Prologis, Inc. · PLD · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Prologis raises guidance as logistics and data-center demand stays strong

Prologis's Q3 update supports a constructive operating thesis: strong occupancy, rent growth, and demand across logistics and data centers were paired with higher guidance. The main counterweights are rates, financing and construction costs, plus merger and permitting execution risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $120.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.60 Consensus $0.78
EPS surprise +105.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.39B Consensus $2.18B
Revenue surprise +9.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.4% Up to 20 sessions
PLDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Prologis reported higher occupancy of 95.6%, about 5.8% same-store NOI growth, and raised targets for development starts and acquisitions. The data-center pipeline remained a central growth focus, while the SEGRO merger advanced to the regulatory-clearance stage.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance for occupancy, same-store growth, development starts, and acquisitions.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 occupancy was 95.6%, rent change was 38% net effective, and same-store NOI growth was about 5.8%.
  • Management cited demand from e-commerce, advanced manufacturing, and data-center supply chains.
  • The SEGRO merger received shareholder approval and is expected to close in the first half of 2027, pending regulatory clearance.

Management priorities

  • Increase development starts to $6–6.75 billion, with 55–65% build-to-suit.
  • Execute $2.1–2.3 billion of acquisitions focused on discounted assets.
  • Advance the 5.8-gigawatt data-center power pipeline and strategic capital opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2665.0%
Neutral1332.5%
Bearish12.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$126.35Current
$118Low
$151.51Average
$187High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeAug 5, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $126.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$166$139.94 +31.4%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$160$139.05 +26.6%Aug 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$140$146.19 +10.8%Jul 31, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$150$143.44 +18.7%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$159$149.96 +25.8%Jul 17, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Prologis, Inc. don't just lead the industry, they define it. The firm creates the intelligent infrastructure that powers global commerce, seamlessly connecting the digital and physical worlds. From agile supply chains to clean energy solutions, their ecosystems help your business move faster, operate smarter and grow sustainably. With unmatched scale, innovation and expertise, Prologis is a category of one–not just shaping the future of logistics but building what comes next. Prologis, Inc. was established in 1983 and is incorporated in Maryland.

Historical context

All PLD earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-16T15:04:03.939266+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-16T01:23:22.079841+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T15:20:44.737249+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T15:20:44.734669+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.