Micron Technology, Inc. · MU · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

Micron: AI memory demand strong, margins remain under pressure

The analysis supports a constructive demand narrative for Micron, led by AI data-center memory and HBM, but the durability of earnings growth depends on margin recovery, inventory normalization and execution on new products and capacity.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $1117.01B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.43
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.93B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -8.0% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -7.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -29.5% Up to 20 sessions
MUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The analysis highlights a Singapore HBM advanced-packaging facility, the 1-gamma DRAM node and automotive LP5X DRAM as new developments, while continuing to emphasize HBM4, SOCAMM and capacity expansion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the analysis points to record Q3 revenue guidance of about $8.8 billion and modest gross-margin improvement in Q4.

Key takeaways

  • Data-center DRAM and HBM revenue reached records, with HBM revenue above $1 billion.
  • AI workloads, HBM adoption and automotive applications are the main growth drivers identified in the call analysis.
  • Consumer mix and NAND pricing weighed on margins despite management's confident tone.
  • HBM4, SOCAMM, 1-gamma DRAM and automotive LP5X are central product and capacity initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Ramp HBM4 and continue HBM3E 12-high shipments.
  • Expand advanced DRAM and packaging capacity, including the Idaho fab and Singapore facility.
  • Commercialize 1-gamma DRAM, SOCAMM and automotive LP5X DRAM.
  • Support AI, data-center and automotive demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.48 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.11 Q4 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.60 Q3 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.86 Q4 '25 actual $3.03, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.96 Q1 '26 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9.19 Q2 '26 actual $12.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20.98 Q3 '26 actual $25.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $31.77 Q4 '26 actual $33.42, beat Q1 '27 estimate $38.11 Q2 '27 estimate $41.75
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy69 ratings
Bullish5782.6%
Neutral1014.5%
Bearish22.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$989.04Previous close
$52Low
$890.37Average
$3,000High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $989.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$3,000$1,045.56 +203.3%Oct 7, 2026
CLSASanjeev Rana$1,700$1,097.39 +71.9%Oct 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,032.47 +112.3%Oct 1, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$1,250$1,065.11 +26.4%Oct 1, 2026
William BlairAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,065.11 +31.4%Oct 1, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Micron Technology, Inc. is a global leader specializing in the development, manufacture, and sale of advanced semiconductor memory and storage solutions. Its operations are structured across four primary business segments: Compute and Networking, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded. The company's product portfolio encompasses a range of memory and data storage technologies. These include high-speed, low-latency Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) components for rapid data retrieval; non-volatile, re-programmable NAND flash storage devices; and fast-read, non-volatile, re-writable NOR memory chips.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-03-06T00:02:54.346456+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T05:20:42.466265+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T05:20:42.463212+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.