Occidental Petroleum Corporation · OXY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Occidental raises outlook while targeting durable cash-flow growth

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: Occidental is pairing cost efficiency, recovery projects and low-carbon ventures with debt reduction and a higher cash-flow objective. The case still depends on execution, commodity prices and midstream spreads.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $56.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.40 Consensus $1.83
EPS surprise +31.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.06B Consensus $7.07B
Revenue surprise +14.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.2% Up to 20 sessions
OXYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shifts from a maintained outlook and near-term deleveraging focus to raised guidance, a $4 billion incremental sustainable-cash-flow target by 2030, an 8% dividend increase and further progress toward the $10 billion debt milestone.

Guidance delta

Raised: management’s supplied analysis says production and midstream earnings guidance increased while capital spending remained disciplined.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted strong free-cash-flow generation, an 8% dividend increase and continued debt reduction.
  • The company set a target for $4 billion of incremental sustainable cash flow by 2030, supported by cost efficiency, advanced recovery and low-carbon projects.
  • Management said midstream and marketing performance reached a record, partly offsetting narrower gas spreads.

Management priorities

  • Reduce principal debt to $10 billion and continue net-debt reduction.
  • Advance Stratos toward full operations in 2027 and expand water-flood and CO2-EOR projects.
  • Pursue higher-margin production and lower sustaining capital through operational efficiency and recovery projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
OXY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.67 Q4 '23 actual $0.74, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.60 Q1 '24 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.77 Q2 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.30 Q2 '25 actual $0.39, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.51 Q3 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.16 Q4 '25 actual $0.31, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '26 actual $1.06, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.83 Q2 '26 actual $2.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.21 Q4 '26 estimate $1.14 Q1 '27 estimate $1.10

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold49 ratings
Bullish2449.0%
Neutral2244.9%
Bearish36.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.25Previous close
$24Low
$61.81Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 11, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 10, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 17, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 29, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 27, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral UnderweightUpgradeMar 20, 2026
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainMar 20, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight NeutralUpgradeMar 12, 2026
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainMar 11, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 23, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 11, 2025
Roth Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 2, 2025
TD Cowen Hold BuyDowngradeApr 8, 2025
Raymond James Outperform Strong BuyDowngradeMar 10, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 10, 2023
Roth MKM Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 12, 2023
Credit Suisse Underperform UnderperformMaintainNov 9, 2022
Tudor Pickering Hold BuyDowngradeAug 19, 2022
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 6, 2022
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainMar 1, 2022
Societe Generale Buy BuyMaintainJan 4, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy HoldUpgradeJun 19, 2020
Jefferies Underperform HoldDowngradeMar 16, 2020
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeMay 16, 2019
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeApr 25, 2019
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 22, 2019
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainMar 27, 2019
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeSep 18, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 17, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
PiperJaffray Overweight NeutralUpgradeApr 16, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeMar 23, 2018
Mizuho Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2016
GMP Securities Buy BuyMaintainFeb 3, 2016
IBERIA Capital Partners Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeDec 17, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 15, 2014
Simmons & Co. Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 13, 2014
Seaport Global Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 23, 2014
Scotia Howard Weil Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeJan 8, 2014
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 12, 2013
Standpoint Research Hold BuyDowngradeMay 3, 2013
Dahlman Rose Buy BuyMaintainDec 11, 2012
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $57.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$82$61.46 +43.2%Sep 14, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$67$61.46 +17.0%Sep 14, 2026
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$70$61.24 +22.3%Sep 11, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$73$60.91 +27.5%Sep 3, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$71$58.36 +24.0%Aug 17, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$63$57.98 +10.0%Aug 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$56.06 +20.5%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$79$56.04 +38.0%Aug 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$75$53.81 +31.0%Aug 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$65$51.68 +13.5%Jul 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$68$49.99 +18.8%Jun 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$75$57.46 +31.0%May 27, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$72$58.81 +25.8%May 26, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$64$58.87 +11.8%May 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$57$54.02 -0.4%May 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$65$53.69 +13.5%May 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$75$59.24 +31.0%May 4, 2026
Wells FargoSam Margolin$72$58.53 +25.8%Apr 9, 2026
Wells FargoRoger Read$69$55.58 +20.5%Mar 12, 2026
Piper SandlerMark Lear$66$55.58 +15.3%Mar 12, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$60$52.98 +4.8%Feb 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$55$51.23 -3.9%Feb 20, 2026
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$60$51.76 +4.8%Feb 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$49$51.78 -14.4%Feb 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$53$52.12 -7.4%Feb 20, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$45$51.53 -21.4%Feb 19, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$67$47.11 +17.0%Feb 19, 2026
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$51$43.93 -10.9%Jan 26, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$46$42.8 -19.7%Jan 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$43$41.02 -24.9%Dec 12, 2025
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$50$41.43 -12.7%Nov 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$51$41.44 -10.9%Nov 20, 2025
Piper SandlerMark Lear$46$42.52 -19.7%Nov 18, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$64$41.8 +11.8%Nov 11, 2025
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$47$40.94 -17.9%Oct 21, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$55$40.9 -3.9%Oct 20, 2025
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$47$44.7 -17.9%Oct 9, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$38$44.23 -33.6%Oct 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$45$44.23 -21.4%Oct 3, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$60$44.23 +4.8%Oct 3, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$55$44.23 -3.9%Oct 3, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$46$47.72 -19.7%Oct 2, 2025
BarclaysBetty Jiang$48$47.47 -16.2%Sep 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$58$45.47 +1.3%Sep 15, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$46$45.67 -19.7%Sep 15, 2025
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$45$46.31 -21.4%Jul 11, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$48$39.97 -16.2%Apr 22, 2025
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$58$50.04 +1.3%Mar 26, 2025
Roth CapitalLeo Mariani$54$50.34 -5.7%Jan 23, 2025
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$51$48.05 -10.9%Dec 19, 2024
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$77$51.72 +34.5%Oct 18, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJean Ann Salisbury$57$51.26 -0.4%Oct 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$72$51.56 +25.8%Oct 16, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$65$53.9 +13.5%Oct 10, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$58$53.25 +1.3%Oct 2, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$67$57.61 +17.0%Aug 18, 2024
StephensMike Scialla$76$61.21 +32.8%Jul 22, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$67$61.21 +17.0%Jul 22, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$80$61.48 +39.7%Jul 12, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$69$63.38 +20.5%May 16, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$70$68.94 +22.3%Apr 11, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$90$68.94 +57.2%Apr 11, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$70$68.94 +22.3%Apr 10, 2024
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$73$68.55 +27.5%Apr 9, 2024
HSBCSamantha Hoh$65$69.25 +13.5%Apr 8, 2024
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$72$64.5 +25.8%Mar 28, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$69$63.81 +20.5%Mar 22, 2024
Roth CapitalRoth MKM Ratings$60$64.07 +4.8%Aug 21, 2023
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$80$62.55 +39.7%Aug 16, 2023
StephensMike Scialla$69$60.22 +20.5%Jul 18, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$67$63.73 +17.0%Jan 10, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$69$62.53 +20.5%Dec 19, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$76$67.26 +32.8%Sep 6, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$59$60.99 +3.1%Aug 4, 2022
BarclaysJeanine Wai$79$62.95 +38.0%Jul 28, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$105$60.99 +83.4%Jul 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$84$60.86 +46.7%Jul 19, 2022
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$70$59.52 +22.3%Jul 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$74$55.68 +29.3%Jun 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$73$70.29 +27.5%Jun 6, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$89$73.35 +55.5%May 31, 2022
Capital One FinancialRichard Tullis$85$63.26 +48.5%May 23, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$58$60.1 +1.3%May 12, 2022
Stifel NicolausMichael Scialla$86$60.1 +50.2%May 12, 2022
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$71$57.03 +24.0%Apr 28, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$86$54.82 +50.2%Apr 26, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$90$56.62 +57.2%Apr 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$70$57 +22.3%Apr 22, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$74$58.31 +29.3%Apr 22, 2022
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$88$57.92 +53.7%Apr 11, 2022
Stifel NicolausMichael Scialia$84$61.8 +46.7%Apr 10, 2022
JefferiesGiacomo Romeo$63$56.1 +10.0%Apr 6, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesVincent Lovaglio$85$58.11 +48.5%Apr 3, 2022
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$85$57.48 +48.5%Mar 30, 2022
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$52$56.64 -9.2%Mar 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$52$55.59 -9.2%Mar 14, 2022
Wells FargoRoger Read$51$57.95 -10.9%Mar 11, 2022
J.P. MorganPhil Gresh$66$57.95 +15.3%Mar 11, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesDoug Leggate$80$58.13 +39.7%Mar 10, 2022
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$57$54.47 -0.4%Mar 8, 2022
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$52$46.68 -9.2%Mar 1, 2022
MKM PartnersJohn Gerdes$50$46.68 -12.7%Mar 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$50$36.77 -12.7%Jan 25, 2022
CitigroupScott Gruber$40$36.68 -30.1%Jan 25, 2022
Societe GeneraleRaphael Dubois$43$33.3 -24.9%Jan 4, 2022
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$42$28.67 -26.6%Dec 14, 2021
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela$28$33.33 -51.1%Nov 5, 2021
Cowen & Co.David Deckelbaum$35$32.19 -38.9%Oct 13, 2021
UBSLloyd Byrne$24$31.17 -58.1%Jun 30, 2021
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$31$25.98 -45.9%May 27, 2021
Show less

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T19:30:31.989930+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T11:50:51.132902+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T11:50:51.130154+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.