RBC Bearings Incorporated · RBC · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026
RBC Bearings posts strong Q4 as A&D demand accelerates
The current analysis supports a constructive operating outlook: strong aerospace and defense demand, backlog growth and capacity investment point to continued expansion, while supply-chain, cost and execution risks remain material.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Aerospace and defense growth accelerated, backlog expanded, debt reduction continued, and management emphasized capacity additions for marine and missile programs. The analysis also identifies supply-chain constraints, higher SG&A and incomplete LTA repricing as watch points.
Guidance delta
Guidance sentiment remained maintained. FY27 Q1 guidance implies 14.7%–17% revenue growth, with slightly higher SG&A expenses.
Key takeaways
- Q4 sales rose 18.3% year over year to $518 million and adjusted EPS rose 27.9% to $3.62.
- Aerospace and defense revenue increased 41.2%, with backlog reaching $2.3 billion.
- Management is adding machinery, floor space and test labs to address capacity constraints.
- Debt reduction continued with $116 million paid down and free cash flow of $67.5 million.
Management priorities
- Expand marine production capacity and target higher marine revenue over the next 24–36 months.
- Increase missile-program mix and content through VACCO capabilities.
- Invest in equipment upgrades and capacity, with upcoming capital spending targeted at 3.5%–4%.
- Continue debt reduction and pursue selected mechanical-products acquisitions.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 19, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 2, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Nov 13, 2023 |
| Alembic Global | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 9, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 3, 2021 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 17, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Dec 8, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Jul 14, 2020 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Nov 5, 2019 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 8, 2019 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 7, 2018 |
| William Blair | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Dec 11, 2016 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 20, 2016 |
| Avondale Partners | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Mar 20, 2016 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 4, 2016 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 29, 2015 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 20, 2014 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2014 |
| Global Hunter Securities | Accumulate | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 6, 2013 |
| Barrington Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 6, 2013 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 1, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $462.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Michael Ciarmoli | $600 | $478.81 | +29.8% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $686 | $571.07 | +48.4% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $646 | $570.27 | +39.8% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $645 | $569.02 | +39.5% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $640 | $553.02 | +38.5% | May 19, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $615 | $551.12 | +33.1% | May 19, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Joe Ritchie | $542 | $549.37 | +17.3% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $546.16 | +29.8% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $599 | $547.39 | +29.6% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $595 | $520.16 | +28.7% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $542 | $485 | +17.3% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $535 | $461.21 | +15.7% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $527 | $449.9 | +14.0% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Ciarmoli | $471 | $422.41 | +1.9% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $503 | $373.47 | +8.8% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Ciarmoli | $410 | $367.29 | -11.3% | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $360 | $332.54 | -22.1% | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Clarmoli | $328 | $297.02 | -29.0% | May 21, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $293 | $235.92 | -36.6% | Nov 14, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $285 | $241.96 | -38.3% | Aug 9, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $235 | $208.51 | -49.2% | Jul 19, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationRBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and distribution of precisely engineered bearings and a wide array of related mechanical components. The company strategically operates through two core segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial, catering to both domestic and international clients. Its diverse product portfolio includes: Plain bearings: Available in self-lubricating or metal-on-metal designs, featuring rod end, spherical plain, and journal bearings. Roller bearings: These anti-friction devices, such as tapered roller, needle roller, needle bearing track rollers, and cam followers, are vital for various industrial uses and military aircraft platforms. Ball bearings: This category encompasses high-precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings, all engineered with high-precision ball elements to minimize friction in demanding, high-speed applications.…
Historical context
All RBC earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +9.0% | +0.5% | General Dynamics raises outlook as orders and backlog surge |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.4% | -0.3% | CN posts strong Q3, maintains EPS outlook and expands Mexico strategy |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.6% | -8.8% | nVent raises outlook as data-center demand and Maverick broaden growth |
| MTZ MasTec, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.3% | +0.8% | MasTec posts record Q3 as power and data-center demand accelerates |
| IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +18.5% | +0.2% | Ingersoll Rand raises FY2026 outlook as orders accelerate |
| VLTO Veralto Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +8.3% | +9.8% | Veralto raises 2026 EPS outlook as water demand accelerates |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-17T18:16:34.829328+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T23:20:41.139758+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T23:20:41.136850+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.