Occidental Petroleum Corporation · OXY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Occidental raises outlook while targeting durable cash-flow growth

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: Occidental is pairing cost efficiency, recovery projects and low-carbon ventures with debt reduction and a higher cash-flow objective. The case still depends on execution, commodity prices and midstream spreads.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $56.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.40 Consensus $1.83
EPS surprise +31.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.06B Consensus $7.07B
Revenue surprise +14.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.2% Up to 20 sessions
OXYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shifts from a maintained outlook and near-term deleveraging focus to raised guidance, a $4 billion incremental sustainable-cash-flow target by 2030, an 8% dividend increase and further progress toward the $10 billion debt milestone.

Guidance delta

Raised: management’s supplied analysis says production and midstream earnings guidance increased while capital spending remained disciplined.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong free-cash-flow generation, an 8% dividend increase and continued debt reduction.
  • The company set a target for $4 billion of incremental sustainable cash flow by 2030, supported by cost efficiency, advanced recovery and low-carbon projects.
  • Management said midstream and marketing performance reached a record, partly offsetting narrower gas spreads.

Management priorities

  • Reduce principal debt to $10 billion and continue net-debt reduction.
  • Advance Stratos toward full operations in 2027 and expand water-flood and CO2-EOR projects.
  • Pursue higher-margin production and lower sustaining capital through operational efficiency and recovery projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
OXY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $7B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $7B Q1 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7B Q2 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $7B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $5B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold49 ratings
Bullish2449.0%
Neutral2244.9%
Bearish36.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.25Previous close
$24Low
$61.81Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $57.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$82$61.46 +43.2%Sep 14, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$67$61.46 +17.0%Sep 14, 2026
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$70$61.24 +22.3%Sep 11, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$73$60.91 +27.5%Sep 3, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$71$58.36 +24.0%Aug 17, 2026
See 105 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

All OXY earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T19:30:31.989930+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T11:50:51.132902+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T11:50:51.130154+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.