Occidental Petroleum Corporation · OXY · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Oxy pairs record production with debt reduction and DAC progress

The current call supports a constructive operating picture: management reported strong production and cash generation, early CrownRock benefits, raised guidance, and continued debt reduction. The longer-term case still depends on commodity conditions, deleveraging capacity, and execution of direct-air-capture investments.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $64.15B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.26B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.7% Up to 20 sessions
OXYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds record third-quarter production and free cash flow, further CrownRock integration benefits, raised full-year and fourth-quarter guidance, continued debt repayment, and additional detail on STRATOS and the South Texas direct-air-capture project.

Guidance delta

Raised; management highlighted higher full-year and fourth-quarter guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record third-quarter production and free cash flow, with performance exceeding guidance across the main operating segments.
  • CrownRock integration is producing early operating synergies, cost reductions, and additional production support.
  • The company emphasized debt repayment, progress on STRATOS, and public support for a South Texas direct-air-capture project.

Management priorities

  • Integrate CrownRock while improving drilling and operating costs.
  • Continue debt repayment and maintain capital discipline across low-carbon and chemicals projects.
  • Advance STRATOS and related direct-air-capture capacity toward commercial operation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
OXY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $7B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $7B Q1 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7B Q2 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $7B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $5B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold49 ratings
Bullish2551.0%
Neutral2244.9%
Bearish24.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$64.17Current
$24Low
$62.85Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 20, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 15, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $64.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$60$62.38 -6.5%Oct 17, 2026
Roth CapitalLeo Mariani$70$62.26 +9.1%Oct 16, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$64$60.67 -0.3%Oct 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$71$61.24 +10.6%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankMark Lear$63$61.41 -1.8%Oct 14, 2026
See 113 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Historical context

All OXY earnings

Energy peers this season

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CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
SLB Slb N.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.7% +7.1% SLB Q3 2026: Growth Broadens Beyond Core Oilfield
E Eni S.p.A. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +13.9% +4.3% Eni pairs upstream growth with record shareholder returns and transition progress
VLO Valero Energy Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.9% -2.4% Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:39:04.055137+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T08:50:42.685128+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T08:50:42.682252+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.