PepsiCo, Inc. · PEP · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PepsiCo maintains guidance as volumes, productivity and international markets support Q1

The call supports a measured constructive view of PepsiCo's operating trajectory: volume, distribution, productivity and international momentum were positive, but the durability of growth depends on cost control and consumer resilience. Maintaining guidance despite geopolitical concerns strengthens the near-term case, while inflation, policy changes and execution remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $175.05B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.61 Consensus $1.54
EPS surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $19.44B Consensus $18.95B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.3% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.1% Up to 20 sessions
PEPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted 2% PFNA volume growth, roughly 300 million new consumption occasions in Q1, and a shelf-reset program running ahead of schedule. The case-pack water transition held PBNA volume flat for now, but management expects positive volume growth soon; AI-enabled supply-chain initiatives and World Cup marketing were also emphasized.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management said geopolitical volatility, including the Iran conflict, had no material impact on demand.

Key takeaways

  • PFNA volumes grew 2%, while management said the shelf-reset program was ahead of schedule.
  • Core operating margin expanded modestly, supported by North America Foods cost reductions.
  • Management cited productivity, AI-enabled supply-chain efficiencies and hedging as inflation offsets.
  • International momentum and planned World Cup activations were highlighted as potential sales supports.

Management priorities

  • Complete shelf resets and planogram transformations by the end of Q2.
  • Launch protein, fiber and functional-beverage innovations in Q2 and summer.
  • Scale the case-pack water transition toward positive PBNA volume growth.
  • Deploy AI and digital ordering tools across supply chain and go-to-market operations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.52 Q1 '24 actual $1.61, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.16 Q2 '24 actual $2.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.29 Q3 '24 actual $2.31, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.03 Q2 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.29, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.24 Q4 '25 actual $2.26, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.54 Q1 '26 actual $1.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.19 Q2 '26 actual $2.20, match Q3 '26 estimate $2.30 Q4 '26 estimate $2.44 Q1 '27 estimate $1.67 Q2 '27 estimate $2.32
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish1634.8%
Neutral2963.0%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$128.15Previous close
$134Low
$167.81Average
$212High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 23, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 10, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 10, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $128.15. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasKevin Grundy$161$129.89 +25.6%Sep 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$142$135.46 +10.8%Jul 21, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$161$137.09 +25.6%Jul 10, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$155$137.24 +21.0%Jul 10, 2026
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$152$137.29 +18.6%Jul 10, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PepsiCo, Inc. is a global enterprise that creates, promotes, and supplies a diverse array of drinks and easy-to-prepare food items across the globe. Its operations are structured into seven primary divisions: Frito-Lay North America, Quaker Foods North America, PepsiCo Beverages North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa/Middle East/South Asia, and the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, and China Region. The company's extensive product catalog encompasses popular snack foods like various dips, cheese snacks, spreads, and a range of chips (including corn, potato, and tortilla varieties). Its pantry staples feature cereals, rice, pasta, baking mixes, beverage syrups, granola bars, grits, oatmeal, rice cakes, and ready-made side dishes.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T07:40:58.957792+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T07:40:58.954644+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.