PTC Inc. · PTC · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

PTC Maintains FY2025 Guidance as AI Rollout and GTM Shift Advance

PTC’s maintained FY2025 outlook and subscription-based model support the case for continued earnings growth, but the supplied analysis leaves the near-term trajectory dependent on execution of the go-to-market reorganization, AI launches, and ARR conversion.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $20.96B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.91
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $557.7M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -9.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -9.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
PTCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of early go-to-market momentum, a centralized AI development effort, a launched ServiceMax AI SKU, planned Codebeamer AI capabilities, and FedRAMP certification. Guidance was maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Maintained: FY2025 ARR growth guidance remained 9–10% and free cash flow guidance remained $835–$850 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 ARR and free cash flow met guidance despite a sluggish selling environment.
  • Management said its vertical go-to-market transformation was showing early momentum.
  • AI development is being consolidated across product lines, with ServiceMax AI launched and Codebeamer AI capabilities planned.
  • ServiceMax received FedRAMP certification, expanding its addressable federal and aerospace and defense opportunities.
  • The main execution questions are AI rollout, sales-force changes, ARR timing, and competitive pressure.

Management priorities

  • Execute the vertical go-to-market strategy and expand the quota-carrying sales force
  • Roll out AI capabilities across ServiceMax, Codebeamer, Windchill, Creo, and Onshape
  • Pursue cross-selling between Windchill and Codebeamer
  • Use FedRAMP certification to expand federal and aerospace and defense opportunities
  • Continue product development and the planned FY2025 share repurchase

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PTC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $577M Q2 '24 actual $603M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $530M Q3 '24 actual $519M, miss Q4 '24 estimate $621M Q4 '24 actual $627M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $583M Q3 '25 actual $644M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $751M Q4 '25 actual $894M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $639M Q1 '26 actual $686M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $712M Q2 '26 actual $774M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $612M Q3 '26 actual $600M, miss Q4 '26 estimate $664M Q1 '27 estimate $672M Q2 '27 estimate $762M
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1341.9%
Neutral1651.6%
Bearish26.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$193.06Current
$120Low
$186.78Average
$306High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 6, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 6, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 5, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $193.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$205$192.26 +6.2%Oct 6, 2026
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$205$192.26 +6.2%Oct 6, 2026
Deutsche BankJohannes Schaller$205$192.26 +6.2%Oct 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$205$192.45 +6.2%Oct 5, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$205$192.68 +6.2%Oct 5, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PTC Inc. operates as a global provider of software and services, with its market presence extending across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Software Products and Professional Services. Among its key offerings is the ThingWorx platform, which furnishes enterprises with a suite of functionalities to drive digital innovation across their operations. These solutions are characterized by ease of creation and deployment, scalability for future demands, and their ability to accelerate value realization for customers. Another significant product, Vuforia, enables the visualization of digital information within real-world contexts and facilitates the development of augmented reality applications.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T19:00:42.930872+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T19:00:42.928065+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.