Palantir Technologies Inc. · PLTR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Palantir pairs rapid growth with continued AI investment

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: strong U.S. commercial and government demand, high customer expansion and raised guidance are being paired with continued investment in AI and defense platforms. The main counterweights are geographic concentration, international execution, procurement cycles and expense growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $429.48B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.25 Consensus $0.23
EPS surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.34B
Revenue surprise +4.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.8% Event window
SPY move -0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +7.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
PLTRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of accelerating U.S. demand and broader product deployment. Management raised FY2026 revenue guidance and emphasized new or expanding initiatives including ShipOS, Maven Edge and AI FDE, while maintaining a confident tone about scaling AI-native enterprises.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook, with FY2026 revenue guidance of $7.19 billion, implying 61% year-over-year growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong demand for its AI platform across commercial and government customers.
  • U.S. commercial revenue grew 137% year over year, while U.S. government revenue grew 66%.
  • Management highlighted a 139% net dollar retention rate and continued expansion of Foundry, AIP, Hivemind and AI FDE.
  • The company plans further deployments of ShipOS and Maven Edge across defense and industrial customers.

Management priorities

  • Scale investments in AIP, Hivemind and AI FDE.
  • Expand Foundry as an operating system for AI-native organizations.
  • Deploy ShipOS and Maven Edge across additional defense and industrial customers.
  • Continue expanding U.S. commercial and government contracts.
  • Develop an American technology fellowship for shipbuilding suppliers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLTR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $615M Q1 '24 actual $634M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $653M Q2 '24 actual $678M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $705M Q3 '24 actual $726M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $938M Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish1350.0%
Neutral1038.5%
Bearish311.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$187.05Previous close
$4.5Low
$132.72Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $187.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$250$173.31 +33.7%Sep 15, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$250$168.03 +33.7%Sep 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$215$175.23 +14.9%Aug 11, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$158.09 +6.9%Aug 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$215$153.91 +14.9%Aug 4, 2026
See 93 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One such product is Palantir Gotham, a sophisticated software system that enables users to uncover hidden patterns within diverse datasets, from signals intelligence to confidential informant reports. Gotham also facilitates the seamless handover between analysts and operational personnel, helping operators strategize and execute real-world responses to threats pinpointed within the platform.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T05:26:06.990976+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T05:26:06.988222+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.