PG&E Corporation · PCG · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
PG&E: Higher guidance, data-center growth, and wildfire risks
The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory for PG&E: higher guidance, resilient electrification and data-center demand, and ongoing efficiency gains are balanced by wildfire exposure, regulatory dependence, financing costs, and execution risk.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's supplied analysis continued to describe raised guidance and an unchanged $63 billion capital plan, while emphasizing a 5.5 GW data-center application pipeline, Rule 30, upcoming regulatory filings, and continued wildfire-mitigation work.
Guidance delta
Management's supplied analysis says 2025 EPS guidance was increased, while the $63 billion capital plan remained unchanged.
Key takeaways
- Management's analysis highlights 2024 core EPS growth and an increase to 2025 EPS guidance.
- The five-year $63 billion capital plan was reaffirmed, with possible incremental investment tied to beneficial load growth.
- Data-center demand, O&M efficiency, and wildfire mitigation support the outlook, while regulation and financing remain key risks.
Management priorities
- Advance the General Rate Case and 2026 cost-of-capital filing.
- Pursue undergrounding, transmission upgrades, and Rule 30 funding for large-load projects.
- Continue O&M savings, wildfire mitigation, and the stated dividend-growth plan.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 21, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 23, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 14, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 30, 2023 |
| Ladenburg Thalmann | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 3, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 24, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Nov 12, 2020 |
| Seaport Global | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 23, 2020 |
| Citi | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Sep 16, 2019 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 26, 2019 |
| Argus | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Feb 26, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 15, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 9, 2019 |
| Edward Jones | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Nov 14, 2018 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 2, 2018 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 29, 2016 |
| CRT Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 9, 2015 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 1, 2014 |
| ISI Group | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 17, 2013 |
| BGC Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 2, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $15.5 | $13.15 | +22.7% | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $13.15 | +58.4% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $13.13 | +34.6% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Gregg Orrill | $14 | $12.88 | +10.8% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $13.33 | +42.5% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $14 | $13.33 | +10.8% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $13.33 | +34.6% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $13.27 | +2.9% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $16.6 | +26.7% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $16.6 | +66.3% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Industrial Alliance Securities | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $16.6 | +66.3% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $17.43 | +66.3% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $17.54 | +121.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $17.68 | +113.8% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $16.42 | +74.2% | May 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $16.13 | +74.2% | May 18, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $17.35 | +97.9% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $23 | $17.35 | +82.1% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $18.17 | +82.1% | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $18.28 | +82.1% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Gregg Orrill | $20 | $18.24 | +58.4% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $23 | $18.02 | +82.1% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $21 | $15.25 | +66.3% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $16.43 | +82.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $16.3 | +42.5% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $16.68 | +66.3% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $21 | $16.75 | +66.3% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $15.97 | +97.9% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $15.9 | +58.4% | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $21 | $15.38 | +66.3% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $15.12 | +34.6% | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $15.12 | +58.4% | Sep 18, 2025 |
| UBS | Gregg Orrill | $19 | $15.28 | +50.4% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $18 | $17.02 | +42.5% | May 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $17.14 | +90.0% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $22 | $17.53 | +74.2% | Apr 23, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $15.42 | +82.1% | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $25 | $20.38 | +97.9% | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Julian Dumoulin-Smith | $24 | $19.63 | +90.0% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $22 | $18 | +74.2% | Jul 22, 2024 |
| UBS | Gregg Orrill | $22 | $18.54 | +74.2% | Jun 3, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $23 | $18.45 | +82.1% | May 17, 2024 |
| UBS | Gregg Orrill | $21 | $17.56 | +66.3% | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $16 | $12.7 | +26.7% | Sep 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $10.44 | +2.9% | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $9.89 | +18.8% | Jul 14, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $13.5 | $12 | +6.9% | May 23, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $12.93 | +50.4% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $11.82 | +34.6% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $14 | $12.45 | +10.8% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Paul Fremont | $18 | $12.3 | +42.5% | Apr 16, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Paul Fremont | $17.5 | $12.69 | +38.6% | Jan 28, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPG&E Corporation operates as a holding company, overseeing the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas to its clientele. The firm's expertise spans a broad range of energy-related services, including general utilities, power provision, gas supply, electrical grids, solar solutions, and sustainability initiatives. Established in 1995, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Oakland, California.
Historical context
All PCG earningsLatest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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- RDYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026+24.0% EPS-0.2% move
- SLBFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+3.7% EPS+7.1% move
Missed on EPS
- INFYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026-4.8% EPS-6.6% move
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-30T00:03:07.291072+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T10:40:44.738925+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T10:40:44.735168+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.