On Holding AG · ONON · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
On Holding pairs D2C momentum with an upbeat FY2025 outlook
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong D2C momentum, product launches, apparel expansion, and APAC growth underpin management's FY2025 outlook, while demand durability, execution, macro conditions, and competition remain the key tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
prior-close to event-session closeAsk FN2 about ONON FY2024 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loadedFree account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis moves the story from Q3 momentum and raised FY2024 guidance to a FY2025 plan centered on broader D2C distribution, apparel above CHF 100 million, new products, additional flagship stores, and at least CHF 2.94 billion of revenue.
Guidance delta
Management's FY2025 outlook calls for revenue of at least CHF 2.94 billion, gross margin of about 60.5%, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 17%-17.5%; the supplied analysis identifies the guidance sentiment as raised.
Key takeaways
- Management highlighted FY2024 net sales of CHF 2.32 billion, 33% constant-currency growth, a 60.6% gross margin, and a 16.7% adjusted EBITDA margin.
- D2C reached 48.8% of Q4 sales, supported by 19 new premium retail stores and distributor-led stores in Chile and Jakarta.
- Apparel exceeded CHF 100 million in sales for the first time, with management targeting 10% of total revenue.
- Cloud 6, Cloudboom Max, LightSpray, and geographic expansion—particularly in APAC—are central to the growth plan.
Management priorities
- Scale D2C channels and premium retail.
- Launch and expand Cloud 6, Cloudboom Max, and LightSpray products.
- Open flagship stores in Tokyo, Chengdu, and Shenzhen and expand China's store base.
- Grow apparel toward 10% of revenue through stronger e-commerce and retail integration.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 1, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 23, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Telsey Advisory Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 13, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 13, 2026 |
| Williams Trading | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 25, 2025 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 13, 2025 |
| BWG Global | Mixed | Positive | Downgrade | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Underperform | Hold | Downgrade | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 8, 2024 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 7, 2024 |
| Williams Capital | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Dec 22, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 22, 2021 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $32.51. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $34.22 | +44.6% | Oct 21, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Ashley Owens | $37 | $29.62 | +13.8% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Anna Andreeva | $45 | $29.82 | +38.4% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $30.16 | +1.5% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Adrienne Yih | $44 | $30.16 | +35.3% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $27.15 | +32.3% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $27.41 | +16.9% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $26.85 | +29.2% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Alex Straton | $39 | $26.84 | +20.0% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $27.27 | -13.9% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Capital One Financial | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $27.27 | -13.9% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Aneesha Sherman | $62 | $31.37 | +90.7% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $30.91 | +29.2% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $40 | $30.91 | +23.0% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $30.91 | +69.2% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Adrienne Yih | $42 | $30.91 | +29.2% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernandez | $43 | $30.91 | +32.3% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Rick Patel | $38 | $30.91 | +16.9% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $40 | $30.91 | +23.0% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $30.38 | -38.5% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Williams Trading | Sam Poser | $32 | $30.91 | -1.6% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $46 | $37.52 | +41.5% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Jay Sole | $82 | $37.78 | +152.2% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $37.89 | +155.3% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Telsey Advisory | Analyst unavailable | $51 | $35.18 | +56.9% | May 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $46 | $33.83 | +41.5% | May 13, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $33.82 | +29.2% | May 12, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $48 | $33.84 | +47.6% | May 12, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | $52 | $36.6 | +60.0% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $45 | $32.39 | +38.4% | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernandez | $60 | $32.11 | +84.6% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $55 | $43.91 | +69.2% | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Peter McGoldrick | $58 | $43.91 | +78.4% | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $58 | $43.91 | +78.4% | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Needham | Tom Nikic | $52 | $46.65 | +60.0% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jim Duffy | $60 | $45.51 | +84.6% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Ashley Owens | $58 | $46.3 | +78.4% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $45.05 | +81.5% | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Williams Trading | Sam Poser | $47 | $50.63 | +44.6% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $46.78 | +161.5% | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $47.32 | +81.5% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $40.79 | +84.6% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Randal Konik | $31 | $35.18 | -4.6% | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $34.8 | +84.6% | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Anna Andreeva | $55 | $35.58 | +69.2% | Nov 6, 2025 |
| BTIG | Janine Stichter | $70 | $36.46 | +115.3% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $42.14 | +53.8% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Rick Patel | $55 | $41.47 | +69.2% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| UBS | Jay Sole | $79 | $48.15 | +143.0% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Randal Konik | $40 | $49.81 | +23.0% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $69 | $57.59 | +112.2% | May 14, 2025 |
| UBS | Jay Sole | $75 | $57.59 | +130.7% | May 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Adrienne Yih | $68 | $51.31 | +109.2% | May 14, 2025 |
| Needham | Tom Nikic | $62 | $57.38 | +90.7% | May 13, 2025 |
| UBS | Jay Sole | $59 | $46.59 | +81.5% | Apr 28, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $52.48 | +124.5% | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Rick Patel | $63 | $56.19 | +93.8% | Nov 21, 2024 |
| BTIG | Janine Stichter | $64 | $52.62 | +96.9% | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Edwards | $57 | $52.62 | +75.3% | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $61 | $52.62 | +87.6% | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Williams Trading | Sam Poser | $40 | $47.58 | +23.0% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Anna Andreeva | $56 | $49.18 | +72.3% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $58 | $49.17 | +78.4% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ashley Wallace | $55 | $50.48 | +69.2% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jim Duffy | $59 | $49.25 | +81.5% | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Anna Andreeva | $52 | $43.19 | +60.0% | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $51 | $40.56 | +56.9% | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Barclays | Adrienne Yih | $47 | $41.27 | +44.6% | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Jonathan Komp | $50 | $41.61 | +53.8% | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Tom Nikic | $48 | $42.4 | +47.6% | Aug 13, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Ashley Owens | $47 | $40.52 | +44.6% | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Aneesha Sherman | $50 | $42.73 | +53.8% | Jun 11, 2024 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernandez | $47 | $42.2 | +44.6% | Jun 7, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Joseph Civello | $46 | $40.23 | +41.5% | May 28, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Edwards | $41 | $36.42 | +26.1% | May 15, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Ashley Owens | $40 | $36.77 | +23.0% | May 15, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Jonathan Komp | $46 | $36.3 | +41.5% | May 15, 2024 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernandez | $40 | $36.3 | +23.0% | May 15, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $43 | $36.3 | +32.3% | May 15, 2024 |
| Williams Trading | Sam Poser | $33 | $36.3 | +1.5% | May 14, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jim Duffy | $41 | $36.3 | +26.1% | May 14, 2024 |
| Needham | Anna Andreeva | $45 | $36.16 | +38.4% | May 14, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Edwards | $36 | $30.69 | +10.7% | May 14, 2024 |
| Barclays | Adrienne Yih | $38 | $35.38 | +16.9% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Abbie Zvejnieks | $39 | $35.61 | +20.0% | Mar 21, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Binetti | $37 | $33.28 | +13.8% | Mar 13, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Tom Nikic | $36 | $24.23 | +10.7% | Oct 5, 2023 |
| Needham | Anna Andreeva | $40 | $29.9 | +23.0% | Sep 20, 2023 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernández | $37 | $33.12 | +13.8% | May 11, 2023 |
| Telsey Advisory | Cristina Fernández | $30 | $18 | -7.7% | Dec 7, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Alex Straton | $26 | $18.61 | -20.0% | Nov 25, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Edwards | $28 | $16.93 | -13.9% | Nov 20, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jim Duffy | $31 | $23.98 | -4.6% | Aug 16, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $31 | $26 | -4.6% | Apr 19, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOn Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes performance sports products under the On brand in Switzerland, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, the rest of the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories for performance running, performance outdoor, performance all day, performance training, performance tennis, and young movers. It sells its products to athletes and active customers through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels; run specialty, general sporting goods, outdoor, luxury, street fashion, and lifestyle retailers; owned retail stores; and e-commerce platforms. On Holding AG was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Historical context
All ONON earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
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| PHM PulteGroup, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -4.5% | +5.8% | PulteGroup Holds Guidance as Buyer Traffic Slows |
| PKG Packaging Corporation of America | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.8% | +4.2% | PCA beats Q3 expectations as Greif synergies offset cost pressure |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FCNCAFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+8.2% move
- FCNCNFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+0.2% move
- FCNCOFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- FCNCPFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- RDYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026+24.0% EPS-0.2% move
- SLBFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+3.7% EPS+7.1% move
Missed on EPS
- INFYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026-4.8% EPS-6.6% move
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-20T12:55:22.487459+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T07:50:45.491282+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T07:50:45.488482+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.