Nucor Corporation · NUE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Nucor’s record shipments support a stronger Q2 outlook

Nucor’s Q2 evidence supports the view that resilient, broad-based demand and project expansion can sustain earnings momentum: shipments reached a record, earnings exceeded guidance, and management raised its shipment outlook. The thesis remains conditional on pricing, input costs, trade policy, and execution.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $55.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.84 Consensus $4.46
EPS surprise +8.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.40B Consensus $10.15B
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.2% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +6.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.8% Up to 20 sessions
NUESPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shows another shipment record, higher EBITDA and EPS, a raised guidance sentiment, and continued progress on growth projects. Management also highlighted CSP pricing and a safety initiative as new developments.

Guidance delta

Raised: management expects shipment growth near the high end of the 5–10% range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 EBITDA and EPS exceeded guidance, while shipments reached a second consecutive record.
  • Demand was described as broad-based across energy, data centers, infrastructure, reshoring, and defense projects.
  • Growth projects remain on schedule, and management emphasized at least 40% of earnings returned to shareholders.

Management priorities

  • Ramp commercial shipments from the West Virginia sheet mill in early 2027.
  • Complete the Berkeley galvanizing line and Crawfordsville coating operation by year-end.
  • Bring the Utah towers and structures facility to full production by mid-2027.
  • Balance growth investment with disciplined capital allocation and shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NUE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $8B Q1 '24 actual $8B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9B Q2 '25 actual $8B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $8B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $8B Q4 '25 actual $8B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '26 actual $9B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $10B Q2 '26 actual $10B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11B Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $10B Q2 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold32 ratings
Bullish1959.4%
Neutral1031.2%
Bearish39.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$246.98Current
$110Low
$201.38Average
$297High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold BuyDowngradeSep 18, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 9, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $246.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$280$265.14 +13.4%Sep 18, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$295$263.18 +19.4%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$297$265.62 +20.3%Jul 29, 2026
BarclaysRichard Garchitorena$295$265.62 +19.4%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyCarlos De Alba$270$265.62 +9.3%Jul 29, 2026
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nucor Corporation is a prominent producer and distributor of steel and diverse steel-related products. Within its Steel Mills division, the company manufactures a comprehensive range of steel goods. These include various sheet steel types like hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized, alongside plate steel. It also produces structural components such as wide-flange beams, beam blanks, H-piling, and sheet piling. Furthermore, this segment supplies bar steel products, encompassing blooms, billets, concrete reinforcing bars, merchant bars, and specialized bar quality items. Beyond manufacturing, Nucor's steel mills are involved in steel trading and the distribution of rebar. Its clientele primarily consists of steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The Steel Products segment provides an array of manufactured steel goods, such as hollow structural section tubing, electrical conduits, steel racking, joists and girders, steel decks, and fabricated concrete reinforcing steel.…

Historical context

All NUE earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T17:04:30.032435+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-01T01:23:15.986970+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T00:00:56.605201+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T00:00:56.602474+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.