Newmont Corporation · NEM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
Newmont maintains 2026 guidance after strong Q1 cash generation
Newmont’s Q1 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong cash generation, maintained guidance, and project progress provide support, while cost inflation, operating disruptions, regulatory changes, and the Nevada Gold Mines dispute temper the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The company introduced a new $6 billion share-repurchase authorization, reported a Cadia seismic event with systems restored quickly, and highlighted an approximately $25-per-ounce 2026 all-in sustaining cost impact from Ghana’s sliding-scale royalty.
Guidance delta
Management maintained full-year production and cost guidance; Q2 production is expected to be slightly lower because of Cadia downtime.
Key takeaways
- Record free cash flow and operating cash generation supported a new $6 billion share-repurchase program and continued dividend payments.
- Management reported operational resilience after the Cadia seismic event and weather-related challenges, while expecting Cadia to return to full capacity by the end of Q2.
- Higher energy costs, a Ghana royalty change, and the Nevada Gold Mines notice of default are important risks to the outlook.
Management priorities
- Restore Cadia to full capacity and complete the Cadia underground rehabilitation.
- Advance Tanami, Cerro Negro, Red Chris, and the Lihir nearshore barrier projects.
- Continue productivity and cost-saving initiatives while executing shareholder returns.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 28, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 14, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 24, 2026 |
| CIBC | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 2, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 29, 2024 |
| TD Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 21, 2023 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 14, 2023 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 13, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 17, 2020 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 19, 2020 |
| B. Riley FBR | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 19, 2020 |
| B. Riley | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 13, 2020 |
| Citi | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 23, 2019 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Jun 12, 2018 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 26, 2018 |
| Standpoint Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 29, 2016 |
| Mackie Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2016 |
| Clarksons Platou | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 18, 2016 |
| Clarkson Capital Markets | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 18, 2016 |
| FBR Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jan 28, 2016 |
| HSBC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 26, 2015 |
| BB&T Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 3, 2014 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Sep 9, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $121.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $144 | $127.09 | +18.7% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Brian MacArthur | $140 | $130.96 | +15.4% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| CIBC | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $117.85 | +40.1% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $149 | $119.62 | +22.8% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Alexandra Yates | $110 | $93.87 | -9.3% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $168 | $91.64 | +38.5% | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Garchitorena | $124 | $93.47 | +2.2% | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $95.04 | +3.1% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $147 | $94.88 | +21.2% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Josh Wolfson | $135 | $94.52 | +11.3% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $146 | $97.04 | +20.4% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $92.34 | -1.1% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $175 | $107.23 | +44.3% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $133 | $108.33 | +9.6% | May 21, 2026 |
| TD Securities | Steven Green | $129 | $120.7 | +6.3% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Matthew Murphy | $145 | $117.87 | +19.5% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $176 | $110.51 | +45.1% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| National Bank | Shane Nagle | $130 | $113.41 | +7.2% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $140 | $102.1 | +15.4% | Mar 27, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Matthew Murphy | $140 | $121.02 | +15.4% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $120.39 | +44.3% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| CIBC | Analyst unavailable | $177 | $114.36 | +45.9% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $117.25 | +31.9% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $128.69 | +25.3% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $100.47 | -8.5% | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Fahad Tariq | $120 | $89.76 | -1.1% | Dec 7, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $97 | $90.72 | -20.0% | Dec 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Daniel Major | $125 | $91.82 | +3.1% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Brian MacArthur | $99 | $83.31 | -18.4% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $114 | $87.01 | -6.0% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $105.5 | $93.58 | -13.0% | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $104.3 | $85.14 | -14.0% | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Brian MacArthur | $96 | $85.21 | -20.9% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| CIBC | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $85.21 | -7.7% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Josh Wolfson | $95 | $75.92 | -21.7% | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Macquarie | Andrew Bowler | $72 | $74.4 | -40.6% | Sep 1, 2025 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $74 | $57.35 | -39.0% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $63 | $53.68 | -48.1% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $53.94 | -45.6% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| UBS | Daniel Major | $54 | $47.8 | -55.5% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Josh Wolfson | $53 | $57.74 | -56.3% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Matthew Murphy | $63 | $53.04 | -48.1% | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Matthew Murphy | $54 | $51.3 | -55.5% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $58 | $51.83 | -52.2% | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Tanya Jakusconek | $59 | $51.19 | -51.4% | Aug 19, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Jackie Przybylowski | $57 | $47.7 | -53.0% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $61 | $45.36 | -49.7% | Jul 10, 2024 |
| UBS | Daniel Major | $50 | $40.97 | -58.8% | Jun 17, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Tanya Jakusconek | $48 | $41.28 | -60.4% | May 23, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Emily Chieng | $67 | $41.02 | -44.8% | Dec 15, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Josh Wolfson | $60 | $45.61 | -50.5% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Carey MacRury | $60 | $46.14 | -50.5% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $73.43 | -34.0% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Fundamental Research | Siddharth Rajeev | $63.1 | $55.25 | -48.0% | Nov 8, 2021 |
| CIBC | Anita Soni | $69 | $53.09 | -43.1% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| TD Securities | Greg Barnes | $70 | $58.82 | -42.3% | Jul 26, 2021 |
| Desjardins | John Sclodnick | $85.94 | $71.39 | -29.2% | May 20, 2021 |
| Argus Research | David Coleman | $73 | $62.68 | -39.8% | May 5, 2021 |
| BMO Capital | Andrew Kaip | $85 | $60.33 | -29.9% | Apr 30, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationNewmont Corporation is primarily involved in the mining and exploration of gold resources. Additionally, the company undertakes prospecting for other base and precious metals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Its operations and assets are geographically widespread, located across various countries such as the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. As of the close of 2021 (December 31st), Newmont reported substantial proven and probable gold reserves, totaling 92.8 million ounces, and managed a vast land portfolio covering 62,800 square kilometers. Founded in 1916, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Denver, Colorado.
Historical context
All NEM earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | -6.2% | Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
- AZOFY2026 Q4 · September 22, 2026+3.6% EPS+3.3% move
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T21:50:53.570813+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T21:50:53.568002+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.