PepsiCo, Inc. · PEP · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

PepsiCo leans on productivity, integration and new products

The analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of PepsiCo's operating trajectory: productivity gains, integration, away-from-home distribution and international growth provide support, but the case depends on execution and resilience to tariffs and volume pressure.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $169.02B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.12 Consensus $2.03
EPS surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $22.73B Consensus $22.27B
Revenue surprise +2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.5% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +6.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
PEPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised the emphasis on second-half productivity, tied North America integration to cost and service improvements, and outlined upcoming protein and functional launches. The analysis also highlighted permissible snacks and away-from-home distribution as growth priorities.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; no specific guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted an accelerated productivity push in the second half.
  • North America integration is intended to lower costs and improve service.
  • Away-from-home distribution and international markets were identified as growth areas.
  • Permissible snacks and planned protein and functional launches broaden the portfolio.
  • Execution, tariffs and volume trends remain important tests.

Management priorities

  • Deliver the accelerated productivity program.
  • Integrate the North America businesses.
  • Invest in away-from-home distribution and ready-to-eat solutions.
  • Launch protein and functional products.
  • Continue investment in AI, data analytics and technology centers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.52 Q1 '24 actual $1.61, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.16 Q2 '24 actual $2.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.29 Q3 '24 actual $2.31, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.03 Q2 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.29, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.24 Q4 '25 actual $2.26, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.54 Q1 '26 actual $1.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.19 Q2 '26 actual $2.20, match Q4 '26 estimate $2.43 Q1 '27 estimate $1.65 Q2 '27 estimate $2.30 Q3 '27 estimate $2.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish1430.4%
Neutral3167.4%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$128.34Previous close
$133Low
$163.05Average
$212High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 5, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $128.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsBonnie Herzog$165$128.34 +28.6%Oct 8, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$150$126.38 +16.9%Oct 6, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$145$125.45 +13.0%Oct 2, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$133$126.72 +3.6%Oct 1, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$135$129.1 +5.2%Sep 30, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PepsiCo, Inc. is a global enterprise that creates, promotes, and supplies a diverse array of drinks and easy-to-prepare food items across the globe. Its operations are structured into seven primary divisions: Frito-Lay North America, Quaker Foods North America, PepsiCo Beverages North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa/Middle East/South Asia, and the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, and China Region. The company's extensive product catalog encompasses popular snack foods like various dips, cheese snacks, spreads, and a range of chips (including corn, potato, and tortilla varieties). Its pantry staples feature cereals, rice, pasta, baking mixes, beverage syrups, granola bars, grits, oatmeal, rice cakes, and ready-made side dishes.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T10:40:48.325428+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T10:40:48.322579+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.