Nokia Oyj · NOK · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Nokia: Optical growth offsets mobile weakness, but guidance falls

Nokia's AI, fiber, optical-networking, and 5G opportunities support a constructive longer-term operating case, but the current evidence is mixed: Network Infrastructure is growing and Infinera integration is progressing, while mobile weakness, supply constraints, tariffs, currency, and lower profit guidance remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $43.96B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.05 Consensus $0.07
EPS surprise -28.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.35B Consensus $4.72B
Revenue surprise +13.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.0% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.3% Up to 20 sessions
NOKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of Optical and Fixed Networks growth and progress on Infinera integration, but full-year operating-profit guidance was lowered for currency and tariff factors. Mobile Networks sales declined 13% year over year, and management highlighted supply constraints in Optical Networks.

Guidance delta

Full-year operating profit guidance was lowered because of currency and tariff factors; free-cash-flow conversion guidance remained unchanged at 50–80%.

Key takeaways

  • Network Infrastructure grew 8%, led by Optical and Fixed Networks.
  • Mobile Networks sales declined 13% year over year, while the underlying business was described as stable after adjusting for prior-year acceleration.
  • Infinera integration is progressing, with synergies on track and optical order intake strong.
  • Management highlighted hyperscaler demand, U.S. and European fiber programs, 5G core deployments, and AI-driven network investment as growth drivers.
  • Currency and tariff factors reduced the full-year operating-profit outlook.

Management priorities

  • Continue integrating Infinera and deliver committed synergies.
  • Invest in fiber, AI, 5G, and network-as-code innovation.
  • Implement functional unification and an executive account-manager model.
  • Pursue additional customer partnerships and co-innovation.
  • Use the November 19 Capital Markets Day to detail strategy and execution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NOK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.06 Q1 '24 actual $0.10, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.05 Q2 '24 actual $0.06, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.07 Q2 '25 actual $0.05, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.06 Q3 '25 actual $0.07, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.17 Q4 '25 actual $0.21, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.06, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.07 Q2 '26 actual $0.08, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.08 Q3 '26 actual $0.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.16 Q1 '27 estimate $0.07 Q2 '27 estimate $0.08 Q3 '27 estimate $0.09
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold53 ratings
Bullish3362.3%
Neutral1528.3%
Bearish59.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$8.14Current
$4.84Low
$8.9Average
$20High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeApr 27, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeOct 28, 2025
Craig-Hallum Buy BuyMaintainJan 6, 2025
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$14$8.18 +72.0%Oct 23, 2026
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$20$17.13 +145.7%Jun 3, 2026
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$15$10.46 +84.3%Apr 27, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$13$10.53 +59.7%Apr 20, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$6.57$5.96 -19.3%Nov 20, 2025
See 12 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nokia Oyj stands as a global technology leader, delivering comprehensive network infrastructure and solutions across mobile, fixed, and cloud domains. Its operations are structured into four primary divisions: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The Mobile Networks segment furnishes radio access network technologies, spanning from 2G to 5G, alongside crucial microwave radio links for transport. Within Network Infrastructure, Nokia provides fixed access solutions such as fiber and copper, coupled with cloud and virtualization services. This segment also encompasses a robust Wi-Fi portfolio, featuring mesh solutions and cloud-based controllers, as well as sophisticated IP routing solutions for aggregation, edge, and core applications tailored for residential, business, mobile, and industrial sectors.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T09:50:42.945593+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T09:50:42.942808+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.