PayPal Holdings, Inc. · PYPL · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PayPal Q1 2026: Beat on Revenue and EPS, New CEO Unveils $1.5B Cost-Saving Plan

PayPal's Q1 FY2026 results exceeded consensus on both EPS ($1.34 vs. $1.27) and revenue ($8.35B vs. $8.05B), driven by 11% spot TPV growth and strength in Venmo and payment services. Despite the beat, the stock fell sharply — down roughly 7.7% on the day with continued negative drift afterward — suggesting investors focused on the scale and risk of the planned transformation rather than the near-term results. New CEO Enrique Lores outlined a sweeping reorganization into three business units (checkout, consumer financial services, payment services) and a $1.5 billion cost-saving program powered by AI and organizational simplification. Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed, balancing these investments against macro headwinds, but the simultaneous restructuring, technology overhaul, and cost-reduction effort carry meaningful execution risk that the market has not yet rewarded.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $51.44B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PayPal Holdings, Inc. provides a worldwide technological framework that facilitates digital financial transactions for both businesses and individual users. The company offers a wide array of payment services through well-known brands such as PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Zettle, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy. Through its extensive platform, consumers are able to send and receive funds across roughly 200 global markets and in approximately 100 different currencies. Additionally, users can transfer money to their bank accounts in 56 currencies and maintain account balances in 25 distinct currencies within their PayPal accounts. Founded in 1998, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.34 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +5.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.35B Consensus $8.05B
Revenue surprise +3.8% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PYPL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.99 Q2 '24 actual $1.19, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.07 Q3 '24 actual $1.20, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.11 Q4 '24 actual $1.19, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.30 Q2 '25 actual $1.40, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.20 Q3 '25 actual $1.34, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.29 Q4 '25 actual $1.23, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.27 Q1 '26 actual $1.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.28 Q2 '26 actual $1.38, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.33 Q4 '26 estimate $1.36 Q1 '27 estimate $1.45 Q2 '27 estimate $1.37
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold68 ratings
Bullish2435.3%
Neutral4160.3%
Bearish34.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$58.35Current
$34Low
$96.7Average
$290High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold SellUpgradeJul 24, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeJul 16, 2026
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 15, 2026
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainJul 9, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 6, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 6, 2026
Needham Hold HoldMaintainMay 5, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 21, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 21, 2026
Mizuho Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 16, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 8, 2026
KGI Securities Neutral OutperformDowngradeMar 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainFeb 4, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Citizens Market Perform Market OutperformDowngradeFeb 4, 2026
BTIG Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 3, 2026
Daiwa Capital Neutral OutperformDowngradeJan 13, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJan 8, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 12, 2025
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 3, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 30, 2025
Seaport Global Neutral SellUpgradeJul 14, 2025
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy BuyMaintainApr 8, 2025
Citizens Capital Markets Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainFeb 26, 2025
Phillip Securities Accumulate BuyMaintainNov 1, 2024
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 18, 2024
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 10, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2024
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2024
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 18, 2024
DZ Bank Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 9, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 8, 2024
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainJan 25, 2024
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainOct 9, 2023
MoffettNathanson Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2023
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeJun 13, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeMay 12, 2023
Edward Jones Hold BuyDowngradeMay 10, 2023
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 6, 2023
SMBC Nikko Underperform NeutralDowngradeJan 18, 2023
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 9, 2023
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2022
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2022
Redburn Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 8, 2022
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainApr 28, 2022
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 28, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 9, 2020
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 31, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2019
Buckingham Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2019
BTIG Research Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 19, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2018
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 17, 2017
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainOct 20, 2017
Pacific Crest Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeJun 21, 2017
FBN Securities Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeMay 1, 2017
PiperJaffray Neutral UnderweightUpgradeApr 27, 2017
Monness Crespi Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 3, 2017
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $58.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$50$58.32 -14.3%Jul 28, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Coad$57$56 -2.3%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$55$57.34 -5.7%Jul 16, 2026
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$55$55.52 -5.7%Jul 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$48$44.53 -17.7%Jul 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$42$45.65 -28.0%Jul 7, 2026
Piper SandlerBill Carcache$42$44.38 -28.0%Jun 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$44$45.07 -24.6%May 12, 2026
MacquariePaul Golding$50$46.27 -14.3%May 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$48$46.04 -17.7%May 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Coad$45$49.79 -22.9%Apr 24, 2026
BMO CapitalAndrew Bauch$52$50.88 -10.9%Apr 21, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$54$51.99 -7.5%Apr 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$50$49.57 -14.3%Apr 16, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$39$42.07 -33.2%Feb 10, 2026
MacquarieAnalyst unavailable$58$40.8 -0.6%Feb 4, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$59$40.09 +1.1%Feb 4, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$63$40.36 +8.0%Feb 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$41$41.7 -29.7%Feb 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$60$41.7 +2.8%Feb 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$52$41.7 -10.9%Feb 4, 2026
UBSTimothy Chiodo$44$41.7 -24.6%Feb 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$34$41.7 -41.7%Feb 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$48$41.7 -17.7%Feb 4, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$47$41.7 -19.5%Feb 4, 2026
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$42$41.7 -28.0%Feb 4, 2026
Compass PointAnalyst unavailable$51$41.7 -12.6%Feb 4, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$48$41.7 -17.7%Feb 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAdam Frisch$40$41.96 -31.4%Feb 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$50$55.51 -14.3%Jan 28, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$50$55.51 -14.3%Jan 28, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$60$56.6 +2.8%Jan 26, 2026
Truist FinancialMatthew Coad$58$55.66 -0.6%Jan 20, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$65$56.4 +11.4%Jan 16, 2026
DaiwaAnalyst unavailable$61$57.29 +4.5%Jan 13, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$90$58.31 +54.2%Jan 8, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$75$59.81 +28.5%Dec 22, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$51$60.18 -12.6%Dec 18, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$66$61.69 +13.1%Dec 12, 2025
Compass PointDominick Gabriele$56$61.46 -4.0%Dec 9, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$67$61.12 +14.8%Dec 9, 2025
Deutsche BankNate Svensson$65$62.6 +11.4%Dec 5, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$84$69.68 +44.0%Oct 30, 2025
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$87$70.84 +49.1%Oct 29, 2025
Compass PointDominick Gabriele$66$71.56 +13.1%Oct 29, 2025
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$100$73.02 +71.4%Oct 29, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$74$73.02 +26.8%Oct 29, 2025
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$83$73.02 +42.2%Oct 29, 2025
UBSTim Chiodo$80$73.02 +37.1%Oct 29, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$91$75.97 +56.0%Oct 28, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$65$70.99 +11.4%Oct 24, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$74$70.05 +26.8%Oct 21, 2025
Goldman SachsWill Nance$70$69.81 +20.0%Oct 13, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$75$69.71 +28.5%Jul 30, 2025
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$74$78.22 +26.8%Jul 29, 2025
UBSTimothy Chiodo$75$65.84 +28.5%Apr 30, 2025
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$80$60.94 +37.1%Apr 15, 2025
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$81$68.86 +38.8%Mar 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$90$85.45 +54.2%Dec 18, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$92$89.05 +57.7%Dec 5, 2024
MacquariePaul Golding$95$78.73 +62.8%Oct 30, 2024
BMO CapitalRufus Hone$82$78.98 +40.5%Oct 30, 2024
SusquehannaJames Friedman$94$80.28 +61.1%Oct 30, 2024
Goldman SachsWill Nance$79$78.05 +35.4%Oct 29, 2024
StephensCharles Nabhan$85$79.82 +45.7%Oct 18, 2024
Wells FargoAndrew Bauch$75$80.82 +28.5%Oct 17, 2024
BernsteinHarshita Rawat$80$81.65 +37.1%Oct 10, 2024
Capital One FinancialRufus Hone$73$77.44 +25.1%Oct 3, 2024
Deutsche BankBryan Keane$94$76.76 +61.1%Sep 23, 2024
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$71$73.12 +21.7%Sep 19, 2024
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$80$72.03 +37.1%Sep 6, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJason Kupferberg$74$70.55 +26.8%Aug 28, 2024
DaiwaKazuya Nishimura$72$64.28 +23.4%Aug 9, 2024
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$80$66.31 +37.1%Jul 31, 2024
BMO CapitalRufus Hone$72$66.73 +23.4%Jul 31, 2024
MacquariePaul Golding$90$64 +54.2%Jul 31, 2024
BernsteinHarshita Rawat$78$64 +33.7%Jul 31, 2024
Evercore ISIDavid Togut$72$64 +23.4%Jul 30, 2024
MonnessGus Gala$95$62.62 +62.8%Jul 30, 2024
SusquehannaJames Friedman$71$57.81 +21.7%Jul 2, 2024
Goldman SachsWill Nance$69$59.59 +18.3%Jun 24, 2024
UBSTim Chiodo$71$59.12 +21.7%Jun 18, 2024
New StreetSoomit Datta$80$62.51 +37.1%May 31, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$90$61.05 +54.2%May 30, 2024
JMP SecuritiesAndrew Boone$82$66.14 +40.5%May 1, 2024
Evercore ISIDavid Togut$65$67.92 +11.4%May 1, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$68$66.09 +16.5%May 1, 2024
BMO CapitalRufus Hone$65$65.99 +11.4%May 1, 2024
Wells FargoAndrew Bauch$65$67.92 +11.4%May 1, 2024
RBC CapitalDaniel Perlin$84$65.98 +44.0%May 1, 2024
JMP SecuritiesDavid Scharf$70$63.43 +20.0%Apr 17, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$81$63.51 +38.8%Apr 16, 2024
Piper SandlerKevin Barker$62$56.13 +6.3%Feb 8, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$72$56.77 +23.4%Nov 14, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$92$60.06 +57.7%Aug 15, 2023
SusquehannaJames Friedman$78$64.72 +33.7%Aug 3, 2023
Credit SuisseTimothy Chiodo$80$73.84 +37.1%Jul 24, 2023
WedbushMoshe Katri$85$63.49 +45.7%Jun 9, 2023
JMP SecuritiesDavid Scharf$85$66.42 +45.7%May 9, 2023
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$72$73.05 +23.4%Mar 24, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$100$80.74 +71.4%Feb 10, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$105$77.69 +79.9%Jan 4, 2023
Truist FinancialAndrew Jeffrey$95$74.58 +62.8%Jan 3, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$85$73.8 +45.7%Dec 13, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$108$73.57 +85.1%Dec 12, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$100$75.18 +71.4%Nov 6, 2022
JefferiesTrevor Williams$75$75.18 +28.5%Nov 4, 2022
Goldman SachsMike Ng$110$76.55 +88.5%Nov 4, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El Assal$100$75.18 +71.4%Nov 4, 2022
StephensCharles Nabhan$80$75.18 +37.1%Nov 4, 2022
SMBC NikkoAndrew Bauch$95$75.18 +62.8%Nov 4, 2022
Goldman SachsMike Ng$110$75.18 +88.5%Nov 4, 2022
UBSRayna Kumar$123$75.18 +110.8%Nov 4, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$100$95.03 +71.4%Sep 20, 2022
Raymond JamesJohn Davis$123$97.05 +110.8%Sep 14, 2022
Deutsche BankBryan Keane Keane$140$97.6 +139.9%Sep 12, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$120$95.4 +105.7%Sep 8, 2022
Evercore ISIDavid Togut$136$101.51 +133.1%Aug 16, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$118$98.68 +102.2%Aug 8, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$124$96.68 +112.5%Aug 4, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$131$97.92 +124.5%Aug 4, 2022
StephensCharles Nabhan$95$97.92 +62.8%Aug 3, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$108$98.33 +85.1%Aug 3, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$136$98.75 +133.1%Aug 3, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$123$89.63 +110.8%Aug 3, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$110$89.63 +88.5%Aug 3, 2022
JMP SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$120$89.63 +105.7%Aug 3, 2022
JefferiesTrevor Williams$93$89.63 +59.4%Aug 3, 2022
RBC CapitalDaniel Perlin$92$85.56 +57.7%Jul 27, 2022
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$145$77.04 +148.5%Jul 27, 2022
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$101$81.05 +73.1%Jul 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$129$82.49 +121.1%Jul 21, 2022
Wells FargoJeff Cantwell$97$80.24 +66.2%Jul 20, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$97$79.38 +66.2%Jul 20, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$112$77.74 +91.9%Jul 20, 2022
JMP SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$100$71.14 +71.4%Jul 15, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$93$74.4 +59.4%Jul 6, 2022
Truist FinancialAndrew Jeffrey$80$71.4 +37.1%Jul 4, 2022
Credit SuisseTimothy Chiodo$95$71.47 +62.8%Jun 29, 2022
Wells FargoJeff Cantwell's$115$75.82 +97.1%Jun 27, 2022
WedbushMoshe Katri$110$79.3 +88.5%Jun 11, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El Assal$125$75.17 +114.2%May 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$137$78.75 +134.8%May 10, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$120$91.53 +105.7%May 3, 2022
D.A. DavidsonChristopher Brendler$131$87.93 +124.5%May 1, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$85.63 +88.5%Apr 28, 2022
JMP SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$112$85.71 +91.9%Apr 28, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$114$85.99 +95.4%Apr 28, 2022
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$115$82.61 +97.1%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$139$82.61 +138.2%Apr 28, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$120$82.61 +105.7%Apr 28, 2022
Piper SandlerChristopher Donat$140$82.61 +139.9%Apr 28, 2022
Piper SandlerChristopher Donat$140$92.09 +139.9%Apr 28, 2022
Wells FargoJeff Cantwell$115$92.09 +97.1%Apr 28, 2022
SMBC NikkoAndrew Bauch$90$92.09 +54.2%Apr 28, 2022
JMP SecuritiesDavid Scharf$112$92.09 +91.9%Apr 28, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsHal Goetsch$138$92.09 +136.5%Apr 28, 2022
OppenheimerDominick Gabriele$118$92.09 +102.2%Apr 28, 2022
JefferiesTrevor Williams$95$92.09 +62.8%Apr 28, 2022
Credit SuisseTimothy Chiodo$100$92.09 +71.4%Apr 28, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$115$92.09 +97.1%Apr 28, 2022
SMBC NikkoAndrew Bauch$90$92.09 +54.2%Apr 28, 2022
D.A. DavidsonChristopher Brendler$144$82.61 +146.8%Apr 27, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesSean Horgan$180$82.61 +208.5%Apr 27, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$160$82.61 +174.2%Apr 27, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$175$82.61 +199.9%Apr 27, 2022
D.A. DavidsonChris Brendler$144$83.7 +146.8%Apr 26, 2022
SMBC NikkoAndrew Bauch$105$86.03 +79.9%Apr 25, 2022
RBC CapitalDaniel Perlin$118$86.03 +102.2%Apr 24, 2022
Credit SuisseTimothy Chiodo$155$86.03 +165.6%Apr 23, 2022
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$152$102.31 +160.5%Apr 15, 2022
StephensCharles Nabhan$135$117.65 +131.4%Apr 5, 2022
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$175$116.67 +199.9%Apr 1, 2022
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$144$118.49 +146.8%Mar 30, 2022
Deutsche BankBryan Keane$200$113.76 +242.8%Mar 25, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJason Kupferberg$107$96.57 +83.4%Mar 12, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$190$100.22 +225.6%Mar 9, 2022
UBSRayna Kumar$158$105.02 +170.8%Feb 24, 2022
DZ BANK AGWerner Eisenmann$140$124.3 +139.9%Feb 3, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El Assal$200$124.3 +242.8%Feb 3, 2022
BernsteinHarshita Rawat$140$124.3 +139.9%Feb 3, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsHal Goetsch$212$124.3 +263.3%Feb 3, 2022
Berenberg BankTammy Qiu$190$132.57 +225.6%Feb 2, 2022
SMBC NikkoAndrew Bauch$125$132.57 +114.2%Feb 2, 2022
OppenheimerDominick Gabriele$190$132.57 +225.6%Feb 2, 2022
WedbushMoshe Katri$170$132.57 +191.3%Feb 2, 2022
BMO CapitalJames Fotheringham$180$132.57 +208.5%Feb 2, 2022
Truist FinancialAndrew Jeffrey$130$132.57 +122.8%Feb 2, 2022
Piper SandlerChristopher Donat$185$132.57 +217.1%Feb 2, 2022
Oddo BHFMartin Marandon-Carlhian$200$132.57 +242.8%Feb 2, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesSean Horgan$216$132.57 +270.2%Feb 2, 2022
Evercore ISIDavid Togut$245$132.57 +319.9%Feb 2, 2022
KeyBancJosh Beck$200$132.57 +242.8%Feb 2, 2022
Credit SuisseTimothy Chiodo$190$132.57 +225.6%Feb 2, 2022
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$215$132.57 +268.5%Feb 2, 2022
Cowen & Co.Georgios Mihalos$147$132.57 +151.9%Feb 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$160$132.57 +174.2%Feb 2, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesKunaal Malde$180$132.57 +208.5%Feb 2, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$220$132.57 +277.0%Feb 2, 2022
CitigroupAshwin Shirvaikar$235$156.98 +302.7%Jan 26, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$200$158.2 +242.8%Jan 25, 2022
Raymond JamesJohn Davis$229$178.42 +292.5%Jan 16, 2022
BNP ParibasAlexandre Faure$200$182.95 +242.8%Jan 10, 2022
Compass PointMichael Del Grosso$290$252.02 +397.0%May 6, 2021
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.7% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -8.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.3% Up to 20 sessions
PYPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The prior quarter (Q4 FY2025) highlighted a branded checkout slowdown (only 1% TPV growth) and introduced Enrique Lores as incoming CEO with a focus on execution. This quarter marked Lores's first full quarter at the helm and brought concrete strategic moves: a formal reorganization into three business pillars, a $1.5 billion gross-run-rate cost-saving initiative over 2-3 years, the deployment of an AI transformation team, and the launch of PayPal Plus in the UK. The optimized checkout button reached approximately 45% adoption. TY USD stablecoin became the largest federally regulated stablecoin, expanded to 70 markets. Branded checkout showed improvement from the Q4 trough, though management did not quantify the specific recovery.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed despite macro headwinds, matching the maintained guidance sentiment from the prior quarter. The prior quarter had guided to flat to slightly declining transaction margin dollars and low-single-digit EPS growth for 2026, with approximately 3 points of headwind from targeted investments. This quarter's reaffirmation, combined with the $1.5B cost-saving program announcement, suggests management sees enough operating leverage to offset investment costs — but did not raise the outlook, indicating no material upgrade to the revenue or profit trajectory.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 FY2026 beat consensus with EPS of $1.34 (est. $1.27) and revenue of $8.35B (est. $8.05B), driven by 11% spot TPV growth.
  • New CEO Enrique Lores restructured PayPal into three business units: checkout, consumer financial services, and payment services.
  • Announced a $1.5 billion gross-run-rate cost-saving program over 2-3 years, driven by AI adoption and organizational simplification.
  • TY USD stablecoin became the largest federally regulated stablecoin and was expanded to 70 markets.
  • Optimized checkout button reached approximately 45% adoption, up from the prior quarter's focus on improving checkout experience.

Management priorities

  • Execute the three-business-unit reorganization to sharpen accountability and speed decision-making.
  • Deploy the AI transformation team to redesign core processes and capture the targeted $1.5B in cost savings.
  • Scale the optimized checkout button to full rollout from the current ~45% adoption level.
  • Expand the PayPal Plus loyalty program beyond the UK to broader markets.
  • Scale TY USD stablecoin availability across additional markets.

Related earnings events

Financial Services

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T23:31:15.220519+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T23:31:15.218413+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.