PulteGroup, Inc. · PHM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
PulteGroup Maintains Guidance as Incentives Pressure Margins
The quarter supports a mixed view: demand from move-up and active-adult buyers, Florida momentum, and progress toward a higher build-to-order mix support the operating trajectory. However, the decline in gross margin and elevated incentives show that affordability and pricing pressure remain material constraints.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
PulteGroup reported solid demand signals and continued build-to-order progress, but gross margin declined year over year as incentives increased. Florida orders strengthened, spec inventory was reduced, and management maintained its full-year outlook.
Guidance delta
Maintained: management retained its full-year gross-margin range of 24.5%-25%, 3%-5% annual community-count growth, and a $5.4 billion 2026 land-spend outlook.
Key takeaways
- Q1 revenue was $3.3 billion and EPS was $1.79; gross margin was 24.4%, down from 27.5% year over year as incentives reached 10.9% of sales price.
- Build-to-order share of net new orders rose to 43% from 40% year over year, with a longer-term target of about 60%.
- Florida orders increased 18% year over year, while spec inventory fell by about 900 homes.
- Land acquisition and development spend was $1.3 billion in Q1, against a 2026 outlook of $5.4 billion.
- Management highlighted move-up and active-adult demand, but elevated incentives remain the central margin risk.
Management priorities
- Increase build-to-order mix toward about 60% by early 2027.
- Maintain 3%-5% annual community-count growth and the 2026 land-spend plan.
- Further reduce finished spec inventory to 1-1.5 homes per community.
- Continue share repurchases while funding growth.
- Deliver the 24.5%-25% full-year gross-margin range.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 7, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2025 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Zelman & Assoc | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 24, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 26, 2023 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 23, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 12, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 24, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 24, 2019 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Apr 24, 2019 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 22, 2018 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 7, 2018 |
| B. Riley FBR | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 25, 2018 |
| FBR Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 25, 2017 |
| Zelman | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 4, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 22, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 22, 2015 |
| Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Equal Weight | Downgrade | Oct 13, 2015 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 13, 2014 |
| FBN Securities | Underperform | Sector Perform | Downgrade | Dec 30, 2013 |
| Williams Financial | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2013 |
| Williams Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Neutral | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Jul 26, 2013 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 16, 2012 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 26, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Financial | Jonathan Bettenhausen | $136 | $119.47 | +15.1% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $116.41 | +22.7% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $129 | +33.7% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Trevor Allinson | $129 | $129 | +9.2% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $166 | $123.25 | +40.5% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $123.28 | -1.8% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $162 | $122.5 | +37.1% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $124 | $126.75 | +4.9% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $123.75 | +4.1% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $162 | $129.16 | +37.1% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Kim | $151 | $129.22 | +27.8% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $140 | $130.64 | +18.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $121.33 | +26.9% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $130.46 | +22.7% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $124.72 | -2.7% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $149 | $127.26 | +26.1% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $144 | $133.23 | +21.8% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $111 | $123.16 | -6.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $119.86 | +34.5% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $115 | $126.99 | -2.7% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $134 | $123.27 | +13.4% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $154 | $135.48 | +30.3% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $109 | $101.06 | -7.8% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $141 | $101.06 | +19.3% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $98 | $101.06 | -17.1% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $135 | $110.01 | +14.2% | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $165 | $139.44 | +39.6% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Rafe Jadrosich | $160 | $140.99 | +35.4% | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $150 | $125.67 | +26.9% | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $131 | $113.84 | +10.8% | Jul 12, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | $143 | $114.2 | +21.0% | May 22, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $135 | $108.09 | +14.2% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $136 | $116.48 | +15.1% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Truman Patterson | $64 | $55.94 | -45.8% | Mar 23, 2023 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $75 | $58.8 | -36.5% | Feb 5, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $60.11 | -37.4% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $59.33 | -42.5% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $56.83 | -54.3% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Wedbush | Analyst unavailable | $57 | $56.56 | -51.8% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $56.53 | -42.5% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $56.96 | -42.5% | Feb 1, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $50.46 | -57.7% | Jan 12, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $45.79 | -50.9% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $43.28 | -48.4% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $43.66 | -50.1% | Jul 28, 2022 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $48 | $44.7 | -59.4% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $49.5 | $44.06 | -58.1% | Jul 12, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $41 | $37.92 | -65.3% | Jun 22, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $36.25 | -63.6% | Jun 21, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $35.16 | -65.3% | Jun 17, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $39.43 | -53.5% | Jun 16, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $43.56 | -52.6% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Deepa Raghavan | $52 | $50.27 | -56.0% | Nov 15, 2021 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $70 | $48.46 | -40.8% | Oct 27, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $58 | $49.09 | -50.9% | Sep 8, 2021 |
| Janney Montgomery | Tyler Batory | $71 | $58.02 | -39.9% | Apr 28, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPulteGroup, Inc. engages in the homebuilding business. The firm is also involved in mortgage banking and title and insurance brokerage operations. It operates through the Homebuilding and Financial services business segments. The Homebuilding segment includes operations from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Washington. The Financial Services segment is composed of mortgage banking and title operations. The company was founded by William J. Pulte in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.
Historical context
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.629647+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.627377+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.