Nokia Oyj · NOK · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025
Nokia: Optical growth offsets mobile weakness, but guidance falls
Nokia's AI, fiber, optical-networking, and 5G opportunities support a constructive longer-term operating case, but the current evidence is mixed: Network Infrastructure is growing and Infinera integration is progressing, while mobile weakness, supply constraints, tariffs, currency, and lower profit guidance remain material offsets.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The quarter added evidence of Optical and Fixed Networks growth and progress on Infinera integration, but full-year operating-profit guidance was lowered for currency and tariff factors. Mobile Networks sales declined 13% year over year, and management highlighted supply constraints in Optical Networks.
Guidance delta
Full-year operating profit guidance was lowered because of currency and tariff factors; free-cash-flow conversion guidance remained unchanged at 50–80%.
Key takeaways
- Network Infrastructure grew 8%, led by Optical and Fixed Networks.
- Mobile Networks sales declined 13% year over year, while the underlying business was described as stable after adjusting for prior-year acceleration.
- Infinera integration is progressing, with synergies on track and optical order intake strong.
- Management highlighted hyperscaler demand, U.S. and European fiber programs, 5G core deployments, and AI-driven network investment as growth drivers.
- Currency and tariff factors reduced the full-year operating-profit outlook.
Management priorities
- Continue integrating Infinera and deliver committed synergies.
- Invest in fiber, AI, 5G, and network-as-code innovation.
- Implement functional unification and an executive account-manager model.
- Pursue additional customer partnerships and co-innovation.
- Use the November 19 Capital Markets Day to detail strategy and execution.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenblatt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Craig-Hallum | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Northland Capital Markets | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 19, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 15, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 13, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 15, 2022 |
| Kepler Cheuvreux | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 22, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | May 7, 2021 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 1, 2020 |
| New Street Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Charter Equity | Buy | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 26, 2019 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 4, 2019 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 26, 2018 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Sep 19, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 5, 2018 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 5, 2018 |
| Natixis | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 13, 2017 |
| CLSA | Underperform | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 28, 2016 |
| Nordea Equity | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 8, 2016 |
| Nordea | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 8, 2016 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 21, 2015 |
| Danske Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 26, 2015 |
| UBS | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 8, 2015 |
| Evli Bank | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | May 4, 2015 |
| Oddo Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 22, 2015 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Apr 22, 2015 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Apr 22, 2015 |
| Swedbank | Neutral | Reduce | Upgrade | Apr 21, 2015 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 13, 2015 |
| Societe Generale | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 24, 2014 |
| Carnegie | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 15, 2014 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 14, 2014 |
| Santander | Underweight | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 22, 2013 |
| HSBC | Neutral | Underweight | Upgrade | Sep 23, 2013 |
| SEB Enskilda | Overweight | Market Weight | Upgrade | Sep 19, 2013 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Sep 11, 2013 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Sep 3, 2013 |
| Northland Securities | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 3, 2013 |
| Jyske Bank | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 3, 2013 |
| Baird | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Sep 3, 2013 |
| Needham | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 18, 2013 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 19, 2013 |
| Argus Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 27, 2013 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 23, 2013 |
| Standpoint | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 23, 2013 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 18, 2012 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Apr 23, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenblatt Securities | Mike Genovese | $14 | $8.18 | +72.0% | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Tim Savageaux | $20 | $17.13 | +145.7% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Jim Kelleher | $15 | $10.46 | +84.3% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $13 | $10.53 | +59.7% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $6.57 | $5.96 | -19.3% | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $8.5 | $7.77 | +4.4% | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $7.5 | $6.21 | -7.9% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas | Jakob Bluestone | $5 | $4.38 | -38.6% | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $7 | $5.12 | -14.0% | Jul 22, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $6.75 | $4.9 | -17.1% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $6.5 | $5.02 | -20.1% | Mar 14, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Gardiner | $5.44 | $6.08 | -33.2% | Jul 30, 2021 |
| Craig-Hallum | Christian Schwab | $8 | $6.08 | -1.7% | Jul 30, 2021 |
| BNP Paribas | Stefan Slowinski | $7.7 | $5.39 | -5.4% | Jul 5, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Duval | $6.5 | $5.45 | -20.1% | Jun 25, 2021 |
| SEB Enskilda | Artem Beletski | $5 | $4.68 | -38.5% | Apr 30, 2021 |
| BlackRock | Achal Sultania | $4.84 | $4.68 | -40.5% | Apr 30, 2021 |
Track every rating change on NOK the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationNokia Oyj stands as a global technology leader, delivering comprehensive network infrastructure and solutions across mobile, fixed, and cloud domains. Its operations are structured into four primary divisions: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The Mobile Networks segment furnishes radio access network technologies, spanning from 2G to 5G, alongside crucial microwave radio links for transport. Within Network Infrastructure, Nokia provides fixed access solutions such as fiber and copper, coupled with cloud and virtualization services. This segment also encompasses a robust Wi-Fi portfolio, featuring mesh solutions and cloud-based controllers, as well as sophisticated IP routing solutions for aggregation, edge, and core applications tailored for residential, business, mobile, and industrial sectors.…
Historical context
All NOK earningsTechnology peers this season
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| ROP Roper Technologies, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.7% | +9.7% | Roper raises DEPS outlook as AI adoption expands across portfolio |
| VRSN VeriSign, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -2.0% | -0.9% | VeriSign reports record registrations as renewal mix becomes a key watchpoint |
| TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +16.8% | -27.7% | TTM Technologies Q3: Record Growth, Higher Investment, More Deal Risk |
| WDC Western Digital Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.9% | -6.4% | Western Digital pairs strong FY27 Q1 growth with an accelerated HDD roadmap |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FCNCAFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+8.2% move
- FCNCNFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+0.2% move
- FCNCOFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- FCNCPFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+19.9% EPS+1.0% move
- RDYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026+24.0% EPS-0.2% move
- SLBFY2026 Q3 · October 23, 2026+3.7% EPS+7.1% move
Missed on EPS
- INFYFY2027 Q2 · October 23, 2026-4.8% EPS-6.6% move
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
Get the NOK recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T09:50:42.945593+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T09:50:42.942808+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.