Palantir Technologies Inc. · PLTR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Palantir pairs rapid growth with continued AI investment

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: strong U.S. commercial and government demand, high customer expansion and raised guidance are being paired with continued investment in AI and defense platforms. The main counterweights are geographic concentration, international execution, procurement cycles and expense growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $429.48B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.25 Consensus $0.23
EPS surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.34B
Revenue surprise +4.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.8% Event window
SPY move -0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +7.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
PLTRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of accelerating U.S. demand and broader product deployment. Management raised FY2026 revenue guidance and emphasized new or expanding initiatives including ShipOS, Maven Edge and AI FDE, while maintaining a confident tone about scaling AI-native enterprises.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook, with FY2026 revenue guidance of $7.19 billion, implying 61% year-over-year growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong demand for its AI platform across commercial and government customers.
  • U.S. commercial revenue grew 137% year over year, while U.S. government revenue grew 66%.
  • Management highlighted a 139% net dollar retention rate and continued expansion of Foundry, AIP, Hivemind and AI FDE.
  • The company plans further deployments of ShipOS and Maven Edge across defense and industrial customers.

Management priorities

  • Scale investments in AIP, Hivemind and AI FDE.
  • Expand Foundry as an operating system for AI-native organizations.
  • Deploy ShipOS and Maven Edge across additional defense and industrial customers.
  • Continue expanding U.S. commercial and government contracts.
  • Develop an American technology fellowship for shipbuilding suppliers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLTR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.08 Q1 '24 actual $0.08, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.08 Q2 '24 actual $0.09, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.09 Q3 '24 actual $0.10, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.14 Q2 '25 actual $0.16, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.17 Q3 '25 actual $0.21, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.23 Q4 '25 actual $0.25, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.33, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.42 Q4 '26 estimate $0.42 Q1 '27 estimate $0.46
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish1350.0%
Neutral1038.5%
Bearish311.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$187.05Previous close
$4.5Low
$132.72Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeAug 4, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeJun 16, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 5, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 6, 2026
RBC Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainMay 5, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeMay 1, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy SellUpgradeFeb 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 4, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 4, 2025
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 4, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 4, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2025
William Blair Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeMar 5, 2025
Northland Capital Markets Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 4, 2025
Jefferies Underperform UnderperformMaintainFeb 4, 2025
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainDec 20, 2024
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 23, 2024
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Sell NeutralDowngradeJun 21, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 10, 2023
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $187.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$250$173.31 +33.7%Sep 15, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$250$168.03 +33.7%Sep 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$215$175.23 +14.9%Aug 11, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$158.09 +6.9%Aug 4, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$215$153.91 +14.9%Aug 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$204$125.65 +9.1%Aug 4, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$156$125.65 -16.6%Aug 4, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$200$125.65 +6.9%Aug 4, 2026
JefferiesBrent Thill$80$125.65 -57.2%Aug 4, 2026
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$90$121.72 -51.9%Jul 31, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$175$125.73 -6.4%Jul 2, 2026
UBSKarl Keirstead$200$129.98 +6.9%Jun 16, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldThomas Blakey$138$137.42 -26.2%May 22, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$190$135.91 +1.6%May 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$165$137.31 -11.8%May 5, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$151$144.07 -19.3%May 1, 2026
OppenheimerParam Singh$200$137.97 +6.9%Apr 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$185$132.37 -1.1%Apr 14, 2026
DaiwaAnalyst unavailable$180$142.91 -3.8%Feb 10, 2026
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$200$155.6 +6.9%Feb 3, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$205$156.07 +9.6%Feb 3, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$180$154.46 -3.8%Feb 3, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$190$147.76 +1.6%Feb 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$180$147.76 -3.8%Feb 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$195$147.76 +4.3%Feb 3, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$230$147.76 +23.0%Feb 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$208$165.33 +11.2%Jan 22, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$223$174.04 +19.2%Jan 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldThomas Blakey$198$192.26 +5.9%Nov 4, 2025
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$215$192.67 +14.9%Nov 4, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$205$192.29 +9.6%Nov 4, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$188$192.06 +0.5%Nov 4, 2025
UBSKarl Keirstead$205$207.18 +9.6%Nov 4, 2025
Robert W. BairdWilliam Power$200$207.18 +6.9%Nov 4, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$205$207.18 +9.6%Nov 4, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$201$177.21 +7.5%Oct 14, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$165$171.43 -11.8%Sep 15, 2025
WedbushDaniel Ives$200$173.27 +6.9%Aug 5, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$155$173.27 -17.1%Aug 5, 2025
Piper SandlerBrent Bracelin$182$173.27 -2.7%Aug 5, 2025
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$170$173.27 -9.1%Aug 5, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$180$173.27 -3.8%Aug 5, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$165$173.27 -11.8%Aug 5, 2025
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$160$173.27 -14.5%Aug 5, 2025
WedbushDaniel Ives$160$142.5 -14.5%Jul 10, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsMark Schappel$155$135.19 -17.1%Jun 12, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesMatthew Broome$94$108.86 -49.7%May 6, 2025
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$115$108.86 -38.5%May 6, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsMark Schappel$130$108.86 -30.5%May 6, 2025
WedbushDaniel Ives$140$106.38 -25.2%May 6, 2025
William BlairAnalyst unavailable$84$90.13 -55.1%Mar 5, 2025
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$105$103.83 -43.9%Feb 4, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$80$103.83 -57.2%Feb 4, 2025
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$95$103.83 -49.2%Feb 4, 2025
JefferiesBrent Thill$60$103.83 -67.9%Feb 4, 2025
WedbushDan Ives$75$64.35 -59.9%Nov 25, 2024
WedbushDan Ives$57$51.02 -69.5%Nov 5, 2024
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$47$51.02 -74.9%Nov 5, 2024
WedbushDaniel Ives$45$37.12 -75.9%Sep 26, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesMariana Perez Mora$50$35.88 -73.3%Sep 16, 2024
Northland SecuritiesMichael Latimore$35$32.59 -81.3%Aug 22, 2024
CitigroupTyler Radke$30$29.28 -84.0%Aug 8, 2024
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$16$26.59 -91.4%Aug 6, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesMariana Perez Mora$30$26.92 -84.0%Aug 6, 2024
WedbushDan Ives$38$26.82 -79.7%Aug 6, 2024
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$28$24.09 -85.0%Aug 6, 2024
WedbushDaniel Ives$50$28.9 -73.3%Jul 18, 2024
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$29$23.57 -84.5%Jun 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$21$21.6 -88.8%May 7, 2024
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$24$21.7 -87.2%May 7, 2024
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$20$25.21 -89.3%May 7, 2024
WedbushDan Ives$35$23.33 -81.3%May 6, 2024
JefferiesBrent Thill$22$21.87 -88.2%Feb 6, 2024
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$11$16.66 -94.1%Aug 8, 2023
WedbushDaniel Ives$25$16.92 -86.6%Jul 28, 2023
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$8$8.59 -95.7%Feb 14, 2023
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$7.5$6.36 -96.0%Jan 5, 2023
Wolfe ResearchAlex Zukin$4.5$6.31 -97.6%Dec 21, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$5$7.64 -97.3%Nov 11, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$6$9.82 -96.8%Aug 9, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$12$9.82 -93.6%Aug 9, 2022
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$8$9.82 -95.7%Aug 9, 2022
Raymond JamesBrian Gesuale$20$10.46 -89.3%Jul 21, 2022
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$10$9.01 -94.7%Jun 23, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesMariana Perez Mora$13$8.86 -93.0%Jun 21, 2022
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$11$8.34 -94.1%May 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$13$7.46 -93.0%May 10, 2022
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$6$7.26 -96.8%May 10, 2022
Piper SandlerWeston Twigg$14$7.46 -92.5%May 9, 2022
Piper SandlerWeston Twigg$16$11.12 -91.4%Apr 27, 2022
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$12$11.96 -93.6%Apr 25, 2022
MonnessBrian White$20$12.42 -89.3%Apr 14, 2022
Piper SandlerWeston Twigg$15$11.87 -92.0%Mar 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$16$11.11 -91.4%Mar 7, 2022
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$15$11.02 -92.0%Feb 20, 2022
Wolfe ResearchAlex Zukin$9$11.02 -95.2%Feb 18, 2022
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$9$11.77 -95.2%Feb 17, 2022
JefferiesBrent Thill$21$12.94 -88.8%Feb 4, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One such product is Palantir Gotham, a sophisticated software system that enables users to uncover hidden patterns within diverse datasets, from signals intelligence to confidential informant reports. Gotham also facilitates the seamless handover between analysts and operational personnel, helping operators strategize and execute real-world responses to threats pinpointed within the platform.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T05:26:06.990976+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T05:26:06.988222+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.