymond JamesCraig Siegenthaler$159$137.26 +1.0%Apr 24, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$161$144.19 +2.3%Mar 4, 2025
Raymond JamesChristopher Allen$170$154.21 +8.0%Jan 10, 2025
Raymond JamesWilliam Kirk$150$149.05 -4.7%Oct 30, 2024
Raymond JamesMichael Cyprys$132$136.51 -16.1%Oct 17, 2024
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$146$124.9 -7.3%Oct 9, 2024
Wells FargoChristopher Harris$138$115.95 -12.3%Sep 11, 2024
Raymond JamesDaniel Fannon$123$119.51 -21.9%Jul 8, 2024
Raymond JamesWilliam Kirk$130$125.36 -17.4%May 24, 2024
Raymond JamesBill Katz$126$123.39 -20.0%May 24, 2024
Seaport GlobalJim Mitchell$139$129.61 -11.7%Apr 4, 2024
Raymond JamesMark McLaughlin$145$128.43 -7.9%Apr 2, 2024
Raymond JamesMark McLaughlin$122$106.83 -22.5%Sep 11, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$125$110.71 -20.6%Jan 9, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$130.07$67.71 -17.4%Apr 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$128$98.45 -18.7%Mar 14, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Raymond James Financial, Inc. operates as a comprehensive financial services firm, extending a wide array of services to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities throughout the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its diverse operations are categorized into several key segments: Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Banking, and an "Other" category. The Private Client Group division equips clients with various investment solutions, personalized portfolio management, a selection of insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds. This segment also provides essential backing to third-party product partners, covering aspects like sales and marketing support, distribution, accounting, and general administrative assistance. Additionally, it facilitates margin loans and offers securities borrowing and lending services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T04:07:15.389273+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T10:40:42.358688+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T10:40:42.355124+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.