Palantir Technologies Inc. · PLTR · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Palantir: AI adoption and contract momentum reinforce growth case

The current analysis supports a constructive growth thesis: broad AI-platform adoption, strong commercial expansion, and government demand are reinforcing Palantir’s trajectory. The thesis remains contingent on execution, continued customer expansion, and sustained demand across commercial and government markets.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $433.38B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.16 Consensus $0.14
EPS surprise +15.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.00B Consensus $937.7M
Revenue surprise +7.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.8% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +8.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.6% Up to 20 sessions
PLTRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current call adds evidence of broader AIP and ontology adoption, expanded AI FDE and Warp Speed plans, and continued pursuit of large government contracts. The growth narrative is stronger, while distribution, talent, seasonality, policy exposure, and valuation remain the principal concerns.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance again, reinforcing the positive direction described in the prior-quarter analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management described broadening adoption of AIP and ontology-based workflows across commercial customers.
  • U.S. commercial expansion and government AI contracts remained the central growth drivers.
  • Product expansion across AIP, AI FDE, Warp Speed, and Maven points to deeper customer integration.
  • The main counterweights are execution, talent, government-budget exposure, and valuation sensitivity.

Management priorities

  • Scale AIP and Ontology web services across enterprise customers.
  • Expand AI FDE capabilities and industrial applications through Warp Speed.
  • Pursue additional large-scale government contracts.
  • Support frontline-worker AI tools and talent development.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLTR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.08 Q1 '24 actual $0.08, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.08 Q2 '24 actual $0.09, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.09 Q3 '24 actual $0.10, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.14 Q2 '25 actual $0.16, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.17 Q3 '25 actual $0.21, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.23 Q4 '25 actual $0.25, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.33, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.42 Q4 '26 estimate $0.42 Q1 '27 estimate $0.46
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish1350.0%
Neutral1038.5%
Bearish311.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$188.75Current
$4.5Low
$132.72Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $188.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$250$173.31 +32.5%Sep 15, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$250$168.03 +32.5%Sep 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$215$175.23 +13.9%Aug 11, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$158.09 +6.0%Aug 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$215$153.91 +13.9%Aug 4, 2026
See 93 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One such product is Palantir Gotham, a sophisticated software system that enables users to uncover hidden patterns within diverse datasets, from signals intelligence to confidential informant reports. Gotham also facilitates the seamless handover between analysts and operational personnel, helping operators strategize and execute real-world responses to threats pinpointed within the platform.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T15:10:44.480296+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T15:10:44.477331+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.