Nextpower Inc. · NXT · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Nextpower pairs strong FY26 finish with power-conversion expansion

Nextpower's latest call supports a constructive growth case centered on a record backlog, strong U.S. demand, and expansion beyond trackers. The main test is whether the power-conversion acquisition and broader platform can be integrated while preserving margins.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $12.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.05 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +13.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $880.5M Consensus $826.3M
Revenue surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +8.8% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.2% Up to 20 sessions
NXTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported a strong FY26 finish and raised FY27 guidance. The company also outlined a power-conversion acquisition, a U.S. manufacturing footprint for the business, and continued growth in non-tracker products; the new Middle East joint venture is expected to reduce reported revenue by about 300 basis points.

Guidance delta

FY27 revenue guidance was raised to $3.8-$4.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $825-$900 million.

Key takeaways

  • FY26 revenue grew 20% to $3.56 billion, with a record backlog exceeding $5.25 billion.
  • Non-tracker products are expected to grow more than 40% and reach about 15% of revenue.
  • The power-conversion acquisition broadens the platform and adds planned U.S. manufacturing capacity.
  • Strong U.S. bookings were complemented by international momentum across Europe, the Middle East, India, and Australia.

Management priorities

  • Invest about $130 million to accelerate the power-conversion business.
  • Scale U.S. power-conversion manufacturing capacity to as much as 3 GW per year.
  • Expand non-tracker products and bundled offerings.
  • Complete required certification and begin revenue generation from the acquired power-conversion hardware in FY27.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NXT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $683M Q4 '24 actual $737M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $618M Q1 '25 actual $720M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $699M Q2 '25 actual $636M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $841M Q1 '26 actual $864M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $858M Q2 '26 actual $905M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $815M Q3 '26 actual $909M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $826M Q4 '26 actual $881M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $935M Q1 '27 actual $935M, match Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q3 '27 estimate $1B Q4 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2689.7%
Neutral310.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$79.33Current
$40Low
$119.42Average
$179High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 29, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $79.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$145$83.4 +82.8%Oct 29, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$140$82.08 +76.5%Oct 29, 2026
Northland SecuritiesGus Richard$138$82.08 +74.0%Oct 29, 2026
NeedhamSean Milligan$143$82.08 +80.3%Oct 29, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$114$81.48 +43.7%Oct 21, 2026
See 95 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nextpower, Inc. engages in the provision of integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. Its products enable solar panels in utility-scale power plants to follow the sun's movement across the sky and optimize plant performance. The company was founded by Daniel S. Shugar, Alexander Au, Nicholas Miller, Michael Mehavich, Marco Garcia, and Tyroan Hardy in 2013 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-17T18:25:13.834130+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T23:10:42.257618+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T23:10:42.254685+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.