The Procter & Gamble Company · PG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

P&G Maintains FY2025 Guidance as China Improves and Innovation Broadens

The supplied analysis supports a measured constructive view of P&G’s operating trajectory: broad category growth, innovation and productivity are positive signals, while improving but still-negative China sales, FX, commodities and demand uncertainty limit confidence in the durability of earnings growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $373.21B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.89
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $21.72B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.5% Up to 20 sessions
PGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, organic sales growth increased from 2% to 3%, Greater China’s decline improved from 15% to 3%, and SK-II returned to growth at 5%. Management continued to emphasize innovation and productivity while keeping fiscal 2025 guidance unchanged.

Guidance delta

Maintained: fiscal 2025 guidance remained at 3–5% organic sales growth and 5–7% core EPS growth, with 90% cash-flow productivity targeted.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 organic sales rose 3%, with nine of ten categories posting growth.
  • Greater China organic sales declined 3%, an improvement from the prior quarter’s 15% decline; SK-II grew 5%.
  • Management highlighted innovation across Tide, Oral-B and other core brands, alongside productivity and cost-savings programs.
  • The main offsets remain FX, commodities, supply-chain and regional demand risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand innovation across core brands, including Tide Oxi Boost pods, Oral-B iO2 and Tide EVO.
  • Continue productivity and cost-savings programs to support margins and cash-flow productivity.
  • Pursue recovery in Greater China, including through premium SK-II performance.
  • Maintain volume, share and penetration initiatives across North America, Europe and Latin America.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $21B Q2 '24 actual $21B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $20B Q3 '24 actual $20B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $21B Q4 '24 actual $21B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $22B Q1 '25 actual $22B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $21B Q4 '25 actual $21B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $22B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $22B Q2 '26 actual $22B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $21B Q3 '26 actual $21B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $21B Q4 '26 actual $21B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $23B Q1 '27 actual $23B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $23B Q3 '27 estimate $22B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish2752.9%
Neutral2345.1%
Bearish12.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$161.02Current
$40Low
$160.91Average
$192High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $161.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$190$161.64 +18.0%Oct 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$161.8 +3.1%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$169$165.59 +5.0%Oct 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$185$165.59 +14.9%Oct 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$161$165.59 -0.0%Oct 22, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Procter & Gamble Company, commonly referred to as P&G, is a global enterprise that supplies a broad spectrum of branded consumer products to markets worldwide. The company's operations are divided into five main business divisions: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers an assortment of hair care products, including conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments, under popular names like Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice. It also features antiperspirants, deodorants, personal cleansing solutions, and skin care items from brands such as Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II. Within the Grooming division, P&G provides a range of shave care products and grooming appliances, prominently featuring brands like Braun, Gillette, and Venus. The Health Care unit encompasses oral hygiene essentials, including toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other dental care products sold under the Crest and Oral-B brand names.…

Historical context

All PG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-08T00:01:14.930234+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T14:30:42.034959+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T14:30:42.031938+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.