The Procter & Gamble Company · PG · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

P&G: Softer demand lowers outlook while margins hold up

The supplied analysis supports a mixed picture: innovation, productivity and resilient margins provide support, but softer demand and a lowered outlook weaken the near-term growth case.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $364.80B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.57
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $20.28B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.7% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -5.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.4% Up to 20 sessions
PGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows slower organic sales growth and a lowered fiscal-year outlook, while management continues to emphasize innovation, productivity and cash returns.

Guidance delta

Management lowered the fiscal 2025 outlook to roughly 2% organic sales growth and core EPS of $6.72-$6.82.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes Q3 organic sales growth of 1% and modest year-over-year EPS growth.
  • Management emphasized innovation across price tiers, productivity and brand superiority as its response to a volatile consumer environment.
  • Tariff exposure was quantified in the supplied analysis, while cash returns and the dividend increase remained priorities.
  • The prior quarter had reflected stronger organic sales growth and unchanged guidance; the current quarter marks a more cautious outlook.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate innovation across price tiers and categories.
  • Expand productivity initiatives and supply-chain agility.
  • Pursue household-penetration opportunities while continuing shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.41 Q3 '24 actual $1.52, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.37 Q4 '24 actual $1.40, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.90 Q1 '25 actual $1.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.42 Q4 '25 actual $1.48, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.90 Q1 '26 actual $1.99, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.86 Q2 '26 actual $1.88, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.56 Q3 '26 actual $1.59, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.41 Q4 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.88 Q2 '27 estimate $1.88 Q3 '27 estimate $1.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2651.0%
Neutral2447.0%
Bearish12.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$159.27Current
$40Low
$160.17Average
$192High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform In LineUpgradeOct 6, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 30, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $159.27. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalNik Modi$166$147.36 +4.2%Oct 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$166$145.94 +4.2%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinCristian Rios$149$146.25 -6.4%Aug 24, 2026
HSBCDiego Serrano$149$146.15 -6.4%Jul 30, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$142$146.15 -10.8%Jul 29, 2026
See 79 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Procter & Gamble Company, commonly referred to as P&G, is a global enterprise that supplies a broad spectrum of branded consumer products to markets worldwide. The company's operations are divided into five main business divisions: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers an assortment of hair care products, including conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments, under popular names like Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice. It also features antiperspirants, deodorants, personal cleansing solutions, and skin care items from brands such as Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II. Within the Grooming division, P&G provides a range of shave care products and grooming appliances, prominently featuring brands like Braun, Gillette, and Venus. The Health Care unit encompasses oral hygiene essentials, including toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other dental care products sold under the Crest and Oral-B brand names.…

Historical context

All PG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T14:00:44.540966+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T14:00:44.538191+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.