NextEra Energy, Inc. · NEE · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

NextEra emphasizes scale, demand growth and execution risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: management described durable Florida demand, renewable and storage growth, a backlog above 25 GW and substantial planned investment. The thesis remains conditional because delivery depends on regulation, financing, equipment supply, policy and project execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $160.75B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.53
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.97B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.2% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +5.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
NEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis describes a larger backlog above 25 GW, a roughly $120 billion four-year investment plan, a 50–50 GE Vernova gas-generation joint venture and $32 billion of interest-rate swaps. Management’s tone and guidance sentiment remained confident and maintained, respectively.

Guidance delta

Maintained in the supplied analysis; no new quantitative guidance change was provided.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported adjusted EPS of $3.43, up 8% year over year, at the high end of its guidance range.
  • The company highlighted Energy Resources backlog above 25 GW and a roughly $120 billion four-year investment plan.
  • Growth depends on Florida demand, renewables and storage execution, while rate-case, financing, supply-chain and policy risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Expand Florida Power & Light infrastructure and pursue the 2026–2029 multi-year rate case
  • Add solar, battery storage and other generation capacity
  • Develop the GE Vernova joint venture and pursue the Duane Arnold nuclear restart process

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.78 Q1 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.98 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.01 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.97 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.09 Q2 '26 actual $1.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.20 Q4 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '27 estimate $1.08 Q2 '27 estimate $1.23

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2470.6%
Neutral926.5%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$77.37Current
$56Low
$91.34Average
$116High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
Seaport Global Sell SellMaintainOct 2, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $77.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$80$76.28 +3.4%Oct 6, 2026
Seaport GlobalAngie Storozynski$56$77.38 -27.6%Oct 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$114$85.02 +47.3%Aug 21, 2026
BernsteinSunaina Ocalan$108$89.36 +39.6%Jul 27, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$89.78 +24.1%Jul 27, 2026
See 72 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NextEra Energy, Inc., operating through its diverse subsidiaries, is a prominent electric power provider in North America. The company's operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity to both individual consumers and large-scale wholesale clients. Its energy portfolio is broad, featuring power generation from wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. Beyond direct power supply, NextEra Energy is actively involved in developing, constructing, and managing long-term contracted clean energy infrastructure, including renewable energy generation sites, battery storage solutions, and electric transmission networks.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-15T12:07:16.771911+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T04:40:44.017381+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T04:40:44.015699+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.