PulteGroup, Inc. · PHM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PulteGroup Maintains Guidance as Incentives Pressure Margins

The quarter supports a mixed view: demand from move-up and active-adult buyers, Florida momentum, and progress toward a higher build-to-order mix support the operating trajectory. However, the decline in gross margin and elevated incentives show that affordability and pricing pressure remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $22.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.79 Consensus $1.81
EPS surprise -1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.41B Consensus $3.37B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.0% Up to 20 sessions
PHMSPY benchmark

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What changed

PulteGroup reported solid demand signals and continued build-to-order progress, but gross margin declined year over year as incentives increased. Florida orders strengthened, spec inventory was reduced, and management maintained its full-year outlook.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management retained its full-year gross-margin range of 24.5%-25%, 3%-5% annual community-count growth, and a $5.4 billion 2026 land-spend outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue was $3.3 billion and EPS was $1.79; gross margin was 24.4%, down from 27.5% year over year as incentives reached 10.9% of sales price.
  • Build-to-order share of net new orders rose to 43% from 40% year over year, with a longer-term target of about 60%.
  • Florida orders increased 18% year over year, while spec inventory fell by about 900 homes.
  • Land acquisition and development spend was $1.3 billion in Q1, against a 2026 outlook of $5.4 billion.
  • Management highlighted move-up and active-adult demand, but elevated incentives remain the central margin risk.

Management priorities

  • Increase build-to-order mix toward about 60% by early 2027.
  • Maintain 3%-5% annual community-count growth and the 2026 land-spend plan.
  • Further reduce finished spec inventory to 1-1.5 homes per community.
  • Continue share repurchases while funding growth.
  • Deliver the 24.5%-25% full-year gross-margin range.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PHM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2046.5%
Neutral2046.5%
Bearish37.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.18Current
$52Low
$120.41Average
$166High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeAug 24, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialJonathan Bettenhausen$136$119.47 +15.1%Sep 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$145$116.41 +22.7%Sep 11, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$158$129 +33.7%Aug 24, 2026
Wolfe ResearchTrevor Allinson$129$129 +9.2%Aug 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$123.25 +40.5%Jul 23, 2026
See 51 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PulteGroup, Inc. engages in the homebuilding business. The firm is also involved in mortgage banking and title and insurance brokerage operations. It operates through the Homebuilding and Financial services business segments. The Homebuilding segment includes operations from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Washington. The Financial Services segment is composed of mortgage banking and title operations. The company was founded by William J. Pulte in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

Historical context

All PHM earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.629647+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T01:00:57.627377+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.