PPL Corporation · PPL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

PPL reaffirms 2026 guidance as data-center pipeline expands

PPL's reaffirmed guidance and expanding large-load pipeline support a constructive growth case, but the thesis depends on converting data-center demand into contracts and regulated returns while managing execution and regulatory risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $25.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.33 Consensus $0.34
EPS surprise -3.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.11B Consensus $2.19B
Revenue surprise -3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.0% Up to 20 sessions
PPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, data-center agreements increased to about 32 GW, with more than 11 GW under firm ESAs; the Invitium opportunity is now described as potentially driving $10-$12 billion of incremental capital investment through 2032. Management also highlighted Rhode Island rate support and continued progress toward commercial agreements.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 2026 earnings guidance of $1.90-$1.98 per share and expects stronger second-half performance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 2026 earnings were $0.33 per share, while management reaffirmed full-year guidance.
  • Data-center agreements total about 32 GW, with more than 11 GW under firm ESAs.
  • The Invitium joint venture could support $10-$12 billion of incremental capital investment through 2032.

Management priorities

  • Secure one or more commercial agreements for Invitium Energy by year-end.
  • Deploy approximately $5 billion of capital investments in 2026.
  • Expand large-load tariffs and advance pumped-storage and battery projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PPL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.50 Q1 '24 actual $0.54, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.33 Q2 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.39 Q2 '25 actual $0.32, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.41 Q4 '25 actual $0.41, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.62 Q1 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.33, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '27 estimate $0.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2172.4%
Neutral827.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.05Current
$28.5Low
$37.52Average
$48High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 5, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 23, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 20, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 11, 2024
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeMar 8, 2024
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 6, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 16, 2022
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeMar 9, 2022
CFRA Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainFeb 14, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainDec 16, 2019
Macquarie Neutral UnderperformUpgradeOct 23, 2019
Bank of America Neutral UnderperformUpgradeAug 7, 2019
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeAug 8, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeJun 26, 2017
Tudor Pickering Hold BuyDowngradeJun 2, 2015
Hilliard Lyons Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2014
Ladenburg Thalmann Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 12, 2014
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 7, 2013
ISI Group Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 7, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$39$33.36 +18.0%Sep 18, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$35$33.79 +5.9%Sep 15, 2026
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$44$35.04 +33.1%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$42$36.02 +27.1%Aug 17, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$38$35.08 +15.0%Aug 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$39$35.85 +18.0%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$41$36.07 +24.1%Jul 14, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$39$35.52 +18.0%Jun 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$37$35.16 +12.0%Jun 5, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$40$36.06 +21.0%May 11, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$39$35.91 +18.0%May 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$43$38.44 +30.1%Apr 21, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$42$39.17 +27.1%Apr 20, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$48$39.58 +45.2%Apr 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$41$36.8 +24.1%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$42$37.54 +27.1%Feb 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$39$37.57 +18.0%Feb 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$37$37.18 +12.0%Jan 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$41$36.83 +24.1%Jan 20, 2026
UBSGreg Orrill$36$33.98 +8.9%Dec 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$45$33.47 +36.2%Dec 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$40$35.5 +21.0%Nov 20, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$43$37.46 +30.1%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$41$37.82 +24.1%Oct 22, 2025
BTIGAlex Kania$44$37.52 +33.1%Oct 21, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$41$37.67 +24.1%Oct 21, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$40$37.44 +21.0%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$39$36.94 +18.0%Oct 10, 2025
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$43$37.15 +30.1%Oct 6, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$38$36.16 +15.0%Sep 25, 2025
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$39$32.66 +18.0%Oct 21, 2024
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$38$31.79 +15.0%Sep 19, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesPaul Cole$34$31.34 +2.9%Aug 29, 2024
Argus ResearchJacob Kilstein$33$28.18 -0.2%Jun 10, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$32$28.64 -3.2%May 28, 2024
Wells FargoNeil Kalton$32$28 -3.2%May 2, 2024
Argus ResearchJacob Kilstein$30$27.18 -9.2%Mar 8, 2024
Seaport GlobalAngie Storozynski$28.5$26.08 -13.8%Aug 4, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$26$27.42 -21.3%Nov 11, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesPaul Zimbardo$33$30.24 -0.2%Aug 15, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$29$27.85 -12.3%Jul 26, 2022
Evercore ISIGreg Gordon$30$27.05 -9.2%Jul 7, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$33$29.76 -0.2%Apr 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$32$30.12 -3.2%Apr 20, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$30$26.58 -9.2%Mar 10, 2022
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$31$26.81 -6.2%Feb 22, 2022
CitigroupRyan Levine$33$28.97 -0.2%Sep 10, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PPL Corporation provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 3.6 million customers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Kentucky Regulated, Pennsylvania Regulated, and Rhode Island Regulated. The company engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in eastern and central Pennsylvania; generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island; distribution and sale of natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island; sale of wholesale electricity in Kentucky; and generation of electricity from power plants in Kentucky. It generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources. The company was formerly known as PP&L Resources, Inc. and changed its name to PPL Corporation in 2000. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T21:15:43.427022+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-12T01:23:12.567806+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T23:10:48.847862+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T23:10:48.844987+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.