Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. · PAA · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

PAA shifts toward crude midstream as EPIC integration advances

The latest call supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: full EPIC ownership and a crude-focused portfolio may improve strategic focus and create synergy opportunities, while leverage, regulatory timing, contract resets, and integration remain important constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQEnergy $16.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.39 Consensus $0.35
EPS surprise +9.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.58B Consensus $12.52B
Revenue surprise -7.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.6% Up to 20 sessions
PAASPY benchmark

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What changed

PAA completed the purchase of the remaining EPIC operating interest and is repositioning around crude midstream. Compared with the prior analysis, the company has moved from announcing the NGL divestiture and raising growth capital to emphasizing full EPIC ownership, integration, debt reduction, and a stable capital-spending plan.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook while narrowing the 2025 adjusted EBITDA range; the capital-spending outlook remained stable.

Key takeaways

  • Full EPIC ownership is the central strategic change, with management focused on integration, synergies, and flow optimization.
  • The pending NGL divestiture supports a pure-play crude strategy and debt reduction, but regulatory and leverage risks remain.
  • Management continues to emphasize distribution growth, bolt-on acquisitions, and Permian and Eagle Ford expansion.

Management priorities

  • Integrate EPIC as Cactus III and capture operating synergies.
  • Advance crude pipeline optimization and expansion across the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Gulf Coast.
  • Use the portfolio transition to support distribution growth and disciplined bolt-on acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.37 Q4 '23 actual $0.42, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.39 Q1 '24 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.31 Q2 '24 actual $0.31, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.31 Q3 '24 actual $0.37, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.32 Q2 '25 actual $0.36, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.35 Q3 '25 actual $0.39, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.47 Q4 '25 actual $0.40, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.37 Q1 '26 actual $0.39, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.38 Q2 '26 actual $0.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q4 '26 estimate $0.44 Q1 '27 estimate $0.42 Q2 '27 estimate $0.42
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2457.1%
Neutral1740.5%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$24.06Current
$11Low
$20.68Average
$30High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $24.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$28$25.27 +16.4%Sep 21, 2026
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$27$25.37 +12.2%Sep 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGabriel Moreen$30$25.37 +24.7%Sep 21, 2026
BarclaysTheresa Chen$24$25.37 -0.2%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$27$25.85 +12.2%Sep 10, 2026
See 39 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, trucks, and on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other related services, as well as merchant activities. The NGL segment is involved in natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminaling. This segment also includes ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, and natural gasoline derived from natural gas production and processing activities, as well as crude oil refining processes. Its NGL components are used for various applications, such as heating, engine, and industrial fuels.The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

Historical context

All PAA earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T02:00:41.961699+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T02:00:41.958797+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.