RB Global, Inc. · RBA · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

RB Global raises FY2026 outlook as GTV and EBITDA grow

The quarter supports a growth thesis: GTV and adjusted EBITDA increased, management raised its full-year outlook, and automotive and agriculture expansion are central to the plan. The assessment is tempered by integration, take-rate and supply risks, and by a sharply negative share-price reaction in the reported event window.

Why did RBA fall 13.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q2?

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Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $17.32B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.13 Consensus $1.09
EPS surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.30B Consensus $1.21B
Revenue surprise +7.1% Reported versus consensus
Check the math in the surprise calculator >

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -13.9% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -13.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 7.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -13.3% Up to 20 sessions
RBASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's analysis, the new call reports 11% Q2 GTV growth and 6% adjusted EBITDA growth, with FY2026 GTV growth guidance raised to 9–11% and adjusted EBITDA growth to about 8.6%. BigIron is now described as acquired, while automotive insurance-partner coverage is expanding. The event-close-to-next-session window recorded a 13.9% stock decline against a 0.2% benchmark decline; the supplied analysis does not establish the cause.

Guidance delta

Management raised the FY2026 outlook to 9–11% GTV growth and approximately 8.6% adjusted EBITDA growth. The prior-quarter analysis cited 6–9% GTV growth and approximately 8% adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 GTV grew 11% to $4.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA grew 6% year over year.
  • The company raised its FY2026 outlook to 9–11% GTV growth and approximately 8.6% adjusted EBITDA growth.
  • Management identified BigIron, automotive insurance partnerships, operating leverage and technology investment as growth and execution priorities.
  • The reported event window showed a 13.9% share-price decline versus a 0.2% benchmark decline; no cause is established in the supplied analysis.

Management priorities

  • Integrate BigIron and use its brand and customer relationships to expand in U.S. agriculture.
  • Expand automotive insurance partnerships and seek additional sources of automotive volume.
  • Invest in AI, technology and yard capacity to improve operating leverage.
  • Pursue selective M&A while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RBA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $982M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q3 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy22 ratings
Bullish1672.7%
Neutral418.2%
Bearish29.1%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$95.14Current
$56Low
$98.31Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 10, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeJun 30, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 5, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $95.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$145$113.95 +52.4%Jun 30, 2026
BarclaysJohn Babcock$124$103.94 +30.3%May 28, 2026
National BankAnalyst unavailable$124$96.22 +30.3%Nov 24, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn Gibson$107$86.5 +12.5%Nov 11, 2024
BMO CapitalJohn Gibson$105$83.96 +10.4%Sep 4, 2024
See 4 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

RB Global, Inc. functions as a comprehensive global omnichannel platform, delivering valuable insights, diverse services, and efficient transaction solutions to facilitate the buying and selling of commercial equipment and vehicles worldwide. Its extensive brand portfolio includes Ritchie Bros., a leading auctioneer specializing in online bidding for commercial assets; IAA, a digital hub connecting vehicle purchasers and vendors; Rouse Services, which offers expertise in asset management, data-driven intelligence, and performance benchmarking; SmartEquip, a technological framework supporting the entire equipment lifecycle; Xcira, providing cutting-edge live simulcast auction technologies; and Veritread, an online marketplace dedicated to heavy haul transportation solutions. The company caters to a broad spectrum of asset categories, such as automotive, commercial transportation, construction, government surplus, lifting and material handling, energy, mining, and agriculture. Founded in 1958, RB Global, Inc. maintains its primary corporate office in Westchester, Illinois.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-05T14:13:59.078773+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-09T17:20:54.944703+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-09T17:20:54.941866+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.