MasTec, Inc. · MTZ · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

MasTec’s 2025 backlog and data-center work underpin a higher 2026 revenue plan

MasTec’s reported 2025 growth, expanding backlog and data-center project activity support management’s higher 2026 revenue target. The thesis depends on converting large, multi-year projects into revenue while expanding margins and managing working-capital and capital-expenditure needs.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $14.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.07 Consensus $1.95
EPS surprise +6.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.94B Consensus $3.72B
Revenue surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.8% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.0% Up to 20 sessions
MTZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported 2025 revenue of $14.3 billion, up 16%, and adjusted EBITDA of $1.15 billion, up 14%. Full-year backlog rose 33% to more than $4.5 billion, including $1 billion tied to data-center projects. Management set 2026 guidance at $17 billion in revenue and targeted margin expansion; the supplied analysis says guidance sentiment was maintained.

Guidance delta

The call analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained. Management’s 2026 targets are $17 billion in revenue, $1.45 billion in adjusted EBITDA, an 8.5% adjusted EBITDA margin and $8.40 in EPS.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 revenue reached $14.3 billion, up 16%, while adjusted EBITDA was $1.15 billion, up 14%.
  • Backlog grew 33% to more than $4.5 billion; $1 billion was linked to data-center projects.
  • 2026 targets call for $17 billion in revenue and $1.45 billion in adjusted EBITDA, with an 8.5% margin and $8.40 EPS.
  • Acquisitions of NV2A and McKee broaden construction-management and water-infrastructure capabilities.

Management priorities

  • Pursue the 2026 revenue target and margin expansion across segments.
  • Increase self-performance capability in construction-management and data-center work.
  • Continue acquisitions focused on construction-management and water infrastructure.
  • Scale renewable and water-infrastructure businesses.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MTZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.88 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.23 Q3 '24 actual $1.63, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.49, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.32 Q3 '25 actual $2.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.95 Q4 '25 actual $2.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.99 Q1 '26 actual $1.39, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.23 Q2 '26 actual $2.22, match Q3 '26 estimate $2.95 Q3 '26 actual $2.96, match Q4 '26 estimate $2.61 Q1 '27 estimate $2.05
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish3291.4%
Neutral38.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$193.77Current
$87Low
$289.64Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $193.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAti Modak$274$180.96 +41.4%Oct 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$320$191.02 +65.1%Oct 19, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$320$194.46 +65.1%Oct 15, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldManish Somaiya$348$212.65 +79.6%Oct 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$305$223.37 +57.4%Oct 8, 2026
See 70 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MasTec, Inc. is a leading infrastructure construction firm that delivers a comprehensive suite of services, encompassing engineering, construction, installation, maintenance, and enhancement. The company primarily serves the communications, energy, utility, and broader infrastructure sectors throughout the United States and Canada. Its operations are structured across distinct segments: Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, Oil and Gas, Power Delivery, and Other. MasTec's construction activities involve building intricate underground and overhead distribution systems, essential for wireless and fiber-optic communication networks, as well as electrical grids. The company also develops clean energy infrastructure, including renewable energy facilities; pipelines for natural gas and other products, alongside extensive electrical and gas transmission and distribution systems.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T20:50:45.980676+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T20:50:45.977994+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.