Prologis, Inc. · PLD · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Prologis Posts Record Leasing and Raises Guidance as Data-Center Strategy Accelerates

Prologis delivered a strong Q1 FY2026, beating EPS estimates by 30% on record leasing of 64 million square feet and raising full-year guidance. The quarter marks an inflection point as data-center development shifts from opportunistic to a core growth engine, with $1.3 billion in build-to-suit starts and a 1.3 GW pipeline under LOI representing a potential $15 billion investment. Strategic capital partnerships with GIC ($1.6B) and La Caisse ($1.2B) plus a new Japan acquisition vehicle expand the funding platform. With $5.5B in new financing and $1.2B in asset disposals, the balance sheet supports an increasing capex program. The combination of logistics resilience and data-center optionality positions the platform to compound through the cycle, though execution risk on the data-center build-out and geopolitical headwinds warrant monitoring.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $137.30B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Prologis, Inc. is the undisputed global leader in logistics real estate, strategically focusing its operations on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company's extensive portfolio spanned approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) of both existing properties and planned development projects, located across 19 countries. This significant footprint is managed through a blend of wholly-owned assets and co-investment ventures. Prologis leases its contemporary logistics facilities to a diverse client base of roughly 5,500 customers, primarily serving business-to-business (B2B) and retail/online fulfillment needs.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.05 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +30.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.13B Consensus $2.12B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.26 Q4 '23 actual $1.26, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.28 Q1 '24 actual $1.28, match Q2 '24 estimate $1.33 Q2 '24 actual $1.34, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.46, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.44 Q3 '25 actual $1.49, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.77 Q4 '25 actual $1.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.75 Q2 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.81 Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '27 estimate $0.91 Q2 '27 estimate $0.96

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2562.5%
Neutral1435.0%
Bearish12.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$135.75Current
$118Low
$151.51Average
$187High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeAug 5, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 1, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 29, 2026
Show 33 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $135.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$166$139.94 +22.3%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$160$139.05 +17.9%Aug 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$140$146.19 +3.1%Jul 31, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$150$143.44 +10.5%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$159$149.96 +17.1%Jul 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$156$143.42 +14.9%Jul 16, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$170$135.47 +25.2%Jul 1, 2026
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$158$139.97 +16.4%Jun 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$151$147.38 +11.2%May 26, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$148$140.02 +9.0%Apr 28, 2026
See 72 more

Track every rating change on PLD the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.3% Up to 20 sessions
PLDSPY benchmark

Follow PLD with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Transcript intelligence

What changed

EPS of $1.05 beat the $0.806 consensus by 30.3%, while revenue of $2.13B edged past estimates by 0.2%. Full-year guidance was raised on higher occupancy and same-store NOI growth expectations. Development starts accelerated to $2.1B, including $1.3B for data-center build-to-suits. Two new strategic JVs were announced ($1.6B with GIC and $1.2B with La Caisse) alongside a new Japan acquisition vehicle. The company completed $5.5B in new financing and approximately $1.2B in asset disposals, while the energy business reached 1.3 GW of installed solar and storage capacity.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance, citing record leasing activity, higher occupancy, and stronger same-store NOI growth. Development starts are targeted at $4.5-$5.5B with approximately 40% allocated to data-center build-to-suits. Annual acquisitions of $1-$1.5B and total contribution/disposition activity of $3.5-$4.5B are planned. The capex outlook is increasing.

Key takeaways

  • Record leasing of 64M square feet drove a full-year guidance upgrade.
  • Data-center development is becoming a core growth engine, with $1.3B in build-to-suit starts and a 1.3 GW pipeline under LOI representing a potential $15B investment.
  • Strategic capital expanded through new JVs with GIC ($1.6B) and La Caisse ($1.2B), plus a Japan acquisition vehicle.
  • Energy business scaled to 1.3 GW of solar and storage capacity.
  • Demand across logistics, e-commerce, and essential goods remains resilient despite geopolitical uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Scale data-center build-to-suit development and powered-site offerings.
  • Launch and expand strategic capital vehicles, including the Japan acquisition platform.
  • Increase development starts to $4.5-$5.5B with approximately 40% for data centers.
  • Maintain $1-$1.5B annual acquisitions and $3.5-$4.5B total contribution/disposition activity.
  • Expand solar and storage toward 1.3 GW installed capacity.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T21:31:18.260912+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T21:31:18.258233+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.