Realty Income Corporation · O · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Realty Income raises 2026 AFFO outlook as Europe and credit broaden investment mix

Realty Income’s raised AFFO outlook and continued investment activity support a constructive operating picture, while the broader mix of European assets and credit investments adds execution, financing and market risks to monitor.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $54.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.43 Consensus $0.41
EPS surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.62B Consensus $1.43B
Revenue surprise +13.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
OSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised FY2026 AFFO guidance to $4.45–$4.46 per share from the prior quarter’s $4.44–$4.45 range and reaffirmed the $10 billion investment-volume target. Q3 discussion highlighted record potential investment sourcing, the expansion of credit investments, and a new KKR joint venture focused on European retail and industrial assets.

Guidance delta

FY2026 AFFO guidance increased to $4.45–$4.46 per share. The $10 billion investment-volume target was reaffirmed; no further change to that target was reported in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 analysis reports EPS of $0.43 versus $0.4068 estimated and revenue of $1.621582 billion versus $1.430687 billion estimated.
  • Management raised FY2026 AFFO guidance and reaffirmed its investment-volume target.
  • Management cited a record $59 billion of potential investments sourced in Q3, with a 4.4% selectivity rate and 92% relationship-driven activity.
  • Credit investments represented over 10% of total investment volume and were described as delivering a 170-basis-point leverage-neutral spread.
  • Dispositions generated $527 million, supporting capital recycling; the supplied analysis also describes capital flexibility through euro-denominated debt, convertible notes and private-capital partnerships.

Management priorities

  • Increase investment activity in Europe, particularly in industrial and logistics assets.
  • Continue developing the credit-investment platform as a yield supplement.
  • Use private-capital joint ventures with institutional partners and maintain a prefunded Q4 pipeline.
  • Expand data-center exposure selectively in top-tier markets.
  • Recycle capital through dispositions and reinvestment while preserving acquisition spreads.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
O EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.05 Q2 '24 actual $1.06, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.05 Q3 '24 actual $1.05, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.40 Q2 '25 actual $0.22, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.40 Q3 '25 actual $0.34, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.38 Q4 '25 actual $0.32, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.40 Q1 '26 actual $0.33, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.40 Q2 '26 actual $0.37, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q3 '26 actual $0.43, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.41 Q1 '27 estimate $0.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1236.4%
Neutral1854.5%
Bearish39.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.58Previous close
$59Low
$70.96Average
$187High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 19, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 6, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMar 9, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainDec 24, 2025
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeDec 18, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 15, 2025
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 6, 2025
Exane BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeDec 13, 2023
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 10, 2023
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 29, 2023
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 9, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2020
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 28, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2019
Capital One Financial Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeMay 8, 2019
Capital One Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeMay 8, 2019
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 15, 2018
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 29, 2018
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 29, 2018
Mitsubishi UFJ Overweight NeutralUpgradeJul 10, 2018
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 29, 2018
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2016
Wunderlich Securities Sell HoldDowngradeFeb 16, 2016
Wunderlich Sell HoldDowngradeFeb 16, 2016
Goldman Sachs Hold NeutralMaintainMay 23, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $57.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysRichard Hightower$61$55.51 +5.9%Oct 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$187$56.08 +224.8%Oct 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$59$56.08 +2.5%Oct 19, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$63.75$54.17 +10.7%Oct 9, 2026
Truist FinancialLinda Tsai$60$53.53 +4.2%Oct 1, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$59$55.61 +2.5%Sep 24, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$65$56.84 +12.9%Sep 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$61$57.15 +5.9%Sep 17, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$65$61.74 +12.9%Sep 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$64$61.28 +11.1%Sep 1, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$68$62.79 +18.1%Aug 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$67$64.99 +16.4%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$65$63.77 +12.9%Jul 15, 2026
Robert W. BairdWesley Golladay$65$63.84 +12.9%Jul 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$70.75$63.04 +22.9%Jun 30, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$67$60.57 +16.4%Jun 18, 2026
JefferiesJoe Dickstein$69$61.28 +19.8%Jun 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$66$62.53 +14.6%May 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$63.62 +16.4%Apr 27, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$68$64.92 +18.1%Apr 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$69$64.71 +19.8%Mar 11, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsZhiger Kurmet$69$67.38 +19.8%Mar 2, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$67$60.56 +16.4%Jan 30, 2026
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$69$61.42 +19.8%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$55.93 +12.9%Dec 24, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$60$57.44 +4.2%Dec 17, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$64$57.5 +11.1%Dec 3, 2025
Wells FargoJohn Kilichowski$60$56.74 +4.2%Nov 25, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$60$56.22 +4.2%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$63$59.94 +9.4%Oct 20, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$62$60.64 +7.7%Oct 1, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$64$60.79 +11.1%Oct 1, 2025
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$60$57.92 +4.2%Aug 28, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$58$58.52 +0.7%Apr 22, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$59$57.76 +2.5%Mar 4, 2025
JefferiesLinda Tsai$64$53.41 +11.1%Jan 1, 2025
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$64$62.98 +11.1%Sep 17, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$70.25$61.83 +22.0%Aug 28, 2024
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$61$61.59 +5.9%Aug 26, 2024
WedbushJay Kornreich$64$60.5 +11.1%Aug 19, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$67.5$59.18 +17.2%Aug 6, 2024
Robert W. BairdWesley Golladay$58$59.18 +0.7%Aug 6, 2024
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$62$59.18 +7.7%Aug 6, 2024
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$56$55.1 -2.7%May 16, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$71$59.59 +23.3%Jun 30, 2023
Wolfe ResearchAndrew Rosivach$84$72.61 +45.9%Apr 15, 2022
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$80$70.86 +38.9%Jan 10, 2022
CitigroupMichael Bilerman$74$67.2 +28.5%Dec 13, 2021
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$80$65.03 +38.9%Jul 15, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Known as "The Monthly Dividend Company," Realty Income is an S&P 500 corporation committed to delivering reliable monthly income to its shareholders. Operating as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), its monthly payouts are generated from the consistent cash flow of over 6,500 commercial properties, which are leased to various businesses under long-term contracts. With a remarkable 52-year operational history, the firm (NYSE: O) has announced 608 uninterrupted monthly dividends for its common stock and has increased its dividend payout 109 times since going public in 1994. It also holds a distinguished position within the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index. For additional details, please visit the company's official website at www.realtyincome.com.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T04:05:13.527812+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T07:10:45.915816+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T07:10:45.913142+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.