RBC Bearings Incorporated · RBC · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

RBC Bearings posts strong Q4 as A&D demand accelerates

The current analysis supports a constructive operating outlook: strong aerospace and defense demand, backlog growth and capacity investment point to continued expansion, while supply-chain, cost and execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $14.63B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.62 Consensus $3.33
EPS surprise +8.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $518.0M Consensus $505.9M
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.0% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -5.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.4% Up to 20 sessions
RBCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Aerospace and defense growth accelerated, backlog expanded, debt reduction continued, and management emphasized capacity additions for marine and missile programs. The analysis also identifies supply-chain constraints, higher SG&A and incomplete LTA repricing as watch points.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained maintained. FY27 Q1 guidance implies 14.7%–17% revenue growth, with slightly higher SG&A expenses.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 sales rose 18.3% year over year to $518 million and adjusted EPS rose 27.9% to $3.62.
  • Aerospace and defense revenue increased 41.2%, with backlog reaching $2.3 billion.
  • Management is adding machinery, floor space and test labs to address capacity constraints.
  • Debt reduction continued with $116 million paid down and free cash flow of $67.5 million.

Management priorities

  • Expand marine production capacity and target higher marine revenue over the next 24–36 months.
  • Increase missile-program mix and content through VACCO capabilities.
  • Invest in equipment upgrades and capacity, with upcoming capital spending targeted at 3.5%–4%.
  • Continue debt reduction and pursue selected mechanical-products acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RBC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $2.37 Q1 '25 actual $2.54, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.30 Q2 '25 actual $2.29, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.74 Q1 '26 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.73 Q2 '26 actual $2.88, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $3.04, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.33 Q4 '26 actual $3.62, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3.42 Q1 '27 actual $3.88, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3.53 Q2 '27 actual $3.74, beat Q3 '27 estimate $3.59 Q4 '27 estimate $3.97 Q1 '28 estimate $4.12 Q2 '28 estimate $4.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1557.7%
Neutral1038.5%
Bearish13.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$462.21Current
$328Low
$575.3Average
$686High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeAug 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 19, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 2, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 6, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 8, 2025
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 12, 2024
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 13, 2023
Alembic Global Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 9, 2023
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2021
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 17, 2021
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeDec 8, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Sell HoldDowngradeJul 14, 2020
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 5, 2019
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 8, 2019
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeFeb 7, 2018
William Blair Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 11, 2016
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeApr 20, 2016
Avondale Partners Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainMar 20, 2016
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainFeb 4, 2016
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 29, 2015
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 20, 2014
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2014
Global Hunter Securities Accumulate NeutralUpgradeAug 6, 2013
Barrington Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2013
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 1, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $462.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalMichael Ciarmoli$600$478.81 +29.8%Sep 14, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$686$571.07 +48.4%Aug 4, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$646$570.27 +39.8%Aug 4, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$645$569.02 +39.5%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$640$553.02 +38.5%May 19, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$615$551.12 +33.1%May 19, 2026
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$542$549.37 +17.3%Feb 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$600$546.16 +29.8%Feb 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$599$547.39 +29.6%Feb 6, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$595$520.16 +28.7%Feb 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$542$485 +17.3%Jan 9, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$535$461.21 +15.7%Jan 6, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$527$449.9 +14.0%Dec 17, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Ciarmoli$471$422.41 +1.9%Nov 3, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$503$373.47 +8.8%Oct 8, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Ciarmoli$410$367.29 -11.3%Feb 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyKristine Liwag$360$332.54 -22.1%Dec 19, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Clarmoli$328$297.02 -29.0%May 21, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$293$235.92 -36.6%Nov 14, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$285$241.96 -38.3%Aug 9, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$235$208.51 -49.2%Jul 19, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and distribution of precisely engineered bearings and a wide array of related mechanical components. The company strategically operates through two core segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial, catering to both domestic and international clients. Its diverse product portfolio includes: Plain bearings: Available in self-lubricating or metal-on-metal designs, featuring rod end, spherical plain, and journal bearings. Roller bearings: These anti-friction devices, such as tapered roller, needle roller, needle bearing track rollers, and cam followers, are vital for various industrial uses and military aircraft platforms. Ball bearings: This category encompasses high-precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings, all engineered with high-precision ball elements to minimize friction in demanding, high-speed applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-17T18:16:34.829328+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T23:20:41.139758+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T23:20:41.136850+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.