NextEra Energy, Inc. · NEE · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

NextEra Energy: Demand backlog expands as capex rises

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: rising power demand, renewable-cost advantages, backlog additions, and grid investment strengthen NextEra Energy's growth case, while higher capital needs and regulatory or nuclear execution risks temper it.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $166.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.03 Consensus $0.98
EPS surprise +5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.57B Consensus $8.11B
Revenue surprise -6.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.5% Up to 20 sessions
NEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis points to continued roughly 10% adjusted-EPS growth, a second consecutive quarter of approximately 3 GW of backlog additions, announced potential of about 15 GW, and a higher 1.9 GW wind-repowering target through 2026. The capex outlook moved from stable in the prior analysis to increasing.

Guidance delta

Maintained; no change was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS grew about 10% year over year, with contributions from FPL and Energy Resources.
  • The company added about 3 GW of renewables and storage backlog for a second consecutive quarter, bringing announced potential to roughly 15 GW.
  • Management linked growth opportunities to data centers, manufacturing reshoring, industrial electrification, grid modernization, and storage.
  • NextEra Energy Partners raised its wind-repowering target to 1.9 GW through 2026.

Management priorities

  • Add renewables and storage projects while targeting more than 11 GW of annual backlog additions.
  • Execute wind-repowering projects and assess Duane Arnold nuclear options.
  • Expand grid hardening, undergrounding, and smart-grid investments.
  • Evaluate NextEra Energy Partners' capital-structure options and update distribution guidance.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.78 Q1 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.98 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.01 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.97 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.09 Q2 '26 actual $1.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.19 Q4 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '27 estimate $1.08 Q2 '27 estimate $1.23

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2470.6%
Neutral926.5%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$79.8Current
$56Low
$91.23Average
$116High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 14, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
Seaport Global Sell SellMaintainOct 2, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $79.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$77.97 +37.8%Oct 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$80$76.28 +0.3%Oct 6, 2026
Seaport GlobalAngie Storozynski$56$77.38 -29.8%Oct 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$114$85.02 +42.9%Aug 21, 2026
BernsteinSunaina Ocalan$108$89.36 +35.3%Jul 27, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NextEra Energy, Inc., operating through its diverse subsidiaries, is a prominent electric power provider in North America. The company's operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity to both individual consumers and large-scale wholesale clients. Its energy portfolio is broad, featuring power generation from wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. Beyond direct power supply, NextEra Energy is actively involved in developing, constructing, and managing long-term contracted clean energy infrastructure, including renewable energy generation sites, battery storage solutions, and electric transmission networks.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T03:30:40.650294+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T03:30:40.647365+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.