Newmont Corporation · NEM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Newmont maintains 2026 guidance after strong Q1 cash generation

Newmont’s Q1 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong cash generation, maintained guidance, and project progress provide support, while cost inflation, operating disruptions, regulatory changes, and the Nevada Gold Mines dispute temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $130.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.90 Consensus $2.07
EPS surprise +40.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.31B Consensus $6.77B
Revenue surprise +8.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
NEMSPY benchmark

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What changed

The company introduced a new $6 billion share-repurchase authorization, reported a Cadia seismic event with systems restored quickly, and highlighted an approximately $25-per-ounce 2026 all-in sustaining cost impact from Ghana’s sliding-scale royalty.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year production and cost guidance; Q2 production is expected to be slightly lower because of Cadia downtime.

Key takeaways

  • Record free cash flow and operating cash generation supported a new $6 billion share-repurchase program and continued dividend payments.
  • Management reported operational resilience after the Cadia seismic event and weather-related challenges, while expecting Cadia to return to full capacity by the end of Q2.
  • Higher energy costs, a Ghana royalty change, and the Nevada Gold Mines notice of default are important risks to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Restore Cadia to full capacity and complete the Cadia underground rehabilitation.
  • Advance Tanami, Cerro Negro, Red Chris, and the Lihir nearshore barrier projects.
  • Continue productivity and cost-saving initiatives while executing shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.36 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.62 Q2 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.86 Q3 '24 actual $0.81, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.91 Q2 '25 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.44 Q3 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.07 Q4 '25 actual $2.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.07 Q1 '26 actual $2.90, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.05 Q2 '26 actual $2.10, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.16 Q4 '26 estimate $2.32 Q1 '27 estimate $2.59 Q2 '27 estimate $2.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2875.7%
Neutral924.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$121.3Current
$57Low
$108.04Average
$175High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeJul 14, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $121.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$144$127.09 +18.7%Sep 9, 2026
Raymond JamesBrian MacArthur$140$130.96 +15.4%Aug 24, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$170$117.85 +40.1%Aug 14, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$149$119.62 +22.8%Aug 12, 2026
Argus ResearchAlexandra Yates$110$93.87 -9.3%Aug 3, 2026
See 54 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Newmont Corporation is primarily involved in the mining and exploration of gold resources. Additionally, the company undertakes prospecting for other base and precious metals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Its operations and assets are geographically widespread, located across various countries such as the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. As of the close of 2021 (December 31st), Newmont reported substantial proven and probable gold reserves, totaling 92.8 million ounces, and managed a vast land portfolio covering 62,800 square kilometers. Founded in 1916, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Denver, Colorado.

Historical context

All NEM earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T21:50:53.570813+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T21:50:53.568002+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.