PulteGroup, Inc. · PHM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PulteGroup Maintains Guidance as Incentives Pressure Margins

The quarter supports a mixed view: demand from move-up and active-adult buyers, Florida momentum, and progress toward a higher build-to-order mix support the operating trajectory. However, the decline in gross margin and elevated incentives show that affordability and pricing pressure remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $22.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.79 Consensus $1.81
EPS surprise -1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.41B Consensus $3.37B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.0% Up to 20 sessions
PHMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

PulteGroup reported solid demand signals and continued build-to-order progress, but gross margin declined year over year as incentives increased. Florida orders strengthened, spec inventory was reduced, and management maintained its full-year outlook.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management retained its full-year gross-margin range of 24.5%-25%, 3%-5% annual community-count growth, and a $5.4 billion 2026 land-spend outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue was $3.3 billion and EPS was $1.79; gross margin was 24.4%, down from 27.5% year over year as incentives reached 10.9% of sales price.
  • Build-to-order share of net new orders rose to 43% from 40% year over year, with a longer-term target of about 60%.
  • Florida orders increased 18% year over year, while spec inventory fell by about 900 homes.
  • Land acquisition and development spend was $1.3 billion in Q1, against a 2026 outlook of $5.4 billion.
  • Management highlighted move-up and active-adult demand, but elevated incentives remain the central margin risk.

Management priorities

  • Increase build-to-order mix toward about 60% by early 2027.
  • Maintain 3%-5% annual community-count growth and the 2026 land-spend plan.
  • Further reduce finished spec inventory to 1-1.5 homes per community.
  • Continue share repurchases while funding growth.
  • Deliver the 24.5%-25% full-year gross-margin range.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PHM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.36 Q1 '24 actual $2.96, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.27 Q2 '24 actual $3.77, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.11 Q3 '24 actual $3.35, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.95 Q2 '25 actual $3.03, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.89 Q3 '25 actual $2.96, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.81 Q4 '25 actual $2.58, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.81 Q1 '26 actual $1.79, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.36 Q2 '26 actual $2.48, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.66 Q4 '26 estimate $3.22 Q1 '27 estimate $2.01 Q2 '27 estimate $2.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2046.5%
Neutral2046.5%
Bearish37.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.18Current
$52Low
$120.41Average
$166High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeAug 24, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 20, 2026
Seaport Global Sell BuyDowngradeApr 7, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 3, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 30, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 14, 2025
Wedbush Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 3, 2025
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2024
Zelman & Assoc Outperform NeutralUpgradeApr 24, 2024
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 26, 2023
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 3, 2023
Susquehanna Positive NeutralUpgradeOct 23, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainMay 12, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2020
Bank of America Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJan 7, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 24, 2019
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 24, 2019
BTIG Research Neutral SellUpgradeApr 24, 2019
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeOct 22, 2018
Mizuho Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2018
B. Riley FBR Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
B. Riley Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 25, 2018
FBR Capital Buy BuyMaintainOct 25, 2017
Zelman Hold BuyDowngradeApr 4, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 22, 2015
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 22, 2015
Morgan Stanley Underweight Equal WeightDowngradeOct 13, 2015
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2014
FBN Securities Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeDec 30, 2013
Williams Financial Buy HoldUpgradeJul 30, 2013
Williams Capital Buy HoldUpgradeJul 30, 2013
ISI Group Neutral Strong BuyDowngradeJul 26, 2013
MKM Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2012
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialJonathan Bettenhausen$136$119.47 +15.1%Sep 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$145$116.41 +22.7%Sep 11, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$158$129 +33.7%Aug 24, 2026
Wolfe ResearchTrevor Allinson$129$129 +9.2%Aug 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$123.25 +40.5%Jul 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$116$123.28 -1.8%Jul 23, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$162$122.5 +37.1%Jul 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$124$126.75 +4.9%Jul 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$123.75 +4.1%Jul 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$162$129.16 +37.1%Apr 24, 2026
Evercore ISIStephen Kim$151$129.22 +27.8%Apr 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$140$130.64 +18.5%Apr 24, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$150$121.33 +26.9%Apr 16, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$145$130.46 +22.7%Feb 4, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$115$124.72 -2.7%Jan 30, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$149$127.26 +26.1%Jan 30, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$144$133.23 +21.8%Jan 13, 2026
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$111$123.16 -6.1%Jan 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$159$119.86 +34.5%Jan 6, 2026
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$115$126.99 -2.7%Dec 8, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$134$123.27 +13.4%Oct 22, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$154$135.48 +30.3%Oct 7, 2025
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$109$101.06 -7.8%Apr 23, 2025
UBSJohn Lovallo$141$101.06 +19.3%Apr 23, 2025
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$98$101.06 -17.1%Apr 23, 2025
WedbushJay McCanless$135$110.01 +14.2%Jan 3, 2025
Wells FargoSam Reid$165$139.44 +39.6%Oct 7, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesRafe Jadrosich$160$140.99 +35.4%Sep 19, 2024
Wells FargoSam Reid$150$125.67 +26.9%Jul 24, 2024
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$131$113.84 +10.8%Jul 12, 2024
OppenheimerTyler Batory$143$114.2 +21.0%May 22, 2024
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$135$108.09 +14.2%Apr 25, 2024
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$136$116.48 +15.1%Apr 4, 2024
Wolfe ResearchTruman Patterson$64$55.94 -45.8%Mar 23, 2023
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$75$58.8 -36.5%Feb 5, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$74$60.11 -37.4%Feb 2, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$68$59.33 -42.5%Feb 2, 2023
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$54$56.83 -54.3%Feb 1, 2023
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$57$56.56 -51.8%Feb 1, 2023
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$68$56.53 -42.5%Feb 1, 2023
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$68$56.96 -42.5%Feb 1, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$50$50.46 -57.7%Jan 12, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$58$45.79 -50.9%Dec 14, 2022
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$61$43.28 -48.4%Dec 6, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$59$43.66 -50.1%Jul 28, 2022
BarclaysMatthew Bouley$48$44.7 -59.4%Jul 26, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$49.5$44.06 -58.1%Jul 12, 2022
RBC CapitalMike Dahl$41$37.92 -65.3%Jun 22, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$43$36.25 -63.6%Jun 21, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$41$35.16 -65.3%Jun 17, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$55$39.43 -53.5%Jun 16, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$56$43.56 -52.6%Apr 29, 2022
Wells FargoDeepa Raghavan$52$50.27 -56.0%Nov 15, 2021
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$70$48.46 -40.8%Oct 27, 2021
Goldman SachsSusan Maklari$58$49.09 -50.9%Sep 8, 2021
Janney MontgomeryTyler Batory$71$58.02 -39.9%Apr 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PulteGroup, Inc. engages in the homebuilding business. The firm is also involved in mortgage banking and title and insurance brokerage operations. It operates through the Homebuilding and Financial services business segments. The Homebuilding segment includes operations from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Washington. The Financial Services segment is composed of mortgage banking and title operations. The company was founded by William J. Pulte in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.629647+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.627377+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.